adelphi_sky Posted yesterday at 08:01 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:01 PM 5 hours ago, Kmlwx said: 12z HRRR blows up robust convection for the DC/Baltimore corridor especially in the 0-2z timeframe. PWATS near 2 inches in parts of the area...would think flooding risk with this activity - even if not super slow moving. Creek near the house rose to around 8ft during the other night's heavy rainfall. Highest in the past few years. Took a ride on the NW Branch trail here in Hyattsville and Riverdale and the streams are already higher than normal. I could see the extent of the flooding from the previous storms. Parts of the trail was washed over with sand and debris. Won't take much to flood again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted yesterday at 08:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:12 PM 2 hours ago, Kmlwx said: NW Branch up near Kemp Mill - I use this site to monitor - https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-01650500/#period=P7D&showMedian=true&dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0 Thanks. I will use that link. We're both near the NW Branch trail. My house is about a tenth of a mile from it. However, my house is way up on a hill. It would take a biblical flood and the creek would still not reach me. I live just before the creek hits the low lands at University BLVD. I never have to worry about flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted yesterday at 08:43 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 08:43 PM 30 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: Thanks. I will use that link. We're both near the NW Branch trail. My house is about a tenth of a mile from it. However, my house is way up on a hill. It would take a biblical flood and the creek would still not reach me. I live just before the creek hits the low lands at University BLVD. I never have to worry about flooding. Same general setup here. On a hill and away from the trail by a good bit. Can definitely hear the roar of the stream/creek when it gets high though. My friends and I found a fish well up into the branches of a tree after the June 2006 flooding. I don't think I've seen water levels that high since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted 22 hours ago Author Share Posted 22 hours ago That storm coming down the Potomac looks healthy and supercellular. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago That storm in Loudoun looks mighty interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Tor possible tag on the Fauquier warned storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 6 minutes ago, yoda said: That storm in Loudoun looks mighty interesting Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 710 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025 VAC107-162345- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0303.000000T0000Z-250716T2345Z/ Loudoun VA- 710 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN LOUDOUN COUNTY... At 710 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Purcellville, or 7 miles northwest of Leesburg, moving east at 15 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Leesburg, Lovettsville, Paeonian Springs, Lucketts, Waterford, and Taylorstown. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3919 7772 3929 7767 3926 7752 3925 7749 3922 7746 3921 7747 3919 7748 3918 7751 3915 7753 3914 7753 3908 7758 TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 292DEG 12KT 3919 7763 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 minute ago, yoda said: Tor possible tag on the Fauquier warned storm BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 708 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... East central Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... West central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... * Until 745 PM EDT. * At 708 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Hume, or 11 miles southeast of Front Royal, moving east at 15 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Flint Hill, Cresthill, and Orlean. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail, damaging wind, and continuous cloud to ground lightning are occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3875 7813 3878 7813 3878 7794 3871 7790 TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 276DEG 13KT 3877 7809 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Radarscope has a 2" hail marker on it too edit actually that's the cell SW of Point Of Rocks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago It looked good until the storms to the west of it nommed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago TW for Manchester/Hampstead. Decent enough rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago TW for Manchester/Hampstead. Decent enough rotation. Got a decent hook on reflectivity Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 3 hours ago, yoda said: That storm in Loudoun looks mighty interesting I don't have great visuals to share, but in person it looked mighty interesting too. Lots and lots of motion all over the place 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Absolutely love nights like last night. Rumbles of thunder for hours. Great sleeping weather. I slept for 9 hours. Just one of those nights per week please. This makes up for last year's storm drought. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Nearly five inches of rainfall this month. RSTM2 COOP site. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5.5 inches in fauquier county last night which was all within 45 minutes to an hour.. We had multiple water rescues occur in the town of warrenton. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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