Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2022 Author Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said: Are odds good I see sleet/ice Friday? I vote yes but even you could end as rain per the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I vote yes but even you could end as rain per the GFS. Yeah I know rains in the cards at some point…surprisingly nam keeps us all ice until the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 19 minutes ago, paweather said: WOW talk about OTS! I'm pretty much convinced, that with the flow we're in it just wasn't meant to be this year. Yeah, we've had a few events, so most should not be totally bitter, but we've basically had 2 snow events here in the LSV, and I'm just not seeing enough appreciable change to get cranked up. Yes, EPO going - helps the ridging out west, but the transient nature of how things are moving across the conus, just doesn't let things set up. Obviously we can eek something out here and there, but we really missed our chance back in Jan when the cold held. Over they years, some have used the phrase "atmospheric memory" and IMO that has been a consistent theme this year. MJO in 3 is not a kiss of death temp wise (as Mag suggested in one of his great disco's), but seemingly keeps SE ridge close enough to play spoiler on any attempt at a decent longwave pattern from getting established (unless I'm misinterpreting the correlation-let me know if so Mag). AO staying + and NAO + but trending - beyond first week of march is really getting late in the game (assuming those looks hold). PNA also looking - as we get into March. That could be a byproduct of EPO, but with little help in here in eastern NA, I'm cautiously pessimistic that we south of 80'rs may be shot in the arse for something other than backends and bootlegs for our winter crumbs... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: I'm pretty much convinced, that with the flow we're in it just wasn't meant to be this year. Yeah, we've had a few events, so most should not be totally bitter, but we've basically had 2 snow events here in the LSV, and I'm just not seeing enough appreciable change to get cranked up. Yes, EPO going - helps the ridging out west, but the transient nature of how things are moving across the conus, just doesn't let things set up. Obviously we can eek something out here and there, but we really missed our chance back in Jan when the cold held. Over they years, some have used the phrase "atmospheric memory" and IMO that has been a consistent theme this year. MJO in 3 is not a kiss of death temp wise (as Mag suggested in one of his great disco's), but seemingly keeps SE ridge close enough to play spoiler on any attempt at a decent longwave pattern from getting established (unless I'm misinterpreting the correlation-let me know if so Mag). AO staying + and NAO + but trending - beyond first week of march is really getting late in the game (assuming those looks hold). PNA also looking - as we get into March. That could be a byproduct of EPO, but with little help in here in eastern NA, I'm cautiously pessimistic that we south of 80'rs may be shot in the arse for something other than backends and bootlegs for our winter crumbs... Yeo let's enjoy the ICE storm at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'm pretty much convinced, that with the flow we're in it just wasn't meant to be this year. Yeah, we've had a few events, so most should not be totally bitter, but we've basically had 2 snow events here in the LSV, and I'm just not seeing enough appreciable change to get cranked up. Yes, EPO going - helps the ridging out west, but the transient nature of how things are moving across the conus, just doesn't let things set up. Obviously we can eek something out here and there, but we really missed our chance back in Jan when the cold held. Over they years, some have used the phrase "atmospheric memory" and IMO that has been a consistent theme this year. MJO in 3 is not a kiss of death temp wise (as Mag suggested in one of his great disco's), but seemingly keeps SE ridge close enough to play spoiler on any attempt at a decent longwave pattern from getting established (unless I'm misinterpreting the correlation-let me know if so Mag). AO staying + and NAO + but trending - beyond first week of march is really getting late in the game (assuming those looks hold). PNA also looking - as we get into March. That could be a byproduct of EPO, but with little help in here in eastern NA, I'm cautiously pessimistic that we south of 80'rs may be shot in the arse for something other than backends and bootlegs for our winter crumbs... The Coastal would have been great but missed us only to hit Delaware//NJ Heck Rehoboth beach has more snow than us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 and fwiw, I'm hoping to be wrong in the worst way.... I'm headed on my first cruise late next week, so if y'all are looking for a shellackin....3/3-7 is the time for it to happen. i missed our last snow at home, so it would be fitting to continue that theme as well.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: and fwiw, I'm hoping to be wrong in the worst way.... I'm headed on my first cruise late next week, so if y'all are looking for a shellackin....3/3-7 is the time for it to happen. i missed our last snow at home, so it would be fitting to continue that theme as well.... Have Fun! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 10 minutes ago, pasnownut said: and fwiw, I'm hoping to be wrong in the worst way.... I'm headed on my first cruise late next week, so if y'all are looking for a shellackin....3/3-7 is the time for it to happen. i missed our last snow at home, so it would be fitting to continue that theme as well.... You'll have a blast. If you don't mind me asking, where are you going and which cruise line are you using? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: You'll have a blast. If you don't mind me asking, where are you going and which cruise line are you using? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: You'll have a blast. If you don't mind me asking, where are you going and which cruise line are you using? Dont mind at all bud. Royal Caribbean out and back from FL. I'm not a beach/deep water/ton a sun...and especially sand guy....short of that I'm really looking forward to it . Joking aside, we are long overdue for a trip of substance, and YOLO, so....what da heck. I booked it for my wife for Christmas present. Going w/ her cousin/spouse. We always have a great time no matter what we are doing, so I'll roll w/ it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 23 minutes ago, paweather said: Yeo let's enjoy the ICE storm at the very least. Really need that 1041hp to anchor for us to get your wish to come true. if it scoots....were toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Really need that 1041hp to anchor for us to get your wish to come true. if it scoots....were toast. Yep very true. GFS is a big ICE storm NAM not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2022 Author Share Posted February 22, 2022 16 minutes ago, canderson said: This is why Training hustled his family into the car when MJS was heading toward them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, paweather said: Yep very true. GFS is a big ICE storm NAM not so much CMC went from an I80 N special to a rt6 special.... and for most here.....that's nothing special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: This is why Training hustled his family into the car when MJS was heading toward them. really needed to look at the girl in the middle to see what she was doing. Not sure many/any women ever did "that" while stalking me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 9 minutes ago, pasnownut said: CMC went from an I80 N special to a rt6 special.... and for most here.....that's nothing special. I don't know the last time the CMC was right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 52 minutes ago, paweather said: Yeo let's enjoy the ICE storm at the very least. The only way I'm going to enjoy the ice storm is if it gives me a three day weekend...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Wmsptwx said: Are odds good I see sleet/ice Friday? you know the drill bruh, we never get the sleet or frzn they say we will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Just now, sauss06 said: you know the drill bruh, we never get the sleet or frzn they say we will We usually over perform on IP and Fzrn in my valley area…I know areas west of here warm quicker though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 24 minutes ago, pasnownut said: really needed to look at the girl in the middle to see what she was doing. Not sure many/any women ever did "that" while stalking me.... She’s a proud Iowa State University graduate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Just now, Wmsptwx said: We usually over perform on IP and Fzrn in my valley area…I know areas west of here warm quicker though. i'm seakin on Da Boat with nut. wonder if he'll pick up the fact i'm jumpin on his tab. Maybe i'll find a hot Hawaiian Tropics chick 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 minute ago, canderson said: She’s a proud Iowa State University graduate. HAHA!!!! Probably yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 35 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: This is why Training hustled his family into the car when MJS was heading toward them. Easy fellas, easy haha. Not sure how I've managed to paint myself as the resident board stalker but I guess I'll own it. If it's a stalker you want, it's a stalker you'll get! I'm coming to all ya'alls stomping grounds and raising cain! But seriously @pasnownut you'll have a blast. My first cruise ever way back when I was 17 was with Royal Caribbean. They do a great job. There's never a bad time for a cruise. It may be your first but I doubt it will be your last. Cheers mate! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: I'm pretty much convinced, that with the flow we're in it just wasn't meant to be this year. Yeah, we've had a few events, so most should not be totally bitter, but we've basically had 2 snow events here in the LSV, and I'm just not seeing enough appreciable change to get cranked up. Yes, EPO going - helps the ridging out west, but the transient nature of how things are moving across the conus, just doesn't let things set up. Obviously we can eek something out here and there, but we really missed our chance back in Jan when the cold held. Over they years, some have used the phrase "atmospheric memory" and IMO that has been a consistent theme this year. MJO in 3 is not a kiss of death temp wise (as Mag suggested in one of his great disco's), but seemingly keeps SE ridge close enough to play spoiler on any attempt at a decent longwave pattern from getting established (unless I'm misinterpreting the correlation-let me know if so Mag). AO staying + and NAO + but trending - beyond first week of march is really getting late in the game (assuming those looks hold). PNA also looking - as we get into March. That could be a byproduct of EPO, but with little help in here in eastern NA, I'm cautiously pessimistic that we south of 80'rs may be shot in the arse for something other than backends and bootlegs for our winter crumbs... You know...I'm really glad to hear you say this - I've felt for the past couple of weeks that we were about done. (LSV specifically) And, for all the reasons that you just mentioned. To me, this whole winter required almost everything to sync up perfectly for us to score a flush hit. And to play those odds would seem to be a harbinger for disappointment. I was reluctant to share how I felt as I didn't want to be "that guy" who got cursed by others...but it's just felt like it's about over for a good while. Hey, we can get really lucky and end up with something special. Odds certainly don't favor it, but odds didn't favor the US hockey team beating Russia in the 1980 Olympics. That's why the chase lives on, but short of something unforeseen happening, the most likely outcome down this way for the rest of the winter is some scraps. And heading into March - I'll pass on the scraps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Easy fellas, easy haha. Not sure how I've managed to paint myself as the resident board stalker but I guess I'll own it. If it's a stalker you want, it's a stalker you'll get! I'm coming to all ya'alls stomping grounds and raising cain! But seriously @pasnownut you'll have a blast. My first cruise ever way back when I was 17 was with Royal Caribbean. They do a great job. There's never a bad time for a cruise. It may be your first but I doubt it will be your last. Cheers mate! Heading on my 14th cruise in August. (Bermuda) As someone who travels a lot, cruising is at the top of my list. Can't wait! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Some snow for us on the EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Pretty major ICE bomb on the EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 25 minutes ago, sauss06 said: i'm seakin on Da Boat with nut. wonder if he'll pick up the fact i'm jumpin on his tab. Maybe i'll find a hot Hawaiian Tropics chick We were informed that its best to get the drink passes, so I'll never know until a manager approaches me about my "consumption problem" Hope you find that chica you are looking for as well...otherwise....i'll send pics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 37 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Easy fellas, easy haha. Not sure how I've managed to paint myself as the resident board stalker but I guess I'll own it. If it's a stalker you want, it's a stalker you'll get! I'm coming to all ya'alls stomping grounds and raising cain! But seriously @pasnownut you'll have a blast. My first cruise ever way back when I was 17 was with Royal Caribbean. They do a great job. There's never a bad time for a cruise. It may be your first but I doubt it will be your last. Cheers mate! Thanks bud. We've been told that very statement from those we've discussed w/. As of today, masks are now optional....one step closer to normal.... I was wondering how we'd look with the mask tan lines... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 I was fully ready to write this one off as "ice never verifies as significant as modeled". But dang that Euro run has me interested! Much colder than the 0Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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