LibertyBell Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Our best snow should be between 11 and 3. 20 miles south of me will do much better I'm still wondering if NYC will get 0.5" I could see us all with less than an inch in this. We've all seen virga storms before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: I'm still wondering if NYC will get 0.5" I could see us all with less than an inch in this. We've all seen virga storms before. Oh they definitely could fall short. Models give me an inch but I don't think so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Now more consistent flurries starting to fall. 27/20 with 70% RH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 37 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: I doubt it. NYC is at 1.9". I think Central Park will see at least 0.5". Winter 2022-2023 had season-total snowfall of 2.3". Don there's still a chance we could all see less than an inch from this lol. Except for central and south NJ of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Very light flurries in Elmhurst 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Don there's still a chance we could all see less than an inch from this lol. Except for central and south NJ of course. Yes. My thinking is that Central Park will see a coating to 2" (1" being most likely but downside risk). The 12z national blend of model forecast is down to 1.2". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Radar looks great for central nj. Would be funny if Monmouth gets 6 after the warning was dropped 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 I don't want to start any trouble but I myself did not expect to see flakes falling here in New City as they currently are right now at 830am. I have been watching the radar and I thought for sure I was looking at virga but light snow is falling in New City outside my window ,,,,,that is all https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: I don't want to start any trouble but I myself did not expect to see flakes falling here in New City as they currently are right now at 830am. I have been watching the radar and I thought for sure I was looking at virga but light snow is falling in New City outside my window ,,,,,that is all https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad Snow in new city,dryslot in southern jersey??. Sez alot about the precip.shield coming a bit more northerly then modeled. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just about an inch so far on top of the inch of ice rink from Monday/Tuesday. Pretty wet snow as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 6 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: I don't want to start any trouble but I myself did not expect to see flakes falling here in New City as they currently are right now at 830am. I have been watching the radar and I thought for sure I was looking at virga but light snow is falling in New City outside my window ,,,,,that is all https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad Yeah I agree I wasn’t expecting anything prior to 11am… maybe just maybe a positive bust! RH is at 70% which isn’t too bad. 27/20 update: 26/20… 76% RH 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Very light snow here 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 If one was to look at the radar,she looks ready to tilt over. Someone along the central jersey coast might get licked gd by "heather". Also precip still building north atm,fighting the confluence. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 Reports...widespred 3-4" already DC-BWI and am seeing 2-3" just west of PHl and reports of 1/2 mile moderate snow Trenton and Mount Pocono which is art least 1/2"/hr if it holds for an hour. Snow looks better to me today then it did Tuesday. Still disorganized but there should be a nice consolidation during midday according to a number of short fuse models. 0.2" at 835AM in this Wantage location since it began at 715A. Flakes still a little too small so its dense power at 21F. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Yeah I agree I wasn’t expecting anything prior to 11am… maybe just maybe a positive bust! RH is at 70% which isn’t too bad. 27/20 Maybe one of the more knowledgeable fellows or ladies can chime in on why I am seeing lite snow 20 miles North of the GW Bridge right now and again snow flakes are falling here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 6 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said: Snow in new city,dryslot in southern jersey??. Sez alot about the precip.shield coming a bit more northerly then modeled. It would be funny/ironic if there were two areas of snowfall, one farther north in the LHV and the other one with the IVT, with little or nothing in between. Right now, it looks like the sun wants to come out on the south shore of Long Island lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Quick coating here with light to mod snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, wdrag said: Reports...widespred 3-4" already DC-BWI and am seeing 2-3" just west of PHl and reports of 1/2 mile moderate snow Trenton and Mount Pocono which is art least 1/2"/hr if it holds for an hour. Snow looks better to me today then it did Tuesday. Still disorganized but there should be a nice consolidation during midday according to a number of short fuse models. 0.2" at 835AM in this Wantage location since it began at 715A. Flakes still a little too small so its dense power at 21F. Walt, is there a chance it will dry up as it comes east? There is more confluence the further east you go, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Pixie dust flakes in Long Beach. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Now it’s legit light snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, jm1220 said: Pixie dust flakes in Long Beach. the sky has brightened up a lot about 3 miles north of you lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: It would be funny/ironic if there were two areas of snowfall, one farther north in the LHV and the other one with the IVT, with little or nothing in between. Right now, it looks like the sun wants to come out on the south shore of Long Island lol. Ive been hinting at this possibility since yesterday. Also one of the prominent mets also said on twitter that this is no ordinary "low" it had potential to bomb along the coast. Not saying it is but you see the potential in real time. Not a model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, LibertyBell said: the sky has brightened up a lot about 3 miles north of you lol As you can tell I’m not optimistic about this at all. Hopefully I’m wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: It would be funny/ironic if there were two areas of snowfall, one farther north in the LHV and the other one with the IVT, with little or nothing in between. Right now, it looks like the sun wants to come out on the south shore of Long Island lol. That wouldn't be too surprising. Models had the metro dry slot for a while with better amounts north/nw and south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, Stormlover74 said: That wouldn't be too surprising. Models had the metro dry slot for a while with better amounts north/nw and south Nopes metro is literally gonna be in the middle of the action. Radar is blooming around us now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 26/21… RH 80% hmmmm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: As you can tell I’m not optimistic about this at all. Hopefully I’m wrong. JM I can actually physically see the sun now shining through the clouds, look to the east lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edubbs83 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 As you can tell I’m not optimistic about this at all. Hopefully I’m wrong. It’s snowing albeit flurries on north shore of LI. Syosset and Melville it’s been flurrying for past hour. Is it doing nothing on south shore?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Byrdhousebv Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 29.3/18.7 here in NE Monmouth Co. Light snow began at around 7AM and continues. Driveway turned white quickly and treated road is now turning white as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Really small flakes falling here in the south bronx 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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