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2025 summer max contest -- enter by 06z June 20


Roger Smith
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As always, predict the highest temperatures to be expected this summer at the four airports:

DCA

IAD

BWI

RIC

and I will start the ball rolling with 101, 101, 102 and 100. 

Contest deadline 06z June 20 2025 (end of Thursday June 19th)

... I have adjusted the deadline in view of model forecasts of possible high values around 22nd-23rd, to avoid having last minute nowcasts competing with forecasts submitted in advance. ... we seem to be on track to receive a good turnout of entries ... 

Tie-breaker details: lowest errors break ties, order of entry the last level separating ties

For example, 0 1 1 1 beats 0 1 2 0. ... 2 1 1 1 beats 2 2 1 0. ... June 12th beats June 15th.

___ DEFENDING 2024 WINNER: Jebman ___ 

 
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  • Roger Smith changed the title to 2025 summer max contest -- enter by 06z June 20

Please note, I had originally chosen June 22-23 as deadline (23rd 06z) but in view of current model projections I have adjusted the deadline forward to June 20 at 06z, or end of the day Thursday of next week ... I don't believe this will have much impact on turnout which is trending towards the usual 20-30 entries already. And I wanted to avoid a situation where a record high on the day after deadline attracts a number of very small over-run of deadline entries, this way, I can have a table of entries ready before the heat arrives and a clear barrier to last minute nowcast type entries. 

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