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June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike


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31 minutes ago, guinness77 said:

I’m hoping it never happens, one of the biggest things I worry about on this island. Cat 3 or worse would be catastrophic for us. 

Yes, even a Cat 1 might be too much, do you remember when we had that high end tropical storm that moved to our west a few years ago? My house was shaking with 80 mph wind gusts.

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3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Yes, even a Cat 1 might be too much, do you remember when we had that high end tropical storm that moved to our west a few years ago? My house was shaking with 80 mph wind gusts.

Isaias. Yeah was pretty gusty. Had to drive from south shore to north shore about 4pm and saw plenty of damage. Power at Huntington LIRR was out.  

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The operational ECMWF and GFS are now in good agreement that daily record temperatures will likely be challenged or broken during June 23-24 across the New York City region. June monthly records could be challenged, as well.

EFI for June 23:

image.png.4d91a4e35bd7e9239c7e479003a81237.png

EFI for June 24:

image.png.3b5c2f53369b96875d7469c0bfe58ddd.png

Select Data:

image.png.55522bfabb8217bc8d7cc19d1ea4ef7d.png

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Pretty underwhelming here, just some moderate rain at best.  I feel like the strongest severe storms pop up on days when there's less risk.  Today I think we were in enhanced.  It's not like we need the rain anyway.

Breeze kicking up now and can already notice a significant drop in humidity.

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Again 2 nights in a row. GFS significant backdoor cold front comes through on Wednesday. CMC, backdoor cold front remains to our north for the entire week. It's the difference between a 3-4 day heatwave starting Sunday and a 5-6 day heatwave starting Sunday. Whatever, upper 90s to lower 100s likely at least Monday & Tuesday. Notably, GFS has a second surge of 90+ degree heat later in the period for at least Saturday 6/28 & Sunday 6/29.

WX/PT

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