May 2025

[bluewave]

45 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Not in early June. Mid to upper 80s is decently above average. 

The key will be how much rain we get in early June. We probably make it back into the 80s between June 1st -10th. But we would probably need to dry out with more sun in order for the warm spots to get their first 90° of the season by June 15th. We are already running late on our first 90° day. 
 

First/Last Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Minimum	04-07 (2010)		08-08 (2011)		69
Mean	05-18		09-09		113
Maximum	06-17 (2014)		10-02 (2019)		170
2024	05-02 (2024)	90	08-28 (2024)	95	117
2023	04-13 (2023)	92	09-08 (2023)	92	147
2022	05-21 (2022)	95	09-04 (2022)	93	105
2021	05-19 (2021)	91	09-15 (2021)	91	118
2020	06-06 (2020)	91	08-27 (2020)	93	81
2019	05-26 (2019)	90	10-02 (2019)	96	128
2018	05-02 (2018)	90	09-06 (2018)	98	126
2017	05-17 (2017)	92	09-25 (2017)	90	130
2016	05-25 (2016)	91	09-23 (2016)	90	120
2015	05-25 (2015)	90	09-09 (2015)	91	106
2014	06-17 (2014)	91	09-06 (2014)	95	80
2013	05-30 (2013)	93	09-11 (2013)	96	103
2012	05-28 (2012)	91	09-07 (2012)	90	101
2011	05-30 (2011)	92	08-08 (2011)	93	69
2010	04-07 (2010)	92	09-25 (2010)	90	170

[winterwarlock]

1.28 two day storm total imby

[SACRUS]

2 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

1.28 two day storm total imby

Similar here at 1.26 but still some lingering light showers and drizzle.

[SACRUS]

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

coastal low spin somewhat visible

 

 

[Uniblab]

My brother in law told me there was wet snow in Lackawaxen Pennsylvania earlier. 

[Poker2015]

56 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The key will be how much rain we get in early June. We probably make it back into the 80s between June 1st -10th. But we would probably need to dry out with more sun in order for the warm spots to get their first 90° of the season by June 15th. We are already running late on our first 90° day. 
 

First/Last Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Minimum	04-07 (2010)		08-08 (2011)		69
Mean	05-18		09-09		113
Maximum	06-17 (2014)		10-02 (2019)		170
2024	05-02 (2024)	90	08-28 (2024)	95	117
2023	04-13 (2023)	92	09-08 (2023)	92	147
2022	05-21 (2022)	95	09-04 (2022)	93	105
2021	05-19 (2021)	91	09-15 (2021)	91	118
2020	06-06 (2020)	91	08-27 (2020)	93	81
2019	05-26 (2019)	90	10-02 (2019)	96	128
2018	05-02 (2018)	90	09-06 (2018)	98	126
2017	05-17 (2017)	92	09-25 (2017)	90	130
2016	05-25 (2016)	91	09-23 (2016)	90	120
2015	05-25 (2015)	90	09-09 (2015)	91	106
2014	06-17 (2014)	91	09-06 (2014)	95	80
2013	05-30 (2013)	93	09-11 (2013)	96	103
2012	05-28 (2012)	91	09-07 (2012)	90	101
2011	05-30 (2011)	92	08-08 (2011)	93	69
2010	04-07 (2010)	92	09-25 (2010)	90	170

Didn't the usual warm spots already hit 90? 

I thought we did a few weeks ago when it was hot for a few days.

[SACRUS]

11 minutes ago, Poker2015 said:

Didn't the usual warm spots already hit 90? 

I thought we did a few weeks ago when it was hot for a few days.

88 has been the high in the warmest spots

[bluewave]

3 minutes ago, Poker2015 said:

Didn't the usual warm spots already hit 90? 

I thought we did a few weeks ago when it was hot for a few days.

The warm spots topped out in the upper 80s. This delayed first 90° could mean that the warm spots like Newark could avoid a top tier summer for 90° days. The only season following a May with no 90° days  to reach 40 days of 90° highs  was 1983. But that was a super El Niño and this is a La Niña. 

If Newark can go on to avoid a very high 90° day count over 40 days, then it would probably mean a very wet and humid summer for us. Since Newark needs a dry summer for a very high number of 90° days. 

 

Data for January 1, 2025 through May 22, 2025
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

OCEAN COUNTY AIRPORT	WBAN	89
NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	88
HARRISON	COOP	88
Newark Area	ThreadEx	88
TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	87
ESTELL MANOR	COOP	87
TETERBORO AIRPORT	COOP	87
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP	WBAN	86
LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST	COOP	86
HIGHTSTOWN 2 W	COOP	86
NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE	COOP	86
CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP	WBAN	86
BELMAR FARMINGDALE ALLAIRE AP	WBAN	86
SOMERSET AIRPORT	WBAN	86

All years at Newark with no 90° days in May

 

Monthly Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2025	0	0	M	M	M	M	M	0
2020	0	0	5	17	9	0	0	31
2014	0	0	2	8	2	3	0	15
2009	3	0	0	1	10	0	0	14
2008	0	0	6	11	2	3	0	22
2005	0	0	10	11	12	4	0	37
2003	0	0	5	8	7	0	0	20
1997	0	0	7	10	3	0	0	20
1990	2	0	5	9	9	1	0	26
1989	0	0	4	12	8	3	0	27
1984	0	0	8	6	8	0	0	22
1983	0	0	7	15	11	7	0	40
1982	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	12
1976	2	0	7	2	4	0	0	15
1973	0	0	5	9	12	5	0	31
1972	0	0	0	16	4	1	0	21
1971	0	0	6	7	7	2	0	22
1968	0	0	4	9	9	1	0	23
1967	0	0	5	1	1	0	0	7
1966	0	0	10	14	8	1	0	33
1963	0	0	6	11	3	0	0	20
1961	0	0	4	13	8	9	0	34
1960	1	0	3	2	8	1	0	15
1958	0	0	2	11	6	2	0	21
1954	0	0	5	10	3	0	0	18
1952	0	0	8	17	2	4	0	31
1950	0	0	8	6	3	1	0	18
1946	0	0	5	5	2	0	0	12
1940	0	0	2	11	1	1	0	15
1938	0	0	4	4	9	0	1	18
1935	0	0	1	11	2	0	0	14

 

 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

1 hour ago, Uniblab said:

My brother in law told me there was wet snow in Lackawaxen Pennsylvania earlier. 

Definitely possible on top of the pocono plateau. Elevations over 2,000’. It’s been snowing and accumulating all day on top of the southern greens in Vermont.

[donsutherland1]

Through 5 pm, Bridgeport, Islip, New York City-Central Park, New York City-LaGuardia Airport, and Newark are in line to set new record low maximum temperatures for May 22. JFK Airport is in line to tie its record.

After an unseasonably cool start, temperatures will top out in upper 50s and lower 60s tomorrow in the New York City area. There could also be some scattered showers. A partly to mostly sunny Memorial Day weekend will then follow.

The below normal temperatures could persist into early next week. However,it could turn noticeably warmer during the closing days of the month or opening of June.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around May 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was -8.71 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.091 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 62% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.0° (0.2° below normal).

 

[cleetussnow]

On 5/20/2025 at 11:06 AM, cleetussnow said:

Djf

Lets go ahead and add May.

[FPizz]

2 hours ago, Poker2015 said:

Didn't the usual warm spots already hit 90? 

I thought we did a few weeks ago when it was hot for a few days.

My high for the year has been 85.6

[FPizz]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

88 has been the high in the warmest spots

Record low max today for NYC?  Looks like the record is 54 for today 

[Santa Claus]

another great day for a jog, feeling blessed and grateful

[LibertyBell]

9 hours ago, bluewave said:

These +5 departures will get significantly smaller with this very cool pattern to close out the month. 
 

 

No one is going to take climate change seriously with winter-type weather occurring in May lol. We all know it's happening  but people yearn for warmth this time of year.

If anything the people I've talked to said they want climate change to speed up so this kind of crap weather can't happen anymore.  They were being serious too.

 

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, cleetussnow said:

Lets go ahead and add May.

The earth needs to be moved closer to Venus.

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Definitely possible on top of the pocono plateau. Elevations over 2,000’. It’s been snowing and accumulating all day on top of the southern greens in Vermont.

wow this was unexpected, I'm headed there for Memorial Day weekend. Probably nothing on the ground up there though.

[LibertyBell]

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

The warm spots topped out in the upper 80s. This delayed first 90° could mean that the warm spots like Newark could avoid a top tier summer for 90° days. The only season following a May with no 90° days  to reach 40 days of 90° highs  was 1983. But that was a super El Niño and this is a La Niña. 

If Newark can go on to avoid a very high 90° day count over 40 days, then it would probably mean a very wet and humid summer for us. Since Newark needs a dry summer for a very high number of 90° days. 

 

Data for January 1, 2025 through May 22, 2025
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

OCEAN COUNTY AIRPORT	WBAN	89
NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	88
HARRISON	COOP	88
Newark Area	ThreadEx	88
TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	87
ESTELL MANOR	COOP	87
TETERBORO AIRPORT	COOP	87
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP	WBAN	86
LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST	COOP	86
HIGHTSTOWN 2 W	COOP	86
NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE	COOP	86
CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP	WBAN	86
BELMAR FARMINGDALE ALLAIRE AP	WBAN	86
SOMERSET AIRPORT	WBAN	86

All years at Newark with no 90° days in May

 

Monthly Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2025	0	0	M	M	M	M	M	0
2020	0	0	5	17	9	0	0	31
2014	0	0	2	8	2	3	0	15
2009	3	0	0	1	10	0	0	14
2008	0	0	6	11	2	3	0	22
2005	0	0	10	11	12	4	0	37
2003	0	0	5	8	7	0	0	20
1997	0	0	7	10	3	0	0	20
1990	2	0	5	9	9	1	0	26
1989	0	0	4	12	8	3	0	27
1984	0	0	8	6	8	0	0	22
1983	0	0	7	15	11	7	0	40
1982	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	12
1976	2	0	7	2	4	0	0	15
1973	0	0	5	9	12	5	0	31
1972	0	0	0	16	4	1	0	21
1971	0	0	6	7	7	2	0	22
1968	0	0	4	9	9	1	0	23
1967	0	0	5	1	1	0	0	7
1966	0	0	10	14	8	1	0	33
1963	0	0	6	11	3	0	0	20
1961	0	0	4	13	8	9	0	34
1960	1	0	3	2	8	1	0	15
1958	0	0	2	11	6	2	0	21
1954	0	0	5	10	3	0	0	18
1952	0	0	8	17	2	4	0	31
1950	0	0	8	6	3	1	0	18
1946	0	0	5	5	2	0	0	12
1940	0	0	2	11	1	1	0	15
1938	0	0	4	4	9	0	1	18
1935	0	0	1	11	2	0	0	14

 

 

Does enso have any influence on summer heat? It's already back to neutral.

 

[LibertyBell]

3 hours ago, Uniblab said:

My brother in law told me there was wet snow in Lackawaxen Pennsylvania earlier. 

hmm does he know if there's been any snow near the Lake Harmony and Albrightsville area-- elevation around 2,200 feet.

[LibertyBell]

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

coastal low spin somewhat visible

 

 

a real noreaster!

[Sundog]

We have our "wraparound" making its way through the tristate. 

[LibertyBell]

6 hours ago, bluewave said:

Too bad this new wettest May on record at MPO wasn’t during the winter and all snow.

 

Time Series Summary for Mount Pocono Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of May
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2025	10.92	10
2	1989	10.58	0
3	1942	10.41	0
4	1984	9.16	0
5	1946	8.87	0
6	1919	8.32	0
7	1978	8.03	0
8	1924	7.85	0
9	1948	7.39	0
10	1988	7.33	0

crap I have to worry about basement flooding in my house there.

any river flooding issues along the Lehigh or Delaware Rivers?

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

wow this was unexpected, I'm headed there for Memorial Day weekend. Probably nothing on the ground up there though.

Best that happens there is a few mangled flakes in the air. Really need to be above 3,000’ for accumulations with such a marginal airmass. I mean it’s the end of May

heres 3850’ in southern Vermont 

 

[LibertyBell]

6 hours ago, RedSky said:

The beaches of Hudson Bay are projecting to be around 80F next week when it's in the 50's here. Road trip for fun and sun?

 

the 50s are right now, next week will be warmer.

[LibertyBell]

7 hours ago, Dark Star said:

Anything to keep the heat down...

I thought you meant, *Anything to keep the heat on*

 

[LibertyBell]

3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Best that happens there is a few mangled flakes in the air. Really need to be above 3,000’ for accumulations with such a marginal airmass. I mean it’s the end of May

heres 3850’ in southern Vermont 

 

Now THIS is worth it.

I can't stand cold rain, but snow looks beautiful and feels MUCH better than cold rain too lol.

 

[LibertyBell]

9 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Hypothetically more like 3-6” in the metro. Best banding has been setting up just east of the Nassua Suffolk border. 

isn't this too close to the coast? inside the benchmark and all?

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Just now, LibertyBell said:

Now THIS is worth it.

I can't stand cold rain, but snow looks beautiful.

 

The trees are leafed out just below that camera at 3,000’. Could get nasty overnight. Above 3,000’ there are no deciduous trees just a mix of red spruce and balsam fir, a remnant of the borial forest that once covered the northeast after the ice age

[LibertyBell]

1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

The trees are leafed out just below that camera at 3,000’. Could get nasty overnight. Above 3,000’ there are no deciduous trees just a mix of red spruce and balsam fir, a remnant of the borial forest that once covered the northeast after the ice age

Hopefully the winds don't get too strong there.