PerintonMan

I'd appreciate a Discord invite so I can see the discussion. Thanks!

Dave Wasserman (election Twitter) fan?

That Monroe County gradient lol

Hope you get smoked again. Looks like another event of major headlines in the area but likely getting skunked (or flash frozen) here in SE Monroe County.

Where did everyone go?

I have a 2008 Accord, which I am desperately trying to upgrade to a Rav4 Prime. The Honda runs fine at 105K miles, but I'm ready for something new (and not entirely gas-powered).

Wouldn't mind going full blast into Spring at this point, but only if a warm March/April doesn't portend a cold May. What I can stand is it being 50 degrees for 2 straight months.

Yeah, my fear was that the "gap" the models latched onto was actually under-done, and I was right. Haven't been outside yet but I would estimate 2-3". About what I called for ROC a few days ago based on the trends. Pretty disappointing that, while the overall season numbers are decent, we have an exceptionally hard time getting a noteworthy event around here. Maybe that's just how it goes in WNY? (When I lived in CT or Boston, we got half the annual snowfall as we do here, but were good for at least 1-2 big events a year.)

That persistent hole in western Monroe County and environs might not even get advisory-level totals.

Models persistently showing a hole over interior WNY. Someone is going to get skunked. Others will do pretty well.

I know this is a SYR-focused forecast, but 1-3" for the Thruway corridor from basically Del Lago on west is much lower than anyone else.

I would smash the "Deal" button on 4-12" here, because it's honestly looking more like a 2-3" type event and at this point would be stunned to even get 6".

Gradient should be much sharper. Syracuse area could very well get 8-12", but in that case BUF-ROC is not going to be 4-8". My guess: SYR - 10" ROC - 3" BUF - 2"

The low going over water at any point pretty much takes BUF-ROC out of the game for anything approaching a warning level event.

Low from Harrisburg to Albany to VT = bonanza Low from PHL to Hartford to NH = so-so Low from Atlantic City to Cape Cod = goodnight We'll see.