kdxken Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: How much and who do I have to pay for my Accuweather 90 day forecast to verify.... ? warmest temp 84 though August 11th and most days are in the 70s.. And yes I know this wont verify but it would be my dream summer I could do without that 84. I suppose with the low dew points they won't be too bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago This gets more nuts the more I watch it. 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: I could do without that 84. I suppose with the low dew points they won't be too bad. https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/templeton/01468/may-weather/2250886?year=2025 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 4 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: This gets more nuts the more I watch it. that's nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago We Harvard/Boxborough 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago There's an underlying/not well realized forcing that is somehow by physical cause being suppressed in the operational runs. The -PNA, with an out-of-season EPO, along with a flat/and/or E limb NAO, are all demonstrative in the numerical values from all three major ensemble systems, EPS/GEFs/GEPs... Basically a -2 SD PNA, with nominal fluctions +/- wrt the other indices. Without any intervening forcing, that should layout out eastern N/A ridging. This numerical teleconnector spread/outlook has been in the cast for over a week's worth of daily mass-field computations. Yet these operational member versions just refuse to ever map a pattern in their respective mid and extended range charts that fully occupies what the spread description above says they should be... - this I am convinced is to enable Ineedsnow to torment Kevin, all the while ... he doesn't realize that in having all that numerical basis for heat, being suppressed by the operational versions ... is both highly unstable and probably just a matter of time before there's a ridge blossom. Or not... it is true that sometimes these telecons will divorce from the operational runs and vice versa. When that happens, given time they will tend to converge. The question is, do they converge into this year without a summer game interminably until we finally get hot for one week in early September? Or, do we suddenly explode hot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: There's an underlying/not well realized forcing that is somehow by physical cause being suppressed in the operational runs. The -PNA, with an out-of-season EPO, along with a flat/and/or E limb NAO, are all demonstrative in the numerical values from all three major ensemble systems, EPS/GEFs/GEPs... Basically a -2 SD PNA, with nominal fluctions +/- in the other fields. Without any intervening forcing, that should layout out eastern N/A ridging. This numerical teleconnector spread/outlook has been in the cast for over a week's worth of daily mass-field computations. Yet these operational member versions just refuse to ever map a pattern in their respective mid and extended range charts that fully occupies what the spread description above says they should be... - this I am convinced is to enable Ineedsnow to torment Kevin, all the while ... he doesn't realize that it's having all that numerical basis for heat, being suppressed by the operational versions ... is both highly unstable and probably just a matter of time before there's a ridge blossom. Or not... it is true that sometimes these telecons will divorce from the operational runs and vice versa. When that happens, given time they will tend to converge. The question is, do they converge into this year without a summer game interminably until we finally get hot for one week in early September? Or, do we suddenly explode hot. we year without a Summer Wednesday A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Night A chance of showers, mainly after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Thursday A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Thursday Night A chance of showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday Night Showers likely, mainly between 10pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Saturday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Saturday Night Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. South wind around 7 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Sunday Showers likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. West wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago in all seriousness though I would love for the whole summer to be like today.. 67 low humidity and barely a cloud in the sky. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, kdxken said: I could do without that 84. I suppose with the low dew points they won't be too bad. Suspiciously looks like "climo" for either a neutral ENSO summer or a negative Neutral ENSO. Just take the average of an entire composite set and call it a forecast...some skill that is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago More bad news for Ditty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: More bad news for Ditty. wtf...its early May. Water temperatures aren't going to be into the 60's yet. Also, actually to this point, sea-surface temperatures off the coast are actually running above average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: wtf...its early May. Water temperatures aren't going to be into the 60's yet. Also, actually to this point, sea-surface temperatures off the coast are actually running above average. Peter Pann has some weird tweets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 13 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: wtf...its early May. Water temperatures aren't going to be into the 60's yet. Also, actually to this point, sea-surface temperatures off the coast are actually running above average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Peter Pann has some weird tweets. Not too mention he's comparing the SSTs of the Gulf Stream to SSTs surrounding it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not too mention he's comparing the SSTs of the Gulf Stream to SSTs surrounding it Those temps look wild too. It's not in the low 80s SE of HSE and not 43 east of NJ. I don't know what the heck is going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 33 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: wtf...its early May. Water temperatures aren't going to be into the 60's yet. Also, actually to this point, sea-surface temperatures off the coast are actually running above average. FWIW he did say early in the season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Those temps look wild too. It's not in the low 80s SE of HSE and not 43 east of NJ. I don't know what the heck is going on. once conditions get better things could spin up quick.. already in the 80s in a lot of areas https://spaghettimodels.com/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: FWIW he did say early in the season But that could be said every year then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Those temps look wild too. It's not in the low 80s SE of HSE and not 43 east of NJ. I don't know what the heck is going on. Yeah something can't be right with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: But that could be said every year then. The anomalies are greater than recent past no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: The anomalies are greater than recent past no? That I am not sure about...I know that is the case with the equatorial PAC and ATL but not sure if that is the case off the EC. I would think they are probably to some degree but probably negligible really. I just thought it was a pointless tweet because if SSTAs were 65 versus 45 right now off the EC or early in tropical season, that would have no bearing on increasing/decreasing potential for tropical systems to survive farther north. Hell, if they were 71 versus 45 there still would be no difference. SSTs below 80 are going to have a negative feedback on tropical systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Is it possible anymore to have a day without wind??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Is it possible anymore to have a day without wind??? This ruins the nice weather IMO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: How much and who do I have to pay for my Accuweather 90 day forecast to verify.... ? warmest temp 84 though August 11th and most days are in the 70s.. And yes I know this wont verify but it would be my dream summer We will get our share of dews this summer, with some heat but worst will be Ohio Valley and west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Violently oak dongs dangling and dropping like dinkies on Damage In Tolland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 77 40 deg rise achieved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 15 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This ruins the nice weather IMO It does...its great on a super hot day but otherwise wind is annoying. It can make yard work more challenging depending on what you're doing and if you're just sitting outside relaxing trying to read something (although I guess everyone just uses a phone for that now) its super annoying. My girlfriend and I will like to sit outside and play cards but we haven't been able to do that because of the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 17 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Fried in CON! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 36° this morning to 82° this afternoon is one of the biggest swings I’ve ever seen here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Other than 10 minutes of PC, it's been cloudy so far today. The clouds that forestalled a frost are also keeping us from approaching 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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