MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 8 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: whatever happens its obvious its another no big deal event with NYC measuring less then 2 inches snow... We don't know that at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: We don't know that at all. well at least by Tuesday all eyes will be on next weekends coastal storm threat 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, NEG NAO said: well at least by Tuesday all eyes will be on next weekends coastal storm threat It's back on gfs . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: looking down the road to next weekend there will be no suppression and the rain/snow line uncomfortably close Yea and you are talking about the GFS 190 hours out. These models are still trying to figure out this upcoming event less than 72 hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: Yea and you are talking about the GFS 190 hours out. These models are still trying to figure out this upcoming event less than 72 hours out. yes I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 20 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I have to think the GFS/Euro idea is right here but that CMC run is a huge forehead scratcher this close in. Maybe these south outliers mean GFS/Euro are too amped, I can hope anyway. But it can easily rampage north at 0z. why don't we have a blocking high to the north-- wouldn't that be climo for early February? I also saw that the AO is negative, doesn't that mean there's blocking present? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: why don't we have a blocking high to the north-- wouldn't that be climo for early February? I also saw that the AO is negative, doesn't that mean there's blocking present? Because the pattern change will just be developing next week nothing is in place yet eventually blocking will take hold especially after next weekend storm passes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Ukie is like the cmc maybe slightly north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 hours ago, NEG NAO said: You just insulted a few METS on this forum............regardless I am still going with a couple slushy inches at the coast more inland where it will be colder - the coast is defined as NYC - Long Island - and the most eastern counties of NJ - the0Z EURO must have had steroids added to it......... almost a foot for NYC ??? to be fair, I think he's only talking about the people on TV.... and he's right, they're not very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2wheelin Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 31 minutes ago, Northof78 said: GFS shows a nice CCB (-3F 850) with snows as low exists to the NE south of us...has about 3-5" for NYC and more to the N/W Show me how you get maps on your Atari 2600 lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 Just now, 2wheelin said: Show me how you get maps on your Atari 2600 lol Old school is best, none of this fancy mumbo jumbo.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Latest EPS and NBE Outcomes: Don what do you think here? The NBE is slowly increasing so maybe 2-4 is a nice call here to account for the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 7 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Because the pattern change will just be developing next week nothing is in place yet eventually blocking will take hold especially after next weekend storm passes Sounds like Presidents Day is our best bet. I'll be happy with 2 inches with this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Don what do you think here? The NBE is slowly increasing so maybe 2-4 is a nice call here to account for the Euro? JFK or ABE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: JFK or ABE? I guess from JFK to NYC? I'll add in ABE and MPO JFK-2" NYC-4" ABE 8" MPO 12" Does this sound like a good estimate with the info we have right now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ukie is like the cmc maybe slightly north Really strange but it gives a little validity to the Canadian solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12z geps is actually slightly south of 0z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 A big red flag that the nam and rgem are not juiced up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 26 minutes ago, MJO812 said: A smidge north and stronger than 6z, however, the ensembles tend to follow the op at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: 12z geps is actually slightly south of 0z Complete opposite of the GFS suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 We will need a strong system with heavy precipitation and good dynamics For it to accumulate. The nam/rgem solutions will not do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 17 minutes ago, 2wheelin said: Show me how you get maps on your Atari 2600 lol Man I loved that game console when I was a kid. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, cleetussnow said: this small move north means a lot for the metro and now even N/W. More of that and its white rain for many. On to the Euro. Shows how delicate the setup is. Need pretty much a perfect track and a very dynamic storm to get anything more than mood flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Ukie still south vs gfs/euro. Pretty wild model differences for this range . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 why don't we have a blocking high to the north-- wouldn't that be climo for early February? I also saw that the AO is negative, doesn't that mean there's blocking present?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, sussexcountyobs said: NWS Mt. Holly new snow map issued at 9:53am this morning has cut my snow totals in half. From 6-8" to now 3-4" That new map only goes through 7AM Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: to be fair, I think he's only talking about the people on TV.... and he's right, they're not very good. Yes I didn't mean to insult anyone on here or any of the meteorologists on this forum. Had to clarify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Euro north Done 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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