Kbosch Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Ut oh, no phase... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You guys are ahead of me in the panels on NCEP, but even the jet streak structure looks crappy. It's not coming straight south now. That's what I noticed and causes the missed phase at 42-48, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Stronger with energy on the backside of this trough, but I think at first glance it will be east....hooker potential here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Looks like its going around the mid atlantic but also look like its going to hook back NW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Through 54 hours, very similar to previous run, albeit maybe an hour faster, but much different from the 54 hr NAM. I think it's going to be ok, but maybe slightly east of previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Pending the Euro, I'd say this Is rather sounding like a Cape scraper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 It at least looks a little better with where the trough axis is...granted not much but it's something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RICoastalMan Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Just hook......you can be our storm, and just our storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 LET the Run finish for the love of GOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 It will be east to start with but it may do a late left hook (relative to 06z) because the energy on the backside is more phased in. I think that's what the 00z Euro did. Definitely east to begin with though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Mad OES for messenger..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RICoastalMan Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Pending the Euro, I'd say this Is rather sounding like a Cape scraper when was the last time the outer cape got 2 feet of snow for a season while a hundred miles west....zippo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Looks like it's going to ec ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I actually think this run has some pretty good potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wow GFS is ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 LET the Run finish for the love of GOD. Snowing Sun morning, god until I looked myself......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 All I ask is that weenies don't flip out..saying it's 0-2 today..a shot across the bow type nonsense. Until and only if the Euro does it..none of the farther east solutions matter. It's just garbage The safest play is to ride the snowiest model no matter what the 12z suite shows. That always works. That's why you've been right and Ryan's been wrong so many times this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 pretty fair distance se of the bm....scrape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Looks like it's going to ec ensembles. Trough is definitely flatter with the 12z run than 00z or 06z. Wow... could be an epic nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Cape gets clip, BOS on south gets some nice OES. Otherwise a disaster run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RICoastalMan Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 what model will jump ship next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Trough is definitely flatter with the 12z run than 00z or 06z. Wow... could be an epic nightmare. wonder if it will follow with the NYE torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 NAM not looking so radical now.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Trough is definitely flatter with the 12z run than 00z or 06z. Wow... could be an epic nightmare. Get ready to put those flurries in your forecast. And get your drinks ready for 1PM. This could be an eerily familiar scraper for the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 The safest play is to ride the snowiest model no matter what the 12z suite shows. That always works. That's why you've been right and Ryan's been wrong so many times this winter. No instead let's analyze the US models and lock them in becuase they have been so reliable over the years. I mean this storm has no cance of coming now. The NAM and GFS aren't direct hits. And then get all the weenies worked up because the 2 garbage models aren't major hits. Just stay the course .. And BTW I can't recall a storm in the last 2 yrs ypou've gotten right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well...I'll be happy with my modest snow event. Better than no snow event and infinitely better than rain. Hopefully if we don't get a stemwinder we can at least have a gradient pattern. A big wound up system would change the pattern more dramatically I bet. But this is far from a done deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Trough is definitely flatter with the 12z run than 00z or 06z. Wow... could be an epic nightmare. Thats it folks... I can't believe people are still calling for a monster KU when the NAM looks exactly like the GFS now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Cape gets clip, BOS on south gets some nice OES. Otherwise a disaster run. It started very early with the misalignment within the developing trough. We can hope that this was an initialization error and that the Euro will show us great things, but the differences IMO at even h12 were so significant it was going to play out the way it did. The GFS is okay for extreme SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well Kevin's wife won't leave him after Christmas and won't smash his blackberry and laptop since Kevin will likely smash them himself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RICoastalMan Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Let's all agree when when we see fundamental changes early in a run............it's not going to turn out well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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