CheeselandSkies Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 Either way, I don't understand SPC's lack of even a hatched area for any hazard on the Day 3 outlook... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 7 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Either way, I don't understand SPC's lack of even a hatched area for any hazard on the Day 3 outlook... Same. Enhanced days are significant weather days so going to have a hatched area definitely for wind and probably tornadoes. Makes 0 sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 34 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: Same. Enhanced days are significant weather days so going to have a hatched area definitely for wind and probably tornadoes. Makes 0 sense. The 30% contour alone (doesn't need a hatched area) drives an "Enhanced" category; but pattern recognition alone (compact, negatively tilted shortwave, deepening surface low with rich moisture in the warm sector) suggests this event will be capable of producing significant severe weather of some type, perhaps widespread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 50 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: The 30% contour alone (doesn't need a hatched area) drives an "Enhanced" category; but pattern recognition alone (compact, negatively tilted shortwave, deepening surface low with rich moisture in the warm sector) suggests this event will be capable of producing significant severe weather of some type, perhaps widespread. I agree. But the 30% area will likely need one from evolving qlcs. And hatched area will be needed further west for tornado threat near sfc low and large hail threat with initial discrete supercells. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulie21 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 End of NAM hype but Sunday is looking more and more interesting. Has already looked pretty solid on globals the last couple of days too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 like that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Gonna be interesting to see how tomorrow turns out, hoping we get a decent line at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 03:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:33 PM todays sw is better than a realized and well timed, my some lapse rate pingers? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted Tuesday at 08:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:21 PM Lots of small hail with this cell heading into the city 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted 6 minutes ago Share Posted 6 minutes ago Looks like another 2% MCV threat popped up for the WI/IL stateline region on the Day 2 outlook (marginal was way down in S MO on yesterday's Day 3 outlook). SPC is on top of this one so it probably won't do anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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