2025-2026 ENSO

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

SON is -.85

 

1 hour ago, BlizzardWx said:

That's fair. I think the tri-monthly is around -0.9 eyeballing it. 

Close..

[vegan_edible]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

You just love being wrong.  Its amazing. 

dont even stress it. bro doesnt have the computational output to look at an ensemble rather an op model

[GaWx]

 Today’s Euro Weeklies for the 4 weeks Dec 22nd through Jan 18th continue to look bad (mild) especially in the SE and MidAtlantic. There’s no way to sugarcoat it. The hope is that they’re just pain wrong. But that’s just a hope:

12/22-28:

12/29-1/4:

1/5-11

1/12-18:

[PhiEaglesfan712]

The MEI finally updated. Here are the values for the past several months:

MJ 2025: -1.2

JJ 2025: -1.2

JA 2025: -0.9

AS 2025: -1.1

SO 2025: -1.2

ON 2025: -1.1

[Krs4Lfe]

Things are looking rather ugly later in the month. Looks like we lose the cold real quickly around the 20th or so. If we’re going to see snow for rest of month it should be in that period. La Ninas are notorious for torches in January and February. Not seeing any signs of anything different this time around. I could even seen a December 2022 repeat. Great pattern but 0 snow. The worst of the worst 

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Things are looking rather ugly later in the month. Looks like we lose the cold real quickly around the 20th or so. If we’re going to see snow for rest of month it should be in that period. La Ninas are notorious for torches in January and February. Not seeing any signs of anything different this time around. I could even seen a December 2022 repeat. Great pattern but 0 snow. The worst of the worst 

I will be saving this post

[stadiumwave]

25 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Things are looking rather ugly later in the month. Looks like we lose the cold real quickly around the 20th or so. If we’re going to see snow for rest of month it should be in that period. La Ninas are notorious for torches in January and February. Not seeing any signs of anything different this time around. I could even seen a December 2022 repeat. Great pattern but 0 snow. The worst of the worst 

 

Agree on the end of month, but disagree on JAN. The best analogs have JAN as the coldest month. So, I think based on the law of averages, we have a decent shot of seeing at least a period of winter in JAN. 

[anthonymm]

1 hour ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Things are looking rather ugly later in the month. Looks like we lose the cold real quickly around the 20th or so. If we’re going to see snow for rest of month it should be in that period. La Ninas are notorious for torches in January and February. Not seeing any signs of anything different this time around. I could even seen a December 2022 repeat. Great pattern but 0 snow. The worst of the worst 

Yup I believe i pointed out 22-23 was a great analog