Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 I still don't like the 500mb look over the Pacific for this storm, on the ensembles. In DC/Balt's greatest snowstorms, you have a strong trough over the Gulf of Alaska or PNA region. Models are showing a ridge there. And there is a weak +WPO over the Bering Strait. That pattern could pop a slight SE ridge or flatten the pattern out a little bit, which isn't being shown now, and I think there will be mixing issues, if not possibly rain. The 500mb doesn't match DC/Baltimore snowstorm composite in the Pacific Ocean for the time of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Let’s goooooo. Saw there were over 200 new posts in here and knew something huge must have happened. Need to reel in a HECS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: I still don't like the 500mb look over the Pacific for this storm, on the ensembles. In DC/Balt's greatest snowstorms, you have a strong trough over the Gulf of Alaska or PNA region. Models are showing a ridge there. And there is a weak +WPO over the Bering Strait. That pattern could pop a slight SE ridge or flatten the pattern out a little bit, which isn't being shown now, and I think there will be mixing issues, if not possibly rain. The 500mb doesn't match DC/Baltimore snowstorm composite in the Pacific Ocean for the time of this storm. A little SE ridge will force it up the coast instead of off the se coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: A little SE ridge will force it up the coast instead of off the se coast. Yeah, it may run up the coast. I just think there could be mixing issues in I-95, if not rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Yeah, it may run up the coast. I just think there could be mixing issues in I-95. Every biggie needs to flirt with the mix line. Stop being a grinch, let’s reel this in together. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 15 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Yeah, it may run up the coast. I just think there could be mixing issues in I-95, if not rain. Look at him go... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHabit Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Capital Weather Gang on Facebook:“Snow potential index — 10/10 (→): Monday’s snow is a lock. The wild card is what next weekend could bring.”Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 reposting in here (thanks @RIC Airport) 5 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 18Z Euro AI looked cold and juicy for the weekend storm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Imagine if the 0z GFS holds the previous BECS and the Euro follows suit. This place will be an absolute madhouse. Not that it isn’t already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Of course I miss the only time where I could have typed folks. Oh well....Come on GFS/Euro combo. If this shit keeps up on 0z tomorrow runs, this places is gonna lose it and become 110% more unbearable. Let the good times roll! 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Its a shit model, but the ICON looked interesting at the end of its run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: Its a shit model, but the ICON looked interesting at the end of its run Too much of a positive tilt with a kicker racing into the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Aiight..so out west. S/w down southwest is a bit further East...thats all for now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Aiight..so out west. S/w down southwest is a bit further East...thats all for now This is starting to look good at 72h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 So far, H5 is different....southwest vort seems more out of psych/less consolidated that 18z so far. But there's a stronger nrn vort diving down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 2 minutes ago, peribonca said: This is starting to look good at 72h Just wish that sw vort was fully phased in like 18z...but gulf low starting to form at 15z Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 GFS is interestng 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 yeah, leaving behind that sw vort hurts a bit. low in the gulf not as wet or consolidated so far. Still, not a terrible look at H5 rn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 So, from what I'm seeing, there's still going to be a storm..the questions now are strength and will it get its act together in time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So, from what I'm seeing, there's still going to be a storm..the questions now are strength and will it get its act together in time. That's a vigorous ns sw 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 snow starts ats 7am Saturday...again..hard to tell if it's gonna be a HECS or run of the mill thang 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 FOLKS.... 23 1 2 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 So, from what I'm seeing, there's still going to be a storm..the questions now are strength and will it get its act together in time.This is going to suck….maybe a 3-6 inch storm ?? Compared to 18z? 1 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Oh wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: FOLKS.... there it is! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 I’m here for FOLKS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Bruh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Moderate snow 15z Saturday...trof going negative 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Just now, Ji said: This is going to suck….maybe a 3-6 inch storm It most certainly will not 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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