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Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
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 Which are y’all going with for Saturday’s (12/13) low? 
 
 The GFS sticks out as much colder than the others at ATL with upper teens there, which tells me it’s likely too cold there. It has had a cold bias over snowcover in recent years (which is well above average in the Midwest). That’s probably a factor as I don’t know that that has been fixed.

6Z GFS: pipe busting cold with upper teens ATL/RDU: likely too cold

0Z Euro: slower with the cold and thus is much warmer on Sat AM with upper 30s: likely too warm though it has 20s the subsequent few days

0Z ICON: mid 20s RDU to upper 20s ATL: looks like a reasonable middle-ground

0Z CMC: coldest at RDU with mid teens (CMC has a well-known cold bias) though only down to mid 20s ATL

0Z UKMET: only down to low 30s though it has a warm bias/very likely too warm though it is headed for 20s on Sunday

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9 hours ago, GaWx said:

 Which are y’all going with for Saturday’s (12/13) low? 
 
 The GFS sticks out as much colder than the others at ATL with upper teens there, which tells me it’s likely too cold there. It has had a cold bias over snowcover in recent years (which is well above average in the Midwest). That’s probably a factor as I don’t know that that has been fixed.

6Z GFS: pipe busting cold with upper teens ATL/RDU: likely too cold

0Z Euro: slower with the cold and thus is much warmer on Sat AM with upper 30s: likely too warm though it has 20s the subsequent few days

0Z ICON: mid 20s RDU to upper 20s ATL: looks like a reasonable middle-ground

0Z CMC: coldest at RDU with mid teens (CMC has a well-known cold bias) though only down to mid 20s ATL

0Z UKMET: only down to low 30s though it has a warm bias/very likely too warm though it is headed for 20s on Sunday

I'm guessing mid 20's for the ATL lows.

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