MJO812 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 Cmc pretty wet for Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 Gfs slightly west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 36 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc pretty wet for Friday Another 2-4" of rain, no thank you!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Ton of rain where I was just west of Philly but it weakened as it paralleled the coast and drew in continental air.... I wasn’t born yet but my parents remember it as a very windy day with some flooding (Long Beach on LI). The eye (what was left of it) passed almost right overhead, maybe slightly east. Was much worse in Suffolk on the east side. Got devoured by the continental dry air and became your typical west side favored rain/east side windy storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 Regular NAM and NAM 3K are laughably different for Friday. 3k has the rain over E LI and Cape Cod, regular NAM blasts NJ. These inverted trough type events are very fickle as we all know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 13 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Regular NAM and NAM 3K are laughably different for Friday. 3k has the rain over E LI and Cape Cod, regular NAM blasts NJ. These inverted trough type events are very fickle as we all know. take a wintertime norlun trough and add warm season convection. very difficult forecast 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 2 hours ago, Superstorm93 said: 38th anniversary of Gloria Extremely similar to Irene back in 2011 gloria was much stronger as it passed newyork then irene.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, nycwinter said: gloria was much stronger as it passed newyork then irene.. The rain was much more significant with Irene vs Gloria....About 3.50" for Gloria and 8.01" for Irene here on si. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 54 minutes ago, nycwinter said: gloria was much stronger as it passed newyork then irene.. I was mainly referring to the track and speed when it was near the area, but yes. You are right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 12z HREF shows some pretty impressive totals already for Friday morning. FFG is really low from this weekend so I'm starting to get a little concerned for at least some pockets of poor drainage and perhaps stream/creek flooding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 27, 2023 Author Share Posted September 27, 2023 Euro coming in much wetter tomorrow night and Friday morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro coming in much wetter tomorrow night and Friday morning Alot of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 27, 2023 Author Share Posted September 27, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Alot of rain City east especially 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 Just now, Stormlover74 said: City east especially Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 Sne subforum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 2 hours ago, doncat said: The rain was much more significant with Irene vs Gloria....About 3.50" for Gloria and 8.01" for Irene here on si. wind was stronger with gloria.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 EPS is absolutely JUICED for Friday now, with high probs of >2" and even some 4"+! Rather concerning uptick 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 And now the HRRR is absolutely nuts as well. Ton of divergence aloft with convection rolling in from the coast 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Sne subforum Is this remnants from another tropical storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 27, 2023 Author Share Posted September 27, 2023 8 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: And now the HRRR is absolutely nuts as well. Ton of divergence aloft with convection rolling in from the coast Is that a 10? Damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: And now the HRRR is absolutely nuts as well. Ton of divergence aloft with convection rolling in from the coast Inland area precipitation could be enhanced by orographic lifting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 12z Canadian ensembles as well 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 10 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: 12z Canadian ensembles as well Eps is also very wet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 27, 2023 Author Share Posted September 27, 2023 Both Nams very wet esp west of the city...(still running) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Both Nams very wet esp west of the city...(still running) Nams gone wild 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Both Nams very wet esp west of the city...(still running) Out to 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 27, 2023 Author Share Posted September 27, 2023 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Nams gone wild Matches the hrrr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 this would be a serious event if the nam verifies 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 Still going... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 Man, if only these storm tracks can hold this winter. Not only was last winter warm but it was boring as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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