sbnwx85 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 SPC has introduced a 30% hatched area for wind across N MO, Central IL and SE IN. There are already watches out in Missouri. Destructive MCS/possible derecho becoming increasingly likely today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023 Areas affected...Portions of northern MO...extreme northeastern KS...and far southern IA Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 413... Valid 291258Z - 291430Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 413 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for significant damaging winds up to around 80 mph will likely increase this morning across northern Missouri. DISCUSSION...A couple of supercells and bowing clusters are ongoing this morning across far northeastern KS, southwestern IA, and northern MO. The most intense cluster is across northwestern MO, where a recent measured wind gust to 68 kt (78 mph) has been observed. As the boundary layer continues to destabilize with diurnal heating, the very strong instability (MLCAPE 3000+ J/kg) and steep low/mid-level lapse rates will support an increasing threat for significant severe downdraft winds up to around 80 mph. The greatest threat for these substantial damaging winds will likely focus across northern MO where the primary bowing cluster should consolidate. Isolated large hail may also occur with any embedded supercells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 The 11z HRRR run tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 would take the nam solution imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 hour ago, sbnwx85 said: The 11z HRRR run tho Storms seem to be pushing a bit further NE than depicted by the HRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Hoping to get at least clipped, need the rain bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Keep going NE please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 feels p juicy, especially compared to the recent airmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Illinois, NW Indiana, Eastern Iowa and parts of Missouri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 74 mph wind from the potent bow echo moving through Keokuk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 take the rain. keep the wind. looks like a close call here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Baum said: take the rain. keep the wind. looks like a close call here. Gonna depend on when it makes it’s turn to the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Peoria better keep their head on a swivel with the current track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Now 80 mph wind is being reported from the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Probably another close miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 Speedy boys... Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Lincoln IL 1129 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023 The National Weather Service in Lincoln has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Western Menard County in central Illinois... Scott County in west central Illinois... Southern Fulton County in west central Illinois... Western Sangamon County in central Illinois... Cass County in west central Illinois... Schuyler County in west central Illinois... Mason County in central Illinois... Morgan County in west central Illinois... * Until 1215 PM CDT. * At 1128 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 6 miles southwest of Astoria to near Clarksville, moving east at 80 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. * Severe thunderstorms will be near... Astoria and Browning around 1135 AM CDT. Bath around 1140 AM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 New Day 1 is 25 mins late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 6 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: New Day 1 is 25 mins late Going to be a Moderate Risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXMan42711 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 Nice couplet south of Springfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Jelly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Just now, A-L-E-K said: Jelly I just don't understand how northern Illinois/southern Wisconsin can get a significant severe weather event at the end of March, and then can't buy one for all of May and June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 11 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: I just don't understand how northern Illinois/southern Wisconsin can get a significant severe weather event at the end of March, and then can't buy one for all of May and June. We are overdue. Eventually it will balance itself out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 I'll take the rain but keep the wind and hail south of me....but always concerned about storms near the comma head of the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Is it me or does it seem to be developing more on the north end and extending more north? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy46237 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Is it me or does it seem to be developing more on the north end and extending more north? I was thinking the same but local authorities are insistent that it's all going south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, Stormy46237 said: I was thinking the same but local authorities are insistent that it's all going south. At the very least becoming a even more widespread system. Wonder when it makes the turn probably as it crosses into Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 looking hot for champaign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Recent SPC meso noting there could be increased storm development north pf the MCV in northeastern Illinois. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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