Tracking Jan 7 coastal storm. Lingering compression/flow velocity has not lent to consensus, but it seems at 30 hours out.. finally?

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Love it. Wanted to do something to give back and help people rather than for a corporation . Only 17 bucks an hour but that's plenty.  I turned down a job as a Safety Director at a  Bio Chem Plant for 75 K plus. No more stress jobs for ne. My employer and bosses are the coolest people ever. Just love it.

 

Hope this the start of an epic run of winter.

At our age we don't need added stress, Glad its working out Steve.

[MJO812]

Big fold by gfs

Snowstorm on the way 

[PhineasC]

GFS hugging...

[IowaStorm05]

16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Cool map. Too bad Westerly RI only report 20 inches in 78. I lived there 36 plus. Observer at the Airport went home and couldn't get back for 2 days and measured 20 in a wind blown area. 78 beat any storm

It’s easy to mix up a memory about 15 versus 30 inches. But when You remember massive walls of deep snow, and was a grown adult at the time, you can’t say it was 6 inches when a snowfall report map over your hood backs you up.

[ineedsnow]

lol GFS just a bit of a change

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Gfs nice trend back 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Yeah a friend from high school in Essex texted me that they had hail bigger than pea size and it was really loud. I didn't believe him and made him take pictures.

Then 15 minutes later he texted again to say it was pouring rain. Meanwhile... it was still snow in Montauk lol

Some of the areas with rain mix ended up above 3 feet amazing 

[78Blizzard]

GFS finally getting a clue.

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Not going to whiff.

Thats a bomb lol

[ineedsnow]

just a 3 to 400 mile shift

[Typhoon Tip]

14 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Not especially hard to rime snowflakes enough to produce a graupel-like hydrometeor, but there was just so much supercooled water thanks to the convection that more true ice than "Styrofoam" started falling. 

Water condensing as supercooled particles … perhaps turbulence slowing phase change, then suspension in UVM core slows particle motion … Medusas solid, then rimes additional supercooled layers that quickly lock- viola. Stones.  Must have been a sick theta-e conveyor flowing into a very upright elevated frontal slope  with evac fan jet - I bet - over NH

[ariof]

EC will be in the Bahamas tonight.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Scooter knows ...

[PhineasC]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Gfs nice trend back 

That's more than a trend. Just a totally different look from the last several runs.

I love seeing models cave like this.

[PhineasC]

Just now, ariof said:

EC will be in the Bahamas tonight.

LOL was just thinking the same thing. This is when the Euro pisses in the Cheerios and heads OTS.

[Sn0waddict]

Nice trend. Wish we could just slow this storm down a bit.

[ineedsnow]

still need a west shift or get going a little sooner but looks way better

[Ginx snewx]

Toss any GFS qpf maps. Look at inflow and 700 VVs. Classic 

[IowaStorm05]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Thats a bomb lol

Pull this west by 25 miles 

[PhineasC]

Kicks up some nice upslope afterwards too.

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

still need a west shift or get going a little sooner but looks way better

Better ridging out west, Trough was further SW and a deeper s/w rounding the base of the trough, It was close to blowing up sooner, But that may also come with other problems too for some.

[78Blizzard]

It's a good start for the GFS, but needs improvement.  Big hit for SE areas and DE ME.

[eduggs]

Glad the GFS joined the party. It actually looks a lot like the NAM. Still a late developer for everyone except maybe eastern Maine and the Maritimes. Still really good to see a semblance of consensus this far out.

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

still need a west shift or get going a little sooner but looks way better

It was a huge jump. At least it's back in the envelope of having an actual event now.

Great looks at 00z so far. King Euro may have called this one.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Pull this west by 25 miles 

What? It just moved west like 300 miles, Be careful what you wish for........lol

[Ginx snewx]

10 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

It’s easy to mix up a memory about 15 versus 30 inches. But when You remember massive walls of deep snow, and was a grown adult at the time, you can’t say it was 6 inches when a snowfall report map over your hood backs you up.

Give it up dude. Put down the Bong. If you can't remember a 10 inch sand storm from a 35 inch blizzard maybe you have CTE.   @CT Rain       Ryan knows the exact totals everywhere in the state. He loved that  Boxing Day storm. Lol

[78Blizzard]

Let's see if the Ukie follows west.

[eduggs]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Toss any GFS qpf maps. Look at inflow and 700 VVs. Classic 

Classic for Fredericton, NB maybe.

Too late for most.

[IowaStorm05]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Give it up dude. Put down the Bong. If you can't remember a 10 inch sand storm from a 35 inch blizzard maybe you have CTE.   @CT Rain       Ryan knows the exact totals everywhere in the state. He loved that storm. Lol

That’s not funny. I have aspergers and am a serious risk factor for CTE from spending my youth slamming my head against furniture for hours at a time. I have serious psych symptoms and require amphetamine and risperidone just to act like a normal human being. 
 

but I have a savant memory for weather and a lifelong hobby of following it. It was not 6 inches. It was well over a foot. The map even says so.

And who smokes pot. I haven’t smoked in years that sends me straight to paranoid psychosis. 

[eduggs]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Toss any GFS qpf maps. Look at inflow and 700 VVs. Classic 

We're not even looking at QPF. H5 and H7 tell the tale. Nice storm but it doesn't get going until higher latitudes.