August 2024

[Dark Star]

5 hours ago, nycwinter said:

when was the last time in mid august we had a 4 day stretch stretch of below normal temps and low humidity..

At least below a recent 20 year average?

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 84
ACY: 83
New Brnswck: 83
JFK: 82
TEB: 82
LGA: 82
PHL: 82
BLM: 81
ISP: 81
TTN: 81

NYC: 80
 

[donsutherland1]

A warmer pattern will develop during the weekend. Afterward, highs will top out mainly in the lower and middle 80s through the remainder of August.

Out West, cities such as Flagstaff, Las Vegas, and Phoenix remain on track for their hottest summer on record. Del Rio is in the midst of its record third extreme heat event (Clarke et al., 2014 framework) of the year. High temperature records fell in parts of Texas. Highs included:

Abilene: 112° (old record: 104°, 1943 and 2010)
Amarillo: 107° (old record: 102°, 1973 and 2011)
Del Rio: 108° (old record: 106°, 1917)
San Angelo: 108° (tied record set in 2010)

Today was Abilene's fourth consecutive 109° or above high temperature. That is the longest such streak on record. The old record of three consecutive days was set during July 18-20, 2022. It was also Abilene's third consecutive 111° or above day. Prior to the current heatwave, Abilene's only 111° day had occurred on August 17, 2023. Records go back to September 1885.

Las Vegas saw its record 63-day streak of 80° or above low temperatures end. The prior record was 33 consecutive days.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around August 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.05°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall.

The SOI was +16.20 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.656 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 78% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.1° (1.0° below normal).

 

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs:

EWR:  93 (1989)
NYC: 92 (1916)
LGA: 92 (1996)
JFK: 91 (1978)


Lows:

EWR: 55 (1952)
NYC: 51 (1923)
LGA: 56 (1952)
JFK: 57 (1994)

Historical:

 

1724 - An event is known as the "Great Gust of 1724" occurred on this day. Almost all tobacco and much of the corn crops were destroyed by this violent tropical storm, which struck the Chesapeake Bay. Intense floods of rain and a huge gust of wind were seen on the James River. Some homes were wrecked, and several vessels were driven ashore. The storm was likely followed by a second hurricane just five days later causing rain for many straight days that caused the Virginia floods of 1724.

1906 - Thunderstorms deluged Kansas City, MO, with six inches of rain during the early morning, including nearly three inches in thirty minutes. (The Kansas City Weather Almanac)

1921 - Denver, CO, was drenched with 2.20 inches of rain in one hour, a record for that location. (The Weather Channel)

 

1933: A hurricane made landfall near Nags Head, North Carolina and tracked up the Chesapeake Bay. The Chesapeake-Potomac hurricane moved over Norfolk, Virginia, and Washington, DC. A seven-foot tide flooded businesses in Norfolk, Virginia. Described in the American Meteorological Society's August 1933 weather review as "one of the most severe storms that have ever visited the Middle Atlantic Coast."

1933 - The Chesapeake-Potomac hurricane moved over Norfolk VA and Washington D.C. A tide seven feet above normal flooded businesses in Norfolk, and damage in Maryland was estimated at seventeen million dollars. (David Ludlum)

1970 - Dry thunderstorms ignited more than one hundred fires in the Wenatchee and Okanogan National Forests of Washington State. Hot, dry, and windy weather spread the fires, a few of which burned out of control through the end of the month. More than 100,000 acres burned. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A cold front brought autumn-like weather to the Northern and Central Plains Region. Afternoon highs were in the 50s and 60s across parts of Colorado, Kansas and Nebraska that just two days earlier were in the 90s or above 100 degrees. Thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain in New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma and Arkansas. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced hail an inch in diameter, wind gusts to 64 mph, and 2.62 inches of rain at Tucson AZ resulting in three million dollars damage. Cool weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. Hartford CT reported a record low of 42 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain with flash flooding in West Virginia. Pickens, WV, reported 4.80 inches of rain in 24 hours. Evening thunderstorms in Mississippi deluged Alta Woods with 4.25 inches of rain in less than an hour. Thunderstorms also produced heavy rain in southeastern Kentucky, and flooding was reported along Big Creek and along Stinking Creek. The Stinking Creek volunteer fire department reported water levels 12 to 14 feet above bankfull. Fort Worth TX hit the 100 degree mark for the first time all year. Strong winds ushering cool air into northwest Utah gusted to 70 mph, raising clouds of dust in the salt flats. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1992 - While South Florida residents were preparing for Hurricane Andrew, folks in western Montana were dealing with early season snowfall. Some snowfall amounts include 8.3� in Great Falls, 6.2 in Helena, and 5.1� in Cut Bank. This snowfall is the first significant snowfall on record in western Montana in August.

2005 - Hurricane Katrina formed from Tropical Depression Twelve over the southeastern Bahamas. Katrina would become the costliest ($81.2 billion) and one of the most deadly hurricanes (1,836 lives) in U.S. history.

[psv88]

83 today. Beautiful evening on the water. It’s been an incredible boating season 

[bluewave]

Near record 500 mb ridge for late August building to our west next few days with our next heatwave. Low 90s possible Sunday into Monday. Then mid 90s possible by around Wednesday for the usual warm spots. 

 

[SACRUS]

 

71 / 56 and 5th dry day.  Mid / upper 80s in the warm spits.   A bit warmer tomorrow upper 80s and perhaps 90 in the warmer spots (aided by recent week of dryness).   Upper low cuts off and pushes down through the northeast Mon - Tue with onshore flow and some clouds/showers keeping heat west of the area but still above normal as humidity incraeses.   Flow goes westerly at some pint Tue - Fri with late season heatwave=, especially in the warm spots and west of the city.  Overall warmer into labor day as atlantic ridge builds in more humid and wetter potentially as well.  Heat is brief in /out.

 

[SACRUS]

Another overall dry week but watch Mon Pm / Tue am for showers ahead of the late season heat later Tue - Thu.  More humid and rain chances increase Labor Day weekend - but warm overall.

[SACRUS]

 

4 days below normal stretch - most since Aug 23 - 28 (2019) likely ends today as we push to and above normal. And coolest since 2017

 

2024

EWR:
8/20: 75 / 62 (-7)
8/21:  76/ 57 (-9)
8/22 : 80 / 56 (-8)
8/23:  84/ 59 (-4)

2019:
EWR:
8/22: 75 / 65 (-6) 
8/23: 78 / 63 (-4)
8/24: 77 / 62 (-5)
8/25: 75 / 59 (-8)
8/26: 74 / 60 (-8)

 

2017
EWR:

8/25:  79 / 61  (-5)
8/26:  79 / 59 (-6) 
8/27:  78 / 59 (-6)
8/28:  76 / 60 (-7)
8/29:  69 / 61  (-10)

[JustinRP37]

I’ll admit this was an impressively cool week. I don’t think I have experienced nights quite so cold with low humidity in quite some years in August. Going to suck at the water park tomorrow but I promised my son at least one more outing before they close on Labor Day. 

[Stormlover74]

6 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

I’ll admit this was an impressively cool week. I don’t think I have experienced nights quite so cold with low humidity in quite some years in August. Going to suck at the water park tomorrow but I promised my son at least one more outing before they close on Labor Day. 

Why will it suck? Should be a good day for it

[winterwarlock]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

4 days below normal stretch - most since Aug 23 - 28 (2019) likely ends today as we push to and above normal. And coolest since 2017

 

2024

EWR:
8/20: 75 / 62 (-7)
8/21:  76/ 57 (-9)
8/22 : 80 / 56 (-8)
8/23:  84/ 59 (-4)

2019:
EWR:
8/22: 75 / 65 (-6) 
8/23: 78 / 63 (-4)
8/24: 77 / 62 (-5)
8/25: 75 / 59 (-8)
8/26: 74 / 60 (-8)

 

2017
EWR:

8/25:  79 / 61  (-5)
8/26:  79 / 59 (-6) 
8/27:  78 / 59 (-6)
8/28:  76 / 60 (-7)
8/29:  69 / 61  (-10)

i remember a year when i was in high school...it was either 86 or 87 and I was working at a clothing store and remember we had a sidewalk sale and it was incredibly cool for August like highs only in the 60s...what year was that and anyone remember it..full sun and blue skies it could have been October, never experienced August weather like that

[winterwarlock]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

71 / 56 and 5th dry day.  Mid / upper 80s in the warm spits.   A bit warmer tomorrow upper 80s and perhaps 90 in the warmer spots (aided by recent week of dryness).   Upper low cuts off and pushes down through the northeast Mon - Tue with onshore flow and some clouds/showers keeping heat west of the area but still above normal as humidity incraeses.   Flow goes westerly at some pint Tue - Fri with late season heatwave=, especially in the warm spots and west of the city.  Overall warmer into labor day as atlantic ridge builds in more humid and wetter potentially as well.  Heat is brief in /out.

 

will the heat last through Thursday..going to Rutgers home opener. I see Wednesday has potential for mid 90s but looks cooler with frontal passage Wed night?

[Stormlover74]

23 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

i remember a year when i was in high school...it was either 86 or 87 and I was working at a clothing store and remember we had a sidewalk sale and it was incredibly cool for August like highs only in the 60s...what year was that and anyone remember it..full sun and blue skies it could have been October, never experienced August weather like that

86 was a cool summer. Record lows 4th of July 

[Brian5671]

57 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Why will it suck? Should be a good day for it

water's cold after a week of chilly weather and cold nights

[bluewave]

On 8/23/2024 at 12:07 PM, LibertyBell said:

Chris, did this last event remind you of Nemo in some ways?  Same areas got the historic totals in both storms (the snowfall max spot on Long Island!)  I don't mind getting off easy with only 2-3 inches of rain this time, big time flooding is one type of extreme event I never want to see.

 

He is going to have to update this map.

 

 

[Stormlover74]

7 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

4 days below normal stretch - most since Aug 23 - 28 (2019) likely ends today as we push to and above normal. And coolest since 2017

 

2024

EWR:
8/20: 75 / 62 (-7)
8/21:  76/ 57 (-9)
8/22 : 80 / 56 (-8)
8/23:  84/ 59 (-4)

2019:
EWR:
8/22: 75 / 65 (-6) 
8/23: 78 / 63 (-4)
8/24: 77 / 62 (-5)
8/25: 75 / 59 (-8)
8/26: 74 / 60 (-8)

 

2017
EWR:

8/25:  79 / 61  (-5)
8/26:  79 / 59 (-6) 
8/27:  78 / 59 (-6)
8/28:  76 / 60 (-7)
8/29:  69 / 61  (-10)

Looks like today will end up -1 at ewr 

[bluewave]

Wednesday could be the first EML of the summer. So we’ll have to monitor for severe once within the range of the CAMS. Could be a decent MCS pattern from the Great Lakes into the Northeast. 
 

 

[Allsnow]

We need rain 

[psv88]

84 today from 59 in the morning. Just perfect. Fishing wasn’t great today, only a few shorts. Otherwise  top 5 day. 

[winterwarlock]

1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

We need rain 

what happened to being done with the 90s

[donsutherland1]

Temperatures will top out mainly in the lower and middle 80s through the remainder of August. It is possible that Baltimore and Washington, DC could see some 90° readings. A fresh shot of Canadian air could arrive to close the month.

Out West, cities such as Flagstaff, Las Vegas, and Phoenix remain on track for their hottest summer on record. Del Rio is in the midst of its record third extreme heat event (Clarke et al., 2014 framework) of the year. However, the heat began to fade in Texas after setting monthly and even all-time records.

Amarillo reached a daily record 105° (old record: 103°, 1922, 1973 and 2011), its 9th consecutive 100° day. That broke the record of 8 days that was set during June 12-19, 1924 and tied during June 22-29, 1998. The previous longest August stretch of 7 consecutive days occurred during August 9-15, 1936.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around August 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.05°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall.

The SOI was +7.46 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.548 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 81% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.0° (1.1° below normal).

 

[JustinRP37]

9 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Why will it suck? Should be a good day for it

Water will be frigid!! It gets cold so fast! 

[JustinRP37]

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

We need rain 

No we really do not. Most of the area is above normal and parts of CT are still disaster zones from the rain last week. We need to dry out some. 

[forkyfork]

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

We need rain 

we need rain that comes in weekly moderate amounts instead of a month's worth in two hours

[psv88]

Gotta say, overall this has been an incredible summer weather wise. Not many washout weekends and plenty of days in the 80s with sun. Brutal stretch in July, but August has been a delight 

[Allsnow]

1 hour ago, winterwarlock said:

what happened to being done with the 90s

Where did I post that? 

[Allsnow]

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

we need rain that comes in weekly moderate amounts instead of a month's worth in two hours

Facts 

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:
 

EWR: 86
BLM: 85
LGA: 85
JFK: 84
New Brnswck: 84
ACY: 84
TEB: 84
ISP: 83
TTN: 83
PHL: 83
NYC: 83

[SACRUS]

3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like today will end up -1 at ewr 

Currently an 86 / 63 (0)