Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[Met1985]

58 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Dumping cold over Texas instead of spreading East? We break this curse eventually right?

This is a typical La Nina look actually. Dumps west then moves East or thats the idea. Still a lot to iron out though but Iike things heading into December. 

[Wow]

Welcome to winter in the SE.  We might hit the jackpot and then sadness for years.  This entire decade so far has been wall to wall sadness for most.

[olafminesaw]

[BooneWX]

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[WinstonSalemArlington]

23 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

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We are so back!

[wncsnow]

It's quiet for a reason. This will be a brief cooldown after Thanksgiving but right back to at to above average in early December. 

[Met1985]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

It's quiet for a reason. This will be a brief cooldown after Thanksgiving but right back to at to above average in early December. 

Everything is looking great my man.

[wncsnow]

1 minute ago, Met1985 said:

Everything is looking great my man.

With the SE ridge looking stout, I have to be skeptical about any long lasting cold/winter weather threats. Maybe as we get deeper in December. 

[Met1985]

32 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

With the SE ridge looking stout, I have to be skeptical about any long lasting cold/winter weather threats. Maybe as we get deeper in December. 

I'd honestly prefer to get deeper into December. 

[Daniel Boone]

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

It's quiet for a reason. This will be a brief cooldown after Thanksgiving but right back to at to above average in early December. 

Close to record heat the 4th if that were to materialize. You can see huge motherlode of cold in Canada. That'll drive down on the heels of a major cutter. Then a boundary should ultimately setup somewhere along the Apps overall until the MJO goes toward late Ph 7. or the NAO goes negative. Either will drop that Boundary furthe SE. IF both coincide then the upper SE should see Snow Opportunities. If MJO ph.8 coincides with Blocking, fun and games for the deep South likely, imo.

[olafminesaw]

Would rather get this out of the way early. 

[Upstate Tiger]

18 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Would rather get this out of the way early. 

It's always seemed to me looking at the extended that we would cool down briefly after Thankgiving and then warm back up the first week of December then potentially turn much colder by the second week of December.  There are some good signals.  We shall see...

[wncsnow]

The SE Ridge is kinda like SEC Football. You hate to see it coming, and you know its probably going to win in the end.