Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 07:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:59 PM 58 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Dumping cold over Texas instead of spreading East? We break this curse eventually right? This is a typical La Nina look actually. Dumps west then moves East or thats the idea. Still a lot to iron out though but Iike things heading into December. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted Wednesday at 01:01 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:01 AM Welcome to winter in the SE. We might hit the jackpot and then sadness for years. This entire decade so far has been wall to wall sadness for most. 6 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Wednesday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:30 PM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 08:50 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:50 PM . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Wednesday at 09:14 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:14 PM 23 minutes ago, BooneWX said: . We are so back! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 20 hours ago Author Share Posted 20 hours ago It's quiet for a reason. This will be a brief cooldown after Thanksgiving but right back to at to above average in early December. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: It's quiet for a reason. This will be a brief cooldown after Thanksgiving but right back to at to above average in early December. Everything is looking great my man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 20 hours ago Author Share Posted 20 hours ago 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Everything is looking great my man. With the SE ridge looking stout, I have to be skeptical about any long lasting cold/winter weather threats. Maybe as we get deeper in December. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 32 minutes ago, wncsnow said: With the SE ridge looking stout, I have to be skeptical about any long lasting cold/winter weather threats. Maybe as we get deeper in December. I'd honestly prefer to get deeper into December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: It's quiet for a reason. This will be a brief cooldown after Thanksgiving but right back to at to above average in early December. Close to record heat the 4th if that were to materialize. You can see huge motherlode of cold in Canada. That'll drive down on the heels of a major cutter. Then a boundary should ultimately setup somewhere along the Apps overall until the MJO goes toward late Ph 7. or the NAO goes negative. Either will drop that Boundary furthe SE. IF both coincide then the upper SE should see Snow Opportunities. If MJO ph.8 coincides with Blocking, fun and games for the deep South likely, imo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Would rather get this out of the way early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 18 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Would rather get this out of the way early. It's always seemed to me looking at the extended that we would cool down briefly after Thankgiving and then warm back up the first week of December then potentially turn much colder by the second week of December. There are some good signals. We shall see... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 18 hours ago Author Share Posted 18 hours ago The SE Ridge is kinda like SEC Football. You hate to see it coming, and you know its probably going to win in the end. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 31 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The SE Ridge is kinda like SEC Football. You hate to see it coming, and you know its probably going to win in the end. I mean how many damn years lately have we been stuck with La Nina too? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago The first week of December was never on the table 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: The SE Ridge is kinda like SEC Football. You hate to see it coming, and you know its probably going to win in the end. The big ten has won the last two national championships Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 2 hours ago, wncsnow said: The SE Ridge is kinda like SEC Football. You hate to see it coming, and you know its probably going to win in the end. Unless it’s playing the B1G. Hopefully we see a big midwestern OL steamroll that ridge in a couple of weeks. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Good news is the pacific doesn’t look as F’d as it did a few days ago. PNA Pretty much stays neutral now. That’s always the first place I look. As for the SER, as long as we don’t get that big western trough it can be beat back. A La Niña paired with a negative PNA is a death sentence for the southeast winter lovers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago 2 hours ago, franklin NCwx said: The big ten has won the last two national championships What about the past 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago 4 hours ago, eyewall said: I mean how many damn years lately have we been stuck with La Nina too? Quite a few but the last couple el ninos sucked even worse TBH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 16 hours ago, wncsnow said: It's quiet for a reason. This will be a brief cooldown after Thanksgiving but right back to at to above average in early December. Amazing how fast the models will switch at that range. Can't put any stock in a 2-week model run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 hours ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Amazing how fast the models will switch at that range. Can't put any stock in a 2-week model run EPS agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago Baja Low has screwed us over many times in recent Years. Hard to dislodge the Pattern when a standing powerful SER has developed in response. Maybe the MJO will dislodge it if it gets to cold Phases at enough Amp. A Block upstream would help particularly with a 50-50 in place. Without it you risk the SER, -NAO hookup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 17 minutes ago Share Posted 17 minutes ago Domination in the SE by mild/SE ridge in the first half of Dec has been forecasted by the Euro Weeklies for over a week. They’ve been steady as a rock. I’d be very surprised if it isn’t mild in the means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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