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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability


wdrag
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1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

High end heat today-hideous. So glad this is only one day but looks like it comes back early next week. 

Yeah, unfortunately more major 95°-100° heat next week as the long range models underestimated the ridge again. 
 

New run

IMG_4209.thumb.png.283e95553ba7cc2062a1f18f3c0176db.png

 

Old run

IMG_4210.thumb.png.ca2ead654e9714f98fd13a8396da3003.png

 

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Just now, bluewave said:

Yeah, unfortunately more major 95°-100° heat next week as the long range models underestimated the ridge again. 
 

New run

IMG_4209.thumb.png.283e95553ba7cc2062a1f18f3c0176db.png

 

Old run

IMG_4210.thumb.png.ca2ead654e9714f98fd13a8396da3003.png

 

This is nothing like what we had in late June though, my a/c can keep up with this without making my house feel like an oven.  Is the heat next week lower humidity and more westerly winds?

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8 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Looking like it could be a WNW flow heat like in late June too, so many of us could push 100.

The one consolation will be the 850s won’t be as high. So we probably max out 97° to 100° instead of the 102°-105° in late June. Plus it looks like the dew points will be lower than late June and today.

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2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The one consolation will be the 850s won’t be as high. So we probably max out 97° to 100° instead of the 102°-105° in late June. Plus it looks like the dew points will be lower than late June and today.

dry heat is great, 97 is useless, if it's going to be that high it should be 100 to make it memorable

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35 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

dry heat is great, 97 is useless, if it's going to be that high it should be 100 to make it memorable

The dewpoints still look elevated Monday into Tuesday before dropping a bit Wednesday. But not looking like a repeat of the nearly 100/80 experienced back in late June. It’s rare for us to ever really experience dry heat here like they get out West.

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14 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The dewpoints still look elevated Monday into Tuesday before dropping a bit Wednesday. But not looking like a repeat of the nearly 100/80 experienced back in late June. It’s rare for us to ever really experience dry heat here like they get out West.

NELLIS AFB     MOSUNNY   98  11   4 W7        2

 

I think JFK might have have a shot at 100 if that WNW wind materializes, at least for Tuesday.

We would finally tie 1966 for three 100+ days if that happened.

 

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8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I think JFK might have have a shot at 100 if that WNW wind materializes, at least for Tuesday.

We would finally tie 1966 for three 100+ days if that happened.

 

JFK will probably finish just behind 2010 for the highest average maximum temperature from 6-22 to 7-31.

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010-07-31 89.2 0
2 2025-07-31 86.8 7
3 2011-07-31 86.7 0
4 2019-07-31 86.5 0
- 1963-07-31 86.5 0
5 2020-07-31 86.1 0
- 2002-07-31 86.1 0
- 1966-07-31 86.1 0
- 1949-07-31 86.1 0

 

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15 minutes ago, bluewave said:

JFK will probably finish just behind 2010 for the highest average maximum temperature from 6-22 to 7-31.

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010-07-31 89.2 0
2 2025-07-31 86.8 7
3 2011-07-31 86.7 0
4 2019-07-31 86.5 0
- 1963-07-31 86.5 0
5 2020-07-31 86.1 0
- 2002-07-31 86.1 0
- 1966-07-31 86.1 0
- 1949-07-31 86.1 0

 

Look how much hotter 2010 was, a full three degrees hotter! All the other years are at least 3 degrees behind.

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9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Look how much hotter 2010 was, a full three degrees hotter! All the other years are at least 3 degrees behind.

2010 was a very rare year with some spots getting 50 inches of snow and 50 days reaching 90°.

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32 minutes ago, bluewave said:

JFK will probably finish just behind 2010 for the highest average maximum temperature from 6-22 to 7-31.

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010-07-31 89.2 0
2 2025-07-31 86.8 7
3 2011-07-31 86.7 0
4 2019-07-31 86.5 0
- 1963-07-31 86.5 0
5 2020-07-31 86.1 0
- 2002-07-31 86.1 0
- 1966-07-31 86.1 0
- 1949-07-31 86.1 0

 

There were how many days that intra hour highs werent reporting, at least 5  could have added a point or three.

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Just now, SACRUS said:

 

Highs:
 

 

EWR: 100
TEB: 99
PHL: 98
LGA:  (97) *waiting on inta hour highs 2-8
TTN: 97
ACY: 96
New Brnswck: 95
NYC: 95
BLM: 94 * missing hours
JFK: 93
ISP: 93

Looks like LGA got to 99. 

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