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Jan 22-24th Clipper Trio


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24 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

12z guidance came in zzzzz 

nothing super significant. But never thought there was. But every model did have 3 clippers from Sat.-Tues. Verbatim potential for 2-4" of fluff. A non event in many years. This year, it's a bonanza. Potential exists in  the last car of the train.... 

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38 minutes ago, Baum said:

nothing super significant. But never thought there was. But every model did have 3 clippers from Sat.-Tues. Verbatim potential for 2-4" of fluff. A non event in many years. This year, it's a bonanza. Potential exists in  the last car of the train.... 

Really need to get to February, although I think it may be playing with fire with southeastward extent in the sub.  Higher risk higher reward type of pattern.

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IWX feeling the frustration of this winter:

Confidence rapidly diminishes with the hybrid clipper to follow 
early next week. This northern stream wave will have some pacific 
moisture work, with a separate leftover closed low over the Four 
Corners likely ejecting east-northeast through the TN/OH Valleys 
by around Tuesday. It would fit the trend this winter if fgen/WAA 
snow passes north (or clips our far northern zones) and deeper 
moisture with the southern stream waves gets sheared well 
south...keeping the snow drought going. This is actually the 
model consensus at this time, but still worth monitoring going 
forward given all the moving parts and large spread in solutions.
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wave 3 LOT:

 TIMING OF THIS  
WAVE WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED AS ANY SLOWING TRENDS AS   
NOTED BY THE GFS WILL ALLOW THE WAVE TO BEGIN TO PHASE WITH A   
SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

thread the needle hope for a more significant event. You can always hope. 

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4 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

What's average peak depth up that way? We neared 2 feet in 2014, 18" in 2015, and 14" in 2018 & 2021, but I'd say avg peak depth is 8-10".

Coop site here in town is very inconsistent with depth readings over the years. I looked at Duluth, and they run about 20" Jan-Mar, so I figure with what they have, and what I can glean from ours, I'd say we are avg right now.

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26 minutes ago, Brian D said:

Coop site here in town is very inconsistent with depth readings over the years. I looked at Duluth, and they run about 20" Jan-Mar, so I figure with what they have, and what I can glean from ours, I'd say we are avg right now.

Last year at this time, had a measly 26" of snow with a 6" snow depth. But that's just the way it goes. Feast, famine, and a whole lot in between.

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  • Chicago Storm changed the title to Jan 22-24th Clipper Trio

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