Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,116
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    SCseminole
    Newest Member
    SCseminole
    Joined

Winter 2021-22


Ji
 Share

Recommended Posts

On 10/30/2021 at 12:40 AM, Cobalt said:

:unsure:

anomnight_10_31_2011.thumb.gif.d1d4ffe6845a14e1c7135e99767e11a0.gif

1463124300_ssta.daily.current(1).thumb.png.dc7427f55cf39daa046de4b6fcc06cdf.png

 

 

Strength wise the la ninas are similar (at least to this point, that could change as we get to Dec and Jan), but the structure for this one is much more favorable. It’s more basin wide vs central based, which is a good sign for a more favorable pacific with less troughing in the west. The pacific blob is in a bad location like that year, but the polar vortex is forecast on the models to be weak. I truly believe this winter will be a lot better than 2011-2012, just gotta get North Atlantic blocking.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nice +PNA today, but we don't need the PNA in November, we need -NAO and after today it goes away, for it looks like 2 weeks.

Oct -NAO, followed by Nov +NAO is followed by +NAO Winter 68% of the time (-58% Oct) (+62% Nov)

Anyway, I feel that +PNA this November will just weigh on potential energy to amplify Dec-Mar -PNA

Link to comment
Share on other sites

55 minutes ago, frd said:

Snow cover, both in Eurasian and North America, look pathetic.  If you thought last winter had a rough start this looks even worse. 

As HM mentioned things are looking ZZZ.....  in the snow cover department.  

   

 

There's always two sides to a coin. Arctic sea ice is at it's highest extent since 2015 and is higher than 2007, 2011, and 2012 as well. Snowcover has proven itself about as useful as tarot card reading imo

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, frd said:

Snow cover, both in Eurasian and North America, look pathetic.  If you thought last winter had a rough start this looks even worse. 

As HM mentioned things are looking ZZZ.....  in the snow cover department.  

   

 

Judah apparently isn't giving up. Does he realize October is in the rear view mirror? :rolleyes:

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...