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Looks like some briefly cooler temperatures on May 1st with morning low 40s around NYC. Then a quick rebound in temperatures back to the 70s on Sunday. 

 

76F59245-EBDB-40B7-B633-8F620BF015C8.thumb.png.d374192173672da66ac3961e07a4887f.png
80532CFF-8239-493A-A949-BE5B7194B967.thumb.png.e6c918830011d819b5dca1a81e5f1bde.png

 

 

 

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last year NYC saw its first May snowflakes since 1977...

May's coldest temperatures in NYC...

32 5/06/1891

34 5/09/2020

34 5/05/1891

35 5/01/1880

35 5/09/1947

36 5/11/1913

36 5/10/1966

36 5/10/1947

36 5/09/1977

36 5/03/1874

36 5/01/1876

36 5/08/2020

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2 hours ago, uncle W said:

last year NYC saw its first May snowflakes since 1977...

May's coldest temperatures in NYC...

32 5/06/1891

34 5/09/2020

34 5/05/1891

35 5/01/1880

35 5/09/1947

36 5/11/1913

36 5/10/1966

36 5/10/1947

36 5/09/1977

36 5/03/1874

36 5/01/1876

36 5/08/2020

I witnessed both and here in Liberty NY on 5.9.20 we had .5 of snow; barely a trace on Long Island

 

@uncle W do you have a source where I can browse through in an easy way record high/Low temps  and snow for each day of the year for Syracuse NY?

 

Thanks !

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46 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Please verify 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_30.png

Tip commented on the possibility of a negative tilt event in the New England forum. As always ....

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52 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Please verify 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_30.png

 

Please don't...I have all day golfing, fishing, and drinking planned.

I find it very strange someone would root for a cold, windy, rainy weekend day in May in New York lol.

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11 minutes ago, sn0w said:

 

Please don't...I have all day golfing, fishing, and drinking planned.

I find it very strange someone would root for a cold, windy, rainy weekend day in May in New York lol.

We can use the rain. I’ll gladly take it. Rain now means less brown turf in June/July and when we’re largely hoping for wayward T-storms to get most of our rain. 

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44 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

We can use the rain. I’ll gladly take it. Rain now means less brown turf in June/July and when we’re largely hoping for wayward T-storms to get most of our rain. 

I no longer believe we'll get a hot summer like I thought we would before, and that volcano in the Caribbean is the reason why.

We might have one hot month, July, with about a 3 day window for extreme heat (100?) but I no longer believe the summer will be hot like an 11 yr cycle summer.  Might be the 1977 variety, which was similar to what I just outlined.

 

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1 hour ago, sferic said:

I witnessed both and here in Liberty NY on 5.9.20 we had .5 of snow; barely a trace on Long Island

 

@uncle W do you have a source where I can browse through in an easy way record high/Low temps  and snow for each day of the year for Syracuse NY?

 

Thanks !

a trace of snow on long island in May is like winning the world series lol.

Since you were in Lynbrook and I was away in the Poconos were there two small periods of flurries and nothing stuck and did it get down to 32?  Or 34?

 

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4 hours ago, uncle W said:

last year NYC saw its first May snowflakes since 1977...

May's coldest temperatures in NYC...

32 5/06/1891

34 5/09/2020

34 5/05/1891

35 5/01/1880

35 5/09/1947

36 5/11/1913

36 5/10/1966

36 5/10/1947

36 5/09/1977

36 5/03/1874

36 5/01/1876

36 5/08/2020

weird to see this happen in 1966 and 1977 two of our hot 11 yr summers and 1966 being the hottest until 2010...did it snow in May 1966?

 

 

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7 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like some briefly cooler temperatures on May 1st with morning low 40s around NYC. Then a quick rebound in temperatures back to the 70s on Sunday. Active pattern may be signaling an above normal rainfall period coming up.

 

76F59245-EBDB-40B7-B633-8F620BF015C8.thumb.png.d374192173672da66ac3961e07a4887f.png
80532CFF-8239-493A-A949-BE5B7194B967.thumb.png.e6c918830011d819b5dca1a81e5f1bde.png

6B9F21A3-72FA-4FA5-B0E9-159491D477F3.thumb.png.1d43937ca8538f7aab5e7bd616609c90.png

 

 

wow I see 32 right near my Poconos home

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6 hours ago, sferic said:

I witnessed both and here in Liberty NY on 5.9.20 we had .5 of snow; barely a trace on Long Island

 

@uncle W do you have a source where I can browse through in an easy way record high/Low temps  and snow for each day of the year for Syracuse NY?

 

Thanks !

you can get highs and lows here...

Threaded Extremes (rcc-acis.org)

monthy data here...

xmACIS2 (rcc-acis.org)

 

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4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

a trace of snow on long island in May is like winning the world series lol.

Since you were in Lynbrook and I was away in the Poconos were there two small periods of flurries and nothing stuck and did it get down to 32?  Or 34?

 

34 - 35 that night in lynbrook

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5 hours ago, sn0w said:

Please don't...I have all day golfing, fishing, and drinking planned.

I find it very strange someone would root for a cold, windy, rainy weekend day in May in New York lol.

Being the day before Mother's Day, there are tons of outdoor crafts fairs and other vendor shows planned for the 8th. After we missed out on a year of sales from those types of events, it would be a real kick in the nads to lose the day to a nor'easter.

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42 minutes ago, sferic said:

@uncle W love it, i couldn't though find snowfall records for any given day of the year

I found this from the second site...you have to go to the month needed...

Climatological Data for SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL AP, NY - May 1976

Sum 1992 1367 - - 329 2 7.41 T -
Average 64.3 44.1 54.2 -3.4 - - - - 0.0
Normal 68.8 46.4 57.6 - 255 26 3.22 0.1
1976-05-01 69 42 55.5 2.6 9 0 0.80 0.0 0
1976-05-02 66 46 56.0 2.8 9 0 0.01 0.0 0
1976-05-03 61 38 49.5 -4.1 15 0 0.25 T 0
1976-05-04 48 35 41.5 -12.4 23 0 0.01 T 0
1976-05-05 76 39 57.5 3.3 7 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-06 70 44 57.0 2.5 8 0 0.15 0.0 0
1976-05-07 46 39 42.5 -12.4 22 0 0.32 0.0 0
1976-05-08 55 37 46.0 -9.2 19 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-09 63 40 51.5 -4.0 13 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-10 76 41 58.5 2.7 6 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-11 68 48 58.0 1.9 7 0 0.64 0.0 0
1976-05-12 53 39 46.0 -10.4 19 0 0.20 0.0 0
1976-05-13 66 35 50.5 -6.2 14 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-14 72 56 64.0 7.0 1 0 0.80 0.0 0
1976-05-15 74 55 64.5 7.2 0 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-16 70 55 62.5 4.9 2 0 0.22 0.0 0
1976-05-17 75 56 65.5 7.6 0 1 T 0.0 0
1976-05-18 58 40 49.0 -9.2 16 0 1.10 T 0
1976-05-19 46 37 41.5 -17.0 23 0 2.05 T 0
1976-05-20 62 42 52.0 -6.8 13 0 0.65 0.0 0
1976-05-21 59 38 48.5 -10.6 16 0 0.02 0.0 0
1976-05-22 53 41 47.0 -12.4 18 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-23 59 37 48.0 -11.7 17 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-24 54 40 47.0 -13.0 18 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-25 62 44 53.0 -7.4 12 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-26 63 47 55.0 -5.7 10 0 0.01 0.0 0
1976-05-27 73 43 58.0 -3.0 7 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-28 79 44 61.5 0.2 3 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-29 72 53 62.5 0.9 2 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-30 71 58 64.5 2.6 0 0 0.01 0.0 0
1976-05-31 73 58 65.5 3.3 0 1 0.17 0.0 0

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1 hour ago, uncle W said:

I found this from the second site...you have to go to the month needed...

Climatological Data for SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL AP, NY - May 1976

Sum 1992 1367 - - 329 2 7.41 T -
Average 64.3 44.1 54.2 -3.4 - - - - 0.0
Normal 68.8 46.4 57.6 - 255 26 3.22 0.1
1976-05-01 69 42 55.5 2.6 9 0 0.80 0.0 0
1976-05-02 66 46 56.0 2.8 9 0 0.01 0.0 0
1976-05-03 61 38 49.5 -4.1 15 0 0.25 T 0
1976-05-04 48 35 41.5 -12.4 23 0 0.01 T 0
1976-05-05 76 39 57.5 3.3 7 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-06 70 44 57.0 2.5 8 0 0.15 0.0 0
1976-05-07 46 39 42.5 -12.4 22 0 0.32 0.0 0
1976-05-08 55 37 46.0 -9.2 19 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-09 63 40 51.5 -4.0 13 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-10 76 41 58.5 2.7 6 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-11 68 48 58.0 1.9 7 0 0.64 0.0 0
1976-05-12 53 39 46.0 -10.4 19 0 0.20 0.0 0
1976-05-13 66 35 50.5 -6.2 14 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-14 72 56 64.0 7.0 1 0 0.80 0.0 0
1976-05-15 74 55 64.5 7.2 0 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-16 70 55 62.5 4.9 2 0 0.22 0.0 0
1976-05-17 75 56 65.5 7.6 0 1 T 0.0 0
1976-05-18 58 40 49.0 -9.2 16 0 1.10 T 0
1976-05-19 46 37 41.5 -17.0 23 0 2.05 T 0
1976-05-20 62 42 52.0 -6.8 13 0 0.65 0.0 0
1976-05-21 59 38 48.5 -10.6 16 0 0.02 0.0 0
1976-05-22 53 41 47.0 -12.4 18 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-23 59 37 48.0 -11.7 17 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-24 54 40 47.0 -13.0 18 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-25 62 44 53.0 -7.4 12 0 T 0.0 0
1976-05-26 63 47 55.0 -5.7 10 0 0.01 0.0 0
1976-05-27 73 43 58.0 -3.0 7 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-28 79 44 61.5 0.2 3 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-29 72 53 62.5 0.9 2 0 0.00 0.0 0
1976-05-30 71 58 64.5 2.6 0 0 0.01 0.0 0
1976-05-31 73 58 65.5 3.3 0 1 0.17 0.0 0

@uncle W Oh, I thought  I could just see jan 1st to dec 31st in one list and scroll up and down to see the maximum snowfall ever for any particular day of a year

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39 minutes ago, sferic said:

@uncle W Oh, I thought  I could just see jan 1st to dec 31st in one list and scroll up and down to see the maximum snowfall ever for any particular day of a year

yeah this is the best i can do for that...I'm sure what you are looking for is out there somewhere...

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2 hours ago, uncle W said:

yeah this is the best i can do for that...I'm sure what you are looking for is out there somewhere...

Thanks for what you directed me to! That was a great link.. Learning about Syracuse climatology since I am moving to a suburb of Syracuse

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April ended at  54.6[+1.6].

The first 8 days of May are averaging 63degs.(53/72), or about +4.0.     

Starting May 06, it seems Normal or less, till mid-month.

42*(57%RH) here at 6am, m. clear.(was 49* at midnight)      46* by 9am.     51* by Noon.      54* by 1pm.         60*(31%RH) by 3pm.        62* at 3:30pm.        Reached 69*[24%RH) at 6:30pm.      57* by 9pm.

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8th warmest spring so far in NYC. So it’s no surprise to see the models indicating 80° potential for the warm spots on Sunday.

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Mar 1 to Apr 30
Missing Count
1 1945-04-30 53.3 0
2 2010-04-30 53.0 0
3 2012-04-30 52.8 0
4 1921-04-30 52.2 0
5 2016-04-30 51.1 0
6 1985-04-30 50.5 0
7 1903-04-30 50.3 0
8 2021-04-30 50.1 0
- 1977-04-30 50.1 0
- 1946-04-30 50.1 0
9 2002-04-30 50.0 0
- 1991-04-30 50.0 0
10 1973-04-30 49.8 0


79B8696C-75AE-4B80-9CF4-EB8F73671051.thumb.png.c191c9b9b697a23c4dce5d33347d6708.png

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So, as noted in a 'please verify' post earlier this page, 00z-06z/1 ensemble modeling is trending toward a sharpening digging trough here that may yield a sizable winterlike storm Friday the 7th, with 40-50kt wind gusts (coasts), heavy rain (coasts) and maybe a little wet snow elevations.  Still plenty of room to miss us to the east, or be weaker than a 985MB sfc low but worthy of monitoring. Possibly threading this, Sunday or Monday?  Need NAVGEM and GGEM to shift back to the west, the EC op to accept the occasional GFS cycle operational big storm concept for our NYC metro.  Again, not threaded yet due too much chance of this storm slipping too far to our east-northeast.

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