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EPS, GEPS, GFS now pushing the heat into the southern sections of the northeastern U.S. (that's us) from about June 2nd-6th. I could see given the latest maps mid 80s to near 90 for the NYC Metro over that period of time at least. A reasonable chance of notching our first 90 at CPK then.

WX/PT

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57 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

EPS, GEPS, GFS now pushing the heat into the southern sections of the northeastern U.S. (that's us) from about June 2nd-6th. I could see given the latest maps mid 80s to near 90 for the NYC Metro over that period of time at least. A reasonable chance of notching our first 90 at CPK then.

WX/PT

But first another chilly noreaster next weekend 

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1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

The sun has been in and out of the clouds here, like right now, it's more cloudy than blue skies here.

 

 

 

Was full sun here till around 1:00 then partly/mostly cloudy made it to 75.  Should clear out more in the next few hours

 

GOES19-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

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Tomorrow will be fair and warm, but some showers are possible Wednesday night and Thursday. Cooler than normal temperatures will prevail through the week.

Meanwhile daily record and possible monthly record heat could develop for Friday and Saturday in such cities as Redding and Sacramento.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around May 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was +23.46 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.910 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 71% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 62.7° (0.5° below normal).

 

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3 hours ago, forkyfork said:

this wx is disgusting can't wait for the dewpoints to come in june

 

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

whats wrong with just pure sunshine though?

water vapor just pollutes everything, makes the skies hazy, traps car exhaust, creates more air pollution, etc.

 

Liberty ….  forky is just raising the ‘toll by troll’ on the bridge. Judging by the number of reactions, he’s doing quite well. As always …..

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1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Busy severe day here in the Austin area. PDS tornado warning on a cell to the west in the Hill Country-strong couplet on it. By the time storms get here it should go linear but should be a good straight line wind threat. 

is it really hot there? Austin must have much different weather from Dallas, I saw it was in the 70s there.

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7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

is it really hot there? Austin must have much different weather from Dallas, I saw it was in the 70s there.

Today not so bad-storms from Dallas area cooled us down, yesterday and Saturday were horrendous. High was 99 both days. Golf to tennis ball hail storms headed my way, if they hold together should be here in a couple hours. Winds 70+ mph in them too. 

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9 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Today not so bad-storms from Dallas area cooled us down, yesterday and Saturday were horrendous. High was 99 both days. Golf to tennis ball hail storms headed my way, if they hold together should be here in a couple hours. Winds 70+ mph in them too. 

Wow that is some radar, I would be super excited if I were you. Definitely prolific lighting and some serious hail in those things!

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3 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Wow that is some radar, I would be super excited if I were you. Definitely prolific lighting and some serious hail in those things!

Yep I’m in the hatched hail and wind zone. It’ll be intense if they hold together. Most likely it bows out as it comes in. When I lived here there were a few of those that produced 75+ mph winds. An EF1 went about a mile and a half from my building once. Austin isn’t the heart of tornado alley but severe season peaks around now and gets fun most years. May 2015 was insane. I’d say it was even rainier than August 2011 in Long Beach and tons of severe. 

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53 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Yep I’m in the hatched hail and wind zone. It’ll be intense if they hold together. Most likely it bows out as it comes in. When I lived here there were a few of those that produced 75+ mph winds. An EF1 went about a mile and a half from my building once. Austin isn’t the heart of tornado alley but severe season peaks around now and gets fun most years. May 2015 was insane. I’d say it was even rainier than August 2010 in Long Beach and tons of severe. 

you mean rainier than August 2011, summer 2010 was nice and hot and dry throughout.

 

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1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Today not so bad-storms from Dallas area cooled us down, yesterday and Saturday were horrendous. High was 99 both days. Golf to tennis ball hail storms headed my way, if they hold together should be here in a couple hours. Winds 70+ mph in them too. 

99 is such an annoying number lol, it might as well hit 100.

it's like getting 19 inches of snow, 20 sounds so much better.

 

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