Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

[BuffaloWeather]

Long range EPS and GEFS look good. Probably 1 more storm after this weekends. 

[BGM Blizzard]

Close to 3" and still dumping. Temp is up to 33.6°.

 

[BGM Blizzard]

[BGM Blizzard]

[TugHillMatt]

1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Long range EPS and GEFS look good. Probably 1 more storm after this weekends. 

I was just about to post. This weekend's system might not be the last snowstorm of the season.

[vortmax]

41 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Was JUST looking at the radar. Wow, you guys are gonna play catch-up in the golden snowball over the next few days

[TugHillMatt]

Looks like the Syracuse snow shield is holding strong. Ithaca is all white, and Auburn is showing moderately right now. Looks like it's just started in the city. A flake or two here. Overcast is thick, so maybe we can do better with accumulations if it starts here.

[BGM Blizzard]

Models undersold today. Busting high.

[BGM Blizzard]

Between 4-5" here. Rate has slowed up a bit with the heaviest snow just off to the south now.

[MJO812]

25 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Looks like the Syracuse snow shield is holding strong. Ithaca is all white, and Auburn is showing moderately right now. Looks like it's just started in the city. A flake or two here. Overcast is thick, so maybe we can do better with accumulations if it starts here.

I love looking at webcams.  Surprised to see no snow in Syracuse. 

[BGM Blizzard]

[BGM Blizzard]

[wolfie09]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I love looking at webcams.  Surprised to see no snow in Syracuse. 

Well that's what mid 70s on Sunday will do to you lol The area hasn't had any snow since with the stuff today missing to the south..

[CNY_WX]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I love looking at webcams.  Surprised to see no snow in Syracuse. 

Too warm to accumulate. Snow is picking up here, temperature is 36. 

[BuffaloWeather]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I love looking at webcams.  Surprised to see no snow in Syracuse. 

It was 80 degrees there Sunday, why are you surprised. 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

It was 80 degrees there Sunday, why are you surprised. 

Warmer than here ?

It was in the low 70s

[BuffaloWeather]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Warmer than here ?

It was in the low 70s

It was 78 on my car thermometer as I drove through there. Syr officially hit 75. 

[MJO812]

Syracuse averages around 120 inches or is that the old average ?

[BGM Blizzard]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Syracuse averages around 120 inches or is that the old average ?

That's the pre- @TugHillMattavg. 

Think they're down to like 80 now.

[wolfie09]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Syracuse averages around 120 inches or is that the old average ?

New average is around 128"..

[Ericjcrash]

Dumping in Schenectady. Making the workday better.

[CNY_WX]

Snowing at least moderately now but not sticking. Damn lake plain. 

[Flying MXZ]

Beautiful day here.  Probably 3" at work in the valley, hills will get 6"+ most likely.

[TugHillMatt]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Warmer than here ?

It was in the low 70s

Of course it was. There's a reason I call it Saharasizzlesaharacuse.

It's like the freakin sauna of New York state. 5 to 10 degrees warmer than everyone else (except Dansville), especially when there's a South wind. Don't even get me started on the snow drought...

[TugHillMatt]

Snowing hard enough now though to start laying.

[TugHillMatt]

Nice, solid covering with huge, wet flakes coming down hard and accumulating. Temp is hovering around freezing. The overcast is actually quite low and thick, so solar radiation isn't affecting things too much. It looks like some nicer bands about to move through as well. Might actually make it to an inch or two by this evening.

Congrats to the Southern Tier and Eastern NY crew.

[CNY_WX]

3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Nice, solid covering with huge, wet flakes coming down hard and accumulating. Temp is hovering around freezing. The overcast is actually quite low and thick, so solar radiation isn't affecting things too much. It looks like some nicer bands about to move through as well. Might actually make it to an inch or two by this evening.

Congrats to the Southern Tier and Eastern NY crew.

Most surfaces except for pavements are covered now. The temperature on my weather station has dropped to just above freezing and as the sun begins to set insolation is playing less of a role. 

[TugHillMatt]

5 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

Most surfaces except for pavements are covered now. The temperature on my weather station has dropped to just above freezing and as the sun begins to set insolation is playing less of a role. 

It's interesting how during the winter, the time period of 10 am to 1 pm seems like a more difficult time for snow to accumulate due to solar effects than the 2 to 5 pm timeframe. We think of the "warmest time of day" in the summer as that 2 to 5 timeframe, but in the winter the sun's angle seems to be better for accums. at that time of the day.

[wolfie09]

Big wet fatties falling here as well, grass and deck covered, 33°..

[LakeEffectKing]

4" in Caz.