GaWx Posted Sunday at 03:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:35 PM I created a new thread for tomorrow’s wintry event in mainly NC/VA: 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Sunday at 03:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:56 PM Which are y’all going with for Saturday’s (12/13) low? The GFS sticks out as much colder than the others at ATL with upper teens there, which tells me it’s likely too cold there. It has had a cold bias over snowcover in recent years (which is well above average in the Midwest). That’s probably a factor as I don’t know that that has been fixed. 6Z GFS: pipe busting cold with upper teens ATL/RDU: likely too cold 0Z Euro: slower with the cold and thus is much warmer on Sat AM with upper 30s: likely too warm though it has 20s the subsequent few days 0Z ICON: mid 20s RDU to upper 20s ATL: looks like a reasonable middle-ground 0Z CMC: coldest at RDU with mid teens (CMC has a well-known cold bias) though only down to mid 20s ATL 0Z UKMET: only down to low 30s though it has a warm bias/very likely too warm though it is headed for 20s on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Sunday at 07:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:37 PM Christmas hurricane? 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted yesterday at 12:43 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:43 AM 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted yesterday at 01:14 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:14 AM 18z GFS not far from something good next Sunday/Monday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted yesterday at 01:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:21 AM 9 hours ago, GaWx said: Which are y’all going with for Saturday’s (12/13) low? The GFS sticks out as much colder than the others at ATL with upper teens there, which tells me it’s likely too cold there. It has had a cold bias over snowcover in recent years (which is well above average in the Midwest). That’s probably a factor as I don’t know that that has been fixed. 6Z GFS: pipe busting cold with upper teens ATL/RDU: likely too cold 0Z Euro: slower with the cold and thus is much warmer on Sat AM with upper 30s: likely too warm though it has 20s the subsequent few days 0Z ICON: mid 20s RDU to upper 20s ATL: looks like a reasonable middle-ground 0Z CMC: coldest at RDU with mid teens (CMC has a well-known cold bias) though only down to mid 20s ATL 0Z UKMET: only down to low 30s though it has a warm bias/very likely too warm though it is headed for 20s on Sunday I'm guessing mid 20's for the ATL lows. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 15 hours ago Author Share Posted 15 hours ago Is anyone going to mention how the Euro has gone warmer again in the long range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 15 hours ago Author Share Posted 15 hours ago Pleasant Christmas? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago After a slight moderation leading into Christmas weeek, the 06Z GFS drops the arctic hammer across the U.S. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Ensembles have been showing a breakdown of the west coast ridge for a while. This should give us a nice relaxation in temperatures. DT was having none of it during his extended discussion that I saw on Saturday.We will have to see what actually occurs and if the breakdown does occur. Telecommunications weren’t strong enough last I checked to argue one way or the other. La Niña is waning which has big implications down the road.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago DT is about as accurate as Punxsutawney Phil 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago The Mjo will have a say also and most of the mid to long range warm ups haven't really verified this season except a couple. We will see though. Probably have a relaxation then another pattern shuffle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 2 hours ago, wncsnow said: Pleasant Christmas? I’m off that week and would really enjoy some fishing in lieu of watching it rain and be 38°. Hope it trends warmer not gonna lie lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 12 hours ago Author Share Posted 12 hours ago 3 minutes ago, BooneWX said: I’m off that week and would really enjoy some fishing in lieu of watching it rain and be 38°. Hope it trends warmer not gonna lie lol. I don't mind a warmup. My kids need to play outside (and me). 30s and rain is just miserable weather, especially with young kids who have tons of energy. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 20 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Christmas hurricane? End times 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 5 hours ago, wncsnow said: I don't mind a warmup. My kids need to play outside (and me). 30s and rain is just miserable weather, especially with young kids who have tons of energy. This sounds like my life right now. Add in working from home and it's chaos. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 48 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: This sounds like my life right now. Add in working from home and it's chaos. What?!? We need cold and snow! What have you done to yourself man? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Wouldn’t mind a little stretch of mild myself. Would love to be able to play some golf and get out with the grands. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago And the 18z GFS has a doozy leading up to Christmas for parts of NC. TW 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, CentralNC said: What?!? We need cold and snow! What have you done to yourself man? Lol. I still like cold and snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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