Itstrainingtime Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Jns2183 said: Compare this to Canadian model. I'm not looking for an ark. Just 0.50". It seems we will have widespread convection everyday for the next 6 or 7. I'm sure some are bummed at that but that's how we can cut this drought deficit in half Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I am under the brightest of yellows on that radar snippet and it is not raining at all. In fact, the sun has reemerged through the cloud cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Compare this to Canadian model. I'm not looking for an ark. Just 0.50". It seems we will have widespread convection everyday for the next 6 or 7. I'm sure some are bummed at that but that's how we can cut this drought deficit in half Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Yea, the rgem was dead wrong in not showing rain in Southern PA. I would not bet any money on the .5" today though either. Lots of models show less and the nowcasting does not look great IMO. The HRRR shows about 1/4" for most of the LSV @ 12Z tomorrow (from now to then.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 So with all the weird weather going on I wanted to remind everyone about that NASA study back in August about the effects Hunga Tonga's eruption would have. It added an extra 10% of the entirety of the earths water vapor into the stratosphere. And like with most volcanic eruptions there's always a lag period of 1-2 years before you start noticing effects. The NASA study stated that there would be warming of global temperatures for 10 years as the water vapor disappears and it would also alter the global climate pattern in various ways that we don't yet know. It's easy to say that El Nino is the current driving force with all the weird weather going on but I don't think it's kicked into full gear yet and can't explain everything. There's been some huge changes globally starting since last winter. It's just weird that nobody has been bringing this up at all. Remember when Pinatubo erupted in 1991 and 1993-1994 had some extreme weather like Storm of the Century and the coldest temps ever recorded in PA? Obviously that was volcanic ash and not water vapor like Tonga's so different effects occurred due to that. The thing that's interesting about Tunga is we've never had a volcano eject water vapor like that in our records so it's uncharted territory for the types of effects it can have globally. Sorry for the rambling but it's interesting to take into consideration. I'm super big into tropical weather and I'm trying to wrap my head around the almost unprecedented african wave train occurring 2 months ahead of schedule. There's a low amount of Saharan dust and the African Monsoon is way more potent with the warmest Atlantic SST's ever seen. Oh and another thing too with a potential record Super El Nino coming along with all that water vapor from Hunga Tonga also increasing global temps we're going to get a 1-2 punch HARD with how hot everything is going to get. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Yea, the rgem was dead wrong in not showing rain in Southern PA. I would not bet any money on the .5" today though either. Lots of models show less and the nowcasting does not look great IMO. The HRRR shows about 1/4" for most of the LSV @ 12Z tomorrow (from now to then.) If I can get above 0.60" by tomorrow 11:59pm I'll be happySent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 So with all the weird weather going on I wanted to remind everyone about that NASA study back in August about the effects Hunga Tonga's eruption would have. It added an extra 10% of the entirety of the earths water vapor into the stratosphere. And like with most volcanic eruptions there's always a lag period of 1-2 years before you start noticing effects. The NASA study stated that there would be warming of global temperatures for 10 years as the water vapor disappears and it would also alter the global climate pattern in various ways that we don't yet know. It's easy to say that El Nino is the current driving force with all the weird weather going on but I don't think it's kicked into full gear yet and can't explain everything. There's been some huge changes globally starting since last winter. It's just weird that nobody has been bringing this up at all. Remember when Pinatubo erupted in 1991 and 1993-1994 had some extreme weather like Storm of the Century and the coldest temps ever recorded in PA? Obviously that was volcanic ash and not water vapor like Tonga's so different effects occurred due to that. The thing that's interesting about Tunga is we've never had a volcano eject water vapor like that in our records so it's uncharted territory for the types of effects it can have globally. Sorry for the rambling but it's interesting to take into consideration. I'm super big into tropical weather and I'm trying to wrap my head around the almost unprecedented african wave train occurring 2 months ahead of schedule. There's a low amount of Saharan dust and the African Monsoon is way more potent with the warmest Atlantic SST's ever seen. Oh and another thing too with a potential record Super El Nino coming along with all that water vapor from Hunga Tonga also increasing global temps we're going to get a 1-2 punch HARD with how hot everything is going to get.I agree. Issue is we have never had an eruption like this at this magnitude in a long long time. It will be amazing for studies, but to think any models can come close to predicting the effect is ludicrous. I worry all this will get pushed under the envelope of global warming and kill the good science that can come from this event. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 OT - I95 will reopen this weekend in Philly. Not bad - 2 weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: OT - I95 will reopen this weekend in Philly. Not bad - 2 weeks. I read they are doing something similar to what Sanibel did....temp road/bridge and then work on the real deal slowly after temp is set up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 OT - I95 will reopen this weekend in Philly. Not bad - 2 weeks. All credit to them going with the smart solution. Turns out when shit hits the fan our leaders can be smart. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 21, 2023 Author Share Posted June 21, 2023 24 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: OT - I95 will reopen this weekend in Philly. Not bad - 2 weeks. You'll be seeing the fast work on Shapiro's future presidential campaign tour (along with his next gubernatorial campaign). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Just drizzle/mist at this point. Stuck on .03 for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 A robust .05 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 A high of 69 here and a nice light rain has been falling for about the last half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 It's Training Time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Just a randumb thought this afternoon. Our last rain here in AZ was on March 21st. That means we went the entire astronomical Spring season without a drop of rain... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 You'll be seeing the fast work on Shapiro's future presidential campaign tour (along with his next gubernatorial campaign). President Shapiro builds bridges. The other guy burns them. Pay me now for the campaign slogan.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 21, 2023 Author Share Posted June 21, 2023 Mod rain and 63 in York. It’s pretty chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 2 hours ago, anotherman said: A robust .05 here. Over 2 hours later and a robust .02" here. Completely dry under anything covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 2 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: A high of 69 here and a nice light rain has been falling for about the last half hour. Rain didn't start here until 6:45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Over 2 hours later and a robust .02" here. Completely dry under anything covered.Up to .12 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Still just .05 here. Mike Vecchione with a Summer Sizzler OT game winner tonight giving Hunter Shepard a Calder Cup game 7 win. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: It's Training Time Haven't we seen this scenario before, not that long ago. A few years ago. That time they had some bad flooding in the summer. I remember Eastern Dauphin County, parts of Lebanon and Schuylkill County. If I remember right it was from training thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 I got a tenth of an inch. Go ahead... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 38 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I got a tenth of an inch. Go ahead... They have medical procedures that could help with that? We could set up a gofundme to try and help during this trying time? Did not want leave you hanging out with no repies (well not really hanging out I guess) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 It is quite hard to watch the Bears game with this California camera. It does not follow the puck very well. Still think these 10pm games are killer for the Bear's. They scores 9 goals in 3 games in Hershey and 2 in 3 and almost one half games in Cali. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Opportunistic Bears claw their way back in. Impressed. Cannot stay up for more but happy for the team to be tied going into the final period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonesy56 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Still just .05 here. Mike Vecchione with a Summer Sizzler OT game winner tonight giving Hunter Shepard a Calder Cup game 7 win. Holy crap!!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 .37 from the rain overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 0.23" here. Now a day in the 60'a with low clouds, drizzle, mist. Followed by more steady showers overnight. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 7 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Opportunistic Bears claw their way back in. Impressed. Cannot stay up for more but happy for the team to be tied going into the final period. you missed a great ending. Saw a text from daughter when i woke up, her drinking beer out of the Calder Cup 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 https://weather.gladstonefamily.net/site/KMDT?days=1000#DataSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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