Imgoinhungry Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Just got home from work what did I miss?Every model lost the storm except the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 3 minutes ago, Snowman. said: If there's one model that I can trust to score a coup its the Euro. Not saying it's gonna happen, but you never know. I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: grab a drink, friend. We all need a better hobby 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Man the Euro is always stubborn. It’s also very much in its wheelhouse 4 days out. NAM surely isn’t… but it shows a similar progression at h5 between hours 48-72. Don’t get me wrong… I’m discouraged by the fact that the Canadian gfs and ukie were dog shit… but 2/3 of those models kinda suck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Looks very similar to 12z...maybe ever so slightly east, but a slightly deeper coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skiseeker Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Out of curiosity… how many people gamble? I am a snow fan yes, but also a gambler, which I think sort of skews my perspective on this hobby… so I’m curious to see if there are any others out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Didn’t DT once say, you don’t bet against the 2 E’s? (The other E was ETA, which is now NAM, for those that don’t know)Yea long time ago though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 4 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Didn’t DT once say, you don’t bet against the 2 E’s? (The other E was ETA, which is now NAM, for those that don’t know) That "EE" rule has been around for a while.. And we've seen it play out a number of times. Truth is the NAM (ETA) sucks as a model. It has no actual accuracy that is better than other models when with the Euro.. the NAM at 60+ hours is usually more ampled/NW, and that models usually trend this way in general is where the rule comes from. That and the Euro's accuracy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 It’s also very much in its wheelhouse 4 days out. NAM surely isn’t… but it shows a similar progression at h5 between hours 48-72. Don’t get me wrong… I’m discouraged by the fact that the Canadian gfs and ukie were dog shit… but 2/3 of those models kinda suckI usually never look at the ukie. The Canadian is utter garbage and gfs struggles with complex storms so really it’s gfs vd euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Euro does not make huge jumps from run to run. Where did it jump in the past 12 hours? It is falling in line with everything else. WE NEED THE WAA. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Well my beer vision is blending with some melatonin. Eyes super heavy. For tonight, stand strong and hold this snow fort down. Can’t wait to check back in Sunday AM. Good night all! Always a blast in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Why isn’t this the precip swath wider? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 I usually never look at the ukie. The Canadian is utter garbage and gfs struggles with complex storms so really it’s gfs vd euro Precisely my point. I mean don’t get me wrong.. I’m skeptical as hell about the euro’s outcome given seasonal trends, but it’s also THE model people shouldn’t ignore, especially in its bread and butter range. Perhaps I’m wishcasting. If it caves tomorrow, we’re likely cooked.. but for now.. not all hope is lost for at least some snow out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Weenie me all you want @ravensrule It took a huge step towards the rest of guidance. A big SE hit. If it even has that in 18 hours. 1 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Euro does not make huge jumps from run to run. Where did it jump in the past 12 hours? It is falling in line with everything else. WE NEED THE WAA. Might need to see 12z tomorrow just to make sure that's happening. I will say that 0z looked better than 18z to my amateur eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 18 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Anyway, euro on its own right now. Has it ever been alone at 4 days out and won in the end? It kinda did up in New England this week. I was watching because there was a chance I was going up there to ski this weekend with the kids. Earlier this week there was a point when the IKON, AI, GGEM and GFS were all showing snow with a track closer to the coast. The Euro was more amped and NW with freezing rain and sleet getting all the way into northern VT. Eventually all the other guidance came around. Oddly after it did they then had a couple runs where they would go back to a SE solution before coming back NW again. Looks like the Euro had the right idea. But this is just one example...and a different setup. Usually when the euro is totally on its own its wrong, but over the years its more right in that setup than any of the others. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Weenie me all you want @ravensrule It took a huge step towards the rest of guidance. Bruh...you're kinda going full tilt right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 24 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: zoomed for posterity… Midnight Green is my favorite color (Go Birds!)-but powder blue is my second! Let's go Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Pretty major severe wx outbreak going on from the Gulf of Mexico to Kentucky. I said this before, It's part of the weak -pna pattern that has a weak High pressure off the west coast. Downstream that leads to a less amplifed wave, moving more W->E vs S->N for Feb 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Bruh...you're kinda going full tilt right now. Not really. The trend is what it is. And it will go further SE with each run now. It is over. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Weenie me all you want @ravensrule It took a huge step towards the rest of guidance. A big SE hit. If it even has that in 18 hours. Put down the crack pipe 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Weenie me all you want @ravensrule It took a huge step towards the rest of guidance. A big SE hit. If it even has that in 18 hours. I know you love my weenie, let’s see what happens in the next 36 hours. Then if warranted you can freak the fuck out and I won’t weenie you. Deal?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Just now, clskinsfan said: Not really. The trend is what it is. And it will go further SE with each run now. It is over. Not talking about your opinion on whether it's over...ya just sound like you're yelling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 How do you see who weenies you? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 This is great. We need to set up some kind of calling out the weenie posters 24 hours later on this site. Euro is caving BIG TIME. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: How do you see who weenies you? This has to be a joke?. Look at the bottom right of each post and you can see the emojis. I think you’re the world record holder in weenies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: How do you see who weenies you? Just tap the heart or weenie or whatever someone gives you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: This has to be a joke?. Look at the bottom right of each post and you can see the emojis. I think you’re the world record holder in weenies. All it says is "Haha". No other options. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 This looks better than the 12 and 18z 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2025 Share Posted February 16, 2025 Just now, clskinsfan said: This is great. We need to set up some kind of calling out the weenie posters 24 hours later on this site. Euro is caving BIG TIME. You’re being weenied because of the time you’re saying this. The storm is still 96 hours out and you’re positive it’s over, that’s just stupid. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts