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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23

BxEngine

By BxEngine,
in New York City Metro

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Volcanic Winter
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Will be in Iceland starting Sunday. Last year we hiked Fagradalsfjall volcano and saw the fresh lava flow fields. This specific volcanic system was dormant for 8,000 years before it woke up in 2020; p

rclab
rclab

For all the Moms and the memory of … our love today and every day. As always ….  

bluewave
bluewave

I moved up to the CT shoreline just east of Tweed airport. So KHVN is my new nearest official station. It’s a cool little airport tucked into a nice community. So I may be as close to KHVN is Rjay us

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forkyfork

forkyfork

Posted
Posted
On 6/1/2024 at 2:29 PM, TheClimateChanger said:

Wonder what they’ll blame this one on? I remember last summer when they showing up in the north, the experts  were blaming it on some tropical storm. :lol:

 

and they were right. tropical systems are great vectors for vagrant tropical birds

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TheClimateChanger

TheClimateChanger

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

https://www.npr.org/2023/09/07/1197943623/hurricane-idalia-flamingos-ohio-florida-texas-carolina

But how did they get to Wisconsin? Thats 1,000 miles from the track of Idalia. It would have been quicker for them to just fly home. And where did the one in New York come from? Are you telling me it overwintered in North America, because that would be even more bizarre?

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forkyfork

forkyfork

Posted
Posted
Just now, TheClimateChanger said:

But how did they get to Wisconsin? Thats 1,000 miles from the track of Idalia. It would have been quicker for them to just fly home.

they kept flapping their wings until they got there

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bluewave

bluewave

Posted
Posted
21 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

I now post screenshots.

I had to add an extra step to those instructions for it to work. I changed the x to twittter but didn’t get the paste as plain text message. So I hit the back key and closed out the post. Then hit post again and pasted and got the post as plain text message and then it worked. Been hearing this issue is happening to many forums across the web following twitter changing to X. I thank everyone for the suggestions and am glad I got it to work with the extra step I added.

 

 

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GaWx

GaWx

Posted
Posted
On 5/14/2024 at 7:30 AM, GaWx said:


 The WB 18Z 5/13 run of the CFS control for Feb 2025 has Memphis a whopping 10 C BN/18 F BN the 1981-2010 climo mean of 45.5! 45.5-18 = 27.5. Coldest on record back to 1875 is 32.0, set in 1899 (before GW). Thus, this prog is for a Feb that is 4.5 colder than the coldest on record (going back 149 years) and that record cold Feb was pre-GW.  :arrowhead:
As long as WB is going to keep feeding JB ridiculously cold impossible CFS maps like this (WB CFS unfortunately are very flawed), he’ll have ammunition to keep suggesting a good shot at a very cold E US 2024-5 winter:

IMG_9663.thumb.png.647d293ca919ac38457980c4fece6510.png

Memphis climo: 

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=meg

*Edit 1:57PM: note how once again far N Lake Mich/Lower Mich is amazingly warmer than  closeby surrounding areas, symptomatic of a WB (not CFS) bug. Also, much of the US E coast almost always is much warmer anomalywise than just inland on WB CFS maps, which also has to be due to a WB bug. Actually, I’ve noticed that for several years on WB CFS maps.

 Here we go again. :arrowhead: :facepalm: 
 Yesterday, JB posted an insanely cold WB CFS 2m map for Jan-Mar 2025 as if it were worthy enough to show. The crazy map is shown in this American Wx post below (thank you @FPizzfor letting the members know about this insanity):

 For those who haven't been following this, the WB versions of the CFS model have been way out in left field compared to both the Tropical Tidbits versions (yes the SAME model!) as well as other long ranged models. One thing the WB CFS maps have literally been showing are polar opposite SST anomalies to TT CFS for the same periods! JB is posting these likely due to a combo of his off the chart weenieness and for increased WB clients/clicks. He's sunk to a new low imho. This map is literally showing the coldest Jan-Mar 2025 in the E 2/3 of the US going back to the late 1800s and by a significant margin. He picks and chooses the coldest individual WB CFS 2m runs to post. And they're not even real!

 There obviously are serious flaws in the WB algos related to its CFS output. JB needs to be called out for this nonsense as often as he posts flawed/fake crapola like this. This is bottom of the barrel.

  Note that a good number of these extreme cold E US WB CFS maps have been showing near normal in/near N Lower Michigan/E Upper MI while many of the same ones also show the strongest cold anomalies just 200-250 miles to the S near Chicago. That’s obviously from a flaw.

*Edit: I don’t think JB even realizes that WB CFS output is flawed. I’m confident he doesn’t compare it to TT CFS.

@donsutherland1

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donsutherland1

donsutherland1

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, GaWx said:

 Here we go again. :arrowhead: :facepalm: 
 Yesterday, JB posted an insanely cold WB CFS 2m map for Jan-Mar 2025 as if it were worthy enough to show. The crazy map is shown in this American Wx post below (thank you @FPizzfor letting the members know about this insanity):

 For those who haven't been following this, the WB versions of the CFS model have been way out in left field compared to both the Tropical Tidbits versions (yes the SAME model!) as well as other long ranged models. One thing the WB CFS maps have literally been showing are polar opposite SST anomalies to TT CFS for the same periods! JB is posting these likely due to a combo of his off the chart weenieness and for increased WB clients/clicks. He's sunk to a new low imho. This map is literally showing the coldest Jan-Mar 2025 in the E 2/3 of the US going back to the late 1800s and by a significant margin. He picks and chooses the coldest individual WB CFS 2m runs to post. And they're not even real!

 There obviously are serious flaws in the WB algos related to its CFS output. JB needs to be called out for this nonsense as often as he posts flawed/fake crapola like this. This is bottom of the barrel.

  Note that a good number of these extreme cold E US WB CFS maps have been showing near normal in/near N Lower Michigan/E Upper MI while many of the same ones also show the strongest cold anomalies just 200-250 miles to the S near Chicago. That’s obviously from a flaw.

*Edit: I don’t think JB even realizes that WB CFS output is flawed. I’m confident he doesn’t compare it to TT CFS.

@donsutherland1

That he's again hinting at cold and pulling the most extreme (even flawed maps) to illustrate his thinking is no longer surprising. It damages what's left of his credibility, but he seems to place clicks above credibility at this stage of his career. He is nowhere close to what he once was at Accuweather.

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