LibertyBell Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Ten years ago the high temperature at JFK Airport was 41°, as a snowstorm moved in. Today, summerlike warmth prevailed as the thermometer topped out at 80°. Today's daily records included: Athens, GA: 85° (old record: 84°, 2017) Atlanta: 83° (old record: 79°, 2005 and 2017) Atlantic City: 81° (old record: 77°, 2020) Baltimore: 81° (old record: 77°, 1938, 1975, and 2020) Bangor: 73° (old record: 71°, 2020) Bridgeport: 79° (old record: 69°, 2020) ***New November Record*** Caribou: 64° (old record: 63°, 1948) Houlton, ME: 67° (old record: 66°, 1948 and 1975) Islip: 80° (old record: 74°, 2020) ***New November Record*** Lynchburg: 84° (old record: 77°, 1965) New Haven: 80° (old record: 69°, 2020) ***New November Record*** New Orleans: 90° (old record: 86°, 1986) ***New November Record; Latest 90° temperature on record*** New York City-JFK: 80° (old record: 73°, 2020) New York City-LGA: 78° (old record: 76°, 2020) Newark: 81° (old record: 78°, 1938) Philadelphia: 79° (old record: 76°, 1938) Poughkeepsie: 75° (tied record set in 2020) Providence: 79° (old record: 76°, 2020) Raleigh: 84° (old record: 80°, 2008) Richmond: 82° (old record: 81°, 1975) Sterling, VA: 79° (old record: 76°, 2020) Tallahassee: 88° (old record: 86°, 2003 and 2015) Trenton: 76° (tied record set in 1975) Washington, DC: 81° (old record: 77°, 1938 and 1975) Westhampton: 80° (old record: 70°, 2020) ***New November Record*** White Plains: 75° (old record: 73°, 2020) Wilmington, DE: 80° (old record: 75°, 1938, 1975, and 2020) Boston, Bridgeport, Islip, New Haven, New York City (JFK, LGA, NYC), Newark, and Philadelphia all experienced their warmest first week of November on record. The final numbers will be available after midnight, as cooler air is now pressing into the region. Tomorrow and Wednesday will see temperatures no higher than the 50s in most of the region. Afterward, the temperature will again rebound before another stronger cold front brings cooler than normal conditions for late in the weekend and early next week. The cold front could be preceded by a significant rain and wind event, in part due to the remnants of Nicole. The potential exists for a widespread significant rainfall Friday through Saturday. Beyond mid-month, there are emerging signals that Atlantic blocking could try to develop. There is now good agreement between the latest ensembles and the statistical guidance following strong polar vortexes at the end of October showing the AO going negative toward November 20th +/- a few days. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.1°C for the week centered around November 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.71°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.90°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the winter. The SOI was -31.05 today. The previous record low was -21.59, which was set in 1997. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.739 today. On November 5 the MJO was in Phase 8 at an amplitude of 1.827 (RMM). The November 4-adjusted amplitude was 1.725 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 50.5° (2.5° above normal). From 8 inches of snow to 80 degrees on the same day 10 years later! Freehold got 14" in that storm, I suspect they were even warmer than 80 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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