paweather Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 27 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: We are due for a good tracking storm that is suppressed 3 days out and then starts coming north and puts us in the sweet spot at game time like the good ole days 1-7 is it for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This is too good not to post! New page…this map deserves a bump! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Sniffed it out early. Only going to get stronger If that’s the case we gotta watch thermals in LSV as it’s riding boundary with no HP….especially if it gets stronger. That was brought up as a concern yesterday and need boundary to stay south for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: If that’s the case we gotta watch thermals in LSV as it’s riding boundary with no HP….especially if it gets stronger. That was brought up as a concern yesterday and need boundary to stay south for us. Keep reposting this with subsequent runs...this is the type of post I'm always making. And it's worth noting because... ...well, we know the drill. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: If that’s the case we gotta watch thermals in LSV as it’s riding boundary with no HP….especially if it gets stronger. That was brought up as a concern yesterday and need boundary to stay south for us. The storm will make its own cold air *Rule 14-3 in Kocin book* 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: Not sure how it cuts into this. Boundary has been eeking south for the last 1.5 days. I'm more worried about the 20" totals for MA coming true. The entrance of the full blown trough definitely needs to be slower (like the EC) for the storm timing to work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Meanwhile...current radar suggests little additional rainfall for me. Total today is .16" = yet another gross underachiever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: The storm will make its own cold air *Rule 14-3 in Kocin book* Also, one of my favorites, the storm will pull down air from Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 One other interesting note: the last time the temp dropped below 14 at MDT was 2/2/2019, which is by far the longest such streak ever at that location. Could that be in jeopardy by the weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: One other interesting note: the last time the temp dropped below 14 at MDT was 2/2/2019, which is by far the longest such streak ever at that location. Could that be in jeopardy by the weekend? After a foot of snow YES! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I’m good if this just ends up being a forum wide 3 to 6 inch all snow event. Lots of options still on the table, but this should be a fun week of tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: After a foot of snow YES! Now we’re talking! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 The Euro is deeper and more "energetic" than the Icon, but the low positions, if you follow the complete path of the storm, are about as close as you can get in a system 5 days away. Example below of hour 132. The Euro is a classic Chattanooga Choo Choo with reformation on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: The Euro is deeper and more "energetic" than the Icon, but the low positions, if you follow the complete path of the storm, are about as close as you can get in a system 5 days away. Example below of hour 132. The Euro is a classic Chattanooga Choo Choo with reformation on the coast. Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 16 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Meh - PSU with not a single starter playing on defense, at least the seniors. That, and Datson sitting out is a lot to overcome. Razorbacks can go all in on stopping the run, which we can't do to begin with. 27-13 bad guys. Current score is 24-10. Game going exactly the way I thought it would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Current score is 24-10. Game going exactly the way I thought it would. Sorry man. I saw a Franklin interview, last evening, where he was talking about the whys of burning Red Shirts and his way of broaching the subject was cringe worthy as to the lack of confidence coming from him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Sorry man. I saw a Franklin interview, last evening, where he was talking about the whys of burning Red Shirts and his way of broaching the subject was cringe worthy as to the lack of confidence coming from him. I saw that too. Not good. I'll leave it at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I saw that too. Not good. I'll leave it at that. He finished it with 'It's not my decision'. I rolled my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: He finished it with 'It's not my decision'. I rolled my eyes. Terrible watching the 2nd half has been awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: He finished it with 'It's not my decision'. I rolled my eyes. Yep. Meanwhile, Clifford is doing everything he can today to keep them in it while getting his a** killed. He single-handedly led the team to the red zone, and finished it off with a dreadful pick in the endzone. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yep. Meanwhile, Clifford is doing everything he can today to keep them in it while getting his a** killed. He single-handedly led the team to the red zone, and finished it off with a dreadful pick in the endzone. Ugh. That was probably the game (the pick). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: That was probably the game (the pick). PSU is spent on defense. Lack of depth with all of the starters out plus Arkansas punishing run game has done them in. She's over, barring mistakes by the Hogs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yep. Meanwhile, Clifford is doing everything he can today to keep them in it while getting his a** killed. He single-handedly led the team to the red zone, and finished it off with a dreadful pick in the endzone. Ugh. This is a PA forum but will comment that my Cav's were going to be playing in the inaugural Fenway bowl so just the fact that you guys got to play makes me jealous. I was looking forward to UVA being a trivia answer....they do not get much respect and trivia answers are something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 As fun as it is to look at, 6 days is an eternity. Thankful to be tracking though. December was brutal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: This is a PA forum but will comment that my Cav's were going to be playing in the inaugural Fenway bowl so just the fact that you guys got to play makes me jealous. I was looking forward to UVA being a trivia answer....they do not get much respect and trivia answers are something. Very disappointing. I feel for the programs and fans who have had their bowl games ripped away, some of them in the final hours prior to kick. It's a real shame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Hrrrrrrrrr for Monday morning. Gets some flurries to the m/d crew ... Or virga HRRR is a lot like the 12Z GFS. GFS gaining momentum for the slam dunk win over the EC and Nam. It's a bit if a disaster for the far Eastern Tidewater folks and a sign of hope for N VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: As fun as it is to look at, 6 days is an eternity. Thankful to be tracking though. December was brutal! Agreed. Any storm that forms in the TN Valley is crap shot at best for pin pointing more than a day or two out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 hours ago, mahantango#1 said: What kind of station you have I got a accurite I can answer that question for you. @Voyagerhas the Ambient Weather WS-2000. I whole-heartedly endorse Ambient's products. I've had the WS-2902 model for 3 years and it has worked flawlessly. Ambient has revised the firmware in the 2902 4 times since introduction, so current model is WS-2902C. Retails for $169.99, but occasionally goes on sale for 15% off. The 2902 and the 2000 both use the exact same outdoor sensor assembly. The only difference is the type of display they use for the 2 models. The WS-2000 uses a pure LED display with a wide viewing angle. The 2902 uses a TFT film display, which works great but you have to adjust your viewing angle to have it display completely and brightly. I have mine placed right next to my La-Z-Boy on a table whose height is about the same as my head position in my chair. The display comes with a support base that intentionally angles the display top-forward. You just need to experiment a little. As for Voyager's comment about battery backup, the 2902 does come with that which means that during any power outage, the display goes off but the unit continues to operate normally. The other thing that happens with no power is the unit stops transmitting over your wifi until power is resumed. I don't know off the top of my head what the WS-2000 costs but I'm pretty sure it's in the high 200's (not on sale). PM me if you want any additional info. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 18Z Nam still does not care what the GFS is showing. It bent to allow a weak disturbance (a few runs ago) but is still a total southern slider. Tidewater sees a little rain on its way by to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I wasn’t overly optimistic on the 1/3 system a few days ago and I still am not, though I’ll admit the door is open for our fringe folks on the southern tier to maybe get a period some light snow. It’s a nice vort on the 500mb but patterns quite progressive for this and there’s no interaction at all with the northern stream. I think this wave needed to come up faster on the heels of what we’re getting today for this to have had a chance at working well for our region, which would have required some thread the needle timing with the cold air coming in tomorrow. I have much higher optimism on this 1/7 event. Key feature for this appears the low that traverses the Lakes mid-week and refreshes the cold… setting the boundary this wave will run. Additionally, this feature may help lessen or take away the potential for this to cut. Seems like the GFS and Canadian ops today really press the cold after the mid week low and stuff the wave that potentially becomes our snowstorm (Canadian especially.. GFS wasn’t really that far off). 12z Euro sets it up perfect. 12z Euro and GFS ensembles as a mean seem to be angling more towards what the Euro op is showing. Ensemble comparison: Prob of 24 hr snowfall >1” Euro EPS v. GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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