JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Does the east trend ever not happen on these coastals? It seems very consistent. I have had a lot more luck with more inland storms here. It does seem pretty common, but I wouldn't say always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, RI Rob said: At this rate I wonder if Boston even hits a foot. I think the QPF will be a little underestimated in the strong banding. They’ll do over a foot easy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: So for CT peeps - the 12z fv3 hires seems pretty well lined up to the band's current position. Looks like it has it working it back west over the next few hours to get even @Damage In Tollandand to the Tolland/Hartford county border. Unfortunately it then almost immediately starts to collapse as the surface low continues to get tugged northeast as it clearly has been. But a few hours delay in that tug could mean quite a lot. However, it seems on the more aggressive side of st guidance with the western push. That’s what I’ve been banking on. It will be close . Will need that to get 15+ If not .. it’s 12-13” . Probably more for you either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: We’ve had stretches where they all come northwest. My band last Dec was a late modeling push NW. some of the biggies have just been east lately. Yeah, rarely (never?) does a forecast work out perfectly, so at least half the time it's a tick east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: That’s what I’ve been banking on. It will be close . Will need that to get 15+ If not .. it’s 12-13” . Probs my more for you either way I havent measured yet, what do you have so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 LOL snow is halfway up my front door, going to have to go out the back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Visibility is like 50 feet, no joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 I would not grade models before seeing if the stretched low consolidates as the capture matures. Euro and NAM had that. I’d wait until 2-3 before considering a model grade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I havent measured yet, what do you have so far Anywhere between 7-8” . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 BOS will prob have a foot like 2-3 hours from now. Lol. They must have at least 6-7 by now. I’m already over 6 and they have some serious meat to go through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: BOS will prob have a foot like 2-3 hours from now. Lol. They must have at least 6-7 by now. I’m already at 6 and they have some serious meat to go through Heaviest snow I’ve ever seen here right now. Incredible stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Anywhere between 7-8” . How is that tripod standing? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: We’ve had stretches where they all come northwest. My band last Dec was a late modeling push NW. some of the biggies have just been east lately. LOL that one still whiffed me too. I've ended up preferring to see the models show marginal cutters/inland runners that can trend SE and turn into elevation events. That's been more reliable for me last two winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: BOS will prob have a foot like 2-3 hours from now. Lol. They must have at least 6-7 by now. I’m already over 6 and they have some serious meat to go through Any new thoughts .. westward push/ pivot ? Seems like it can pivot here for a 1-3 hour period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any new thoughts .. westward push/ pivot ? Seems like it can pivot here for a 1-3 hour period GFS is more aggressive with it than its little brother, fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any new thoughts .. westward push/ pivot ? Seems like it can pivot here for a 1-3 hour period I don’t see anything enlightening in the last hour. I think guidance is mostly doing ok except it’s probably a bit light under the banding over E MA. You should get some outer bands in your area. You can still see a bit of a Nw push in E CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: BOS will prob have a foot like 2-3 hours from now. Lol. They must have at least 6-7 by now. I’m already over 6 and they have some serious meat to go through Is the thought that the heaviest banding currently over Weymouth will pivot into Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: GFS is more aggressive with it than its little brother, fwiw Yeah GFS actually looks most aggressive with the H7 low out of the 12z guidance so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: We’ve had stretches where they all come northwest. My band last Dec was a late modeling push NW. some of the biggies have just been east lately. This one is unusual in that the mid levels closing off (timing) and tracks were always great for the interior but the surface track worsened. You guys will still get a good storm out of this bc of the former. It doesn’t help either that your climo raises the bar for what is a big snowstorm event. My big take home is that if the flow is fast off the east coast without blocking, sell the clean phase. At the end of the day I think a ++NAO bit us again. Not terribly, but enough to reduce this to best storm of the year, from best in 10 or 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Enjoy everyone 9 inches here 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: Enjoy everyone 9 inches here I picture you taking this photo while a perp is handcuffed lying on the ground and you've got one foot on their back lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, RI Rob said: Is the thought that the heaviest banding currently over Weymouth will pivot into Boston? u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Enjoy everyone 9 inches here Where are the handcuffed prostitutes in the cruiser? Congrats down there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: u I was referring to this. Seems like it's stuck just SE of Metro Boston. https://ibb.co/B2b90gP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 40 minutes ago, dendrite said: We’ve had stretches where they all come northwest. My band last Dec was a late modeling push NW. some of the biggies have just been east lately. Yea, of course the one that was modeled to hit me drifted, and this one grounds itself in Boston. MLK gets tugged NW by N Stream queef, and this chases convective tail just far enough east. Beat goes on. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, RI Rob said: I was referring to this. Seems like it's stuck just SE of Metro Boston. https://ibb.co/B2b90gP 6 minutes ago, RI Rob said: I was referring to this. Seems like it's stuck just SE of Metro Boston. https://ibb.co/B2b90gP The good band is over Boston but the best goods are SE. Hard to know if it is as strong when it reaches the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: The good band is over Boston but the best goods are SE. Hard to know if it is as strong when it reaches the city. Yeah, doesn't look like it's going to quite make it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, apm said: Yeah, doesn't look like it's going to quite make it... HRRR and RAP give some hope this afternoon after around 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: HRRR and RAP give some hope this afternoon after around 1-2. An eternity for that band. Hope they're right, but it'll probably fade as the forcing heads east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Look at the size of this "dry slot" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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