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Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2


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The 12z Euro has an interesting storm evolution for the late week potential. The low is forced to develop to our south and exits off to the east. The High is in a good spot to our North as it builds in while the storm develops to the south. It eventually produces a little snow on the far northwest side of the precip shield. 

This storm needs watched to give us a potential solution like the Canadian from last night. If the High builds in a little more quickly, this could be the one that our friend in Williamsport was calling for this month!

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Just for kicks, it's certainly still winter...

Blizzard Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
1151 AM MST Sat Mar 13 2021

...HISTORIC AND CRIPPLING WINTER STORM WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT
ALL OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND THE WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE THIS
WEEKEND...

...WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...

...CONDITIONS UNLIKELY TO IMPROVE UNTIL AT LEAST EARLY MONDAY...

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS
EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MST THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
MDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Very heavy snow and blowing snow likely. Blizzard
  conditions developing overnight. Total snow accumulations of 15
  to 25 inches, with locally higher amounts in excess of 30 inches
  possible. Wind gusts up to 55 MPH.

* WHERE...Central and eastern Laramie County including the cities
  of Cheyenne and Pine Bluffs.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM MDT Monday. Blizzard conditions are most
  likely late tonight through Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Extremely dangerous or impossible travel conditions.
  Whiteout conditions likely in falling and blowing snow. Strong
  winds may cause extensive damage to trees and power lines. Power
  outages are likely. Conditions will be life threatening to those
  caught unprepared.

 

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17 hours ago, Festus said:

Just for kicks, it's certainly still winter...

Blizzard Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
1151 AM MST Sat Mar 13 2021

...HISTORIC AND CRIPPLING WINTER STORM WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT
ALL OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND THE WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE THIS
WEEKEND...

...WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...

...CONDITIONS UNLIKELY TO IMPROVE UNTIL AT LEAST EARLY MONDAY...

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS
EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MST THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
MDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Very heavy snow and blowing snow likely. Blizzard
  conditions developing overnight. Total snow accumulations of 15
  to 25 inches, with locally higher amounts in excess of 30 inches
  possible. Wind gusts up to 55 MPH.

* WHERE...Central and eastern Laramie County including the cities
  of Cheyenne and Pine Bluffs.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM MDT Monday. Blizzard conditions are most
  likely late tonight through Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Extremely dangerous or impossible travel conditions.
  Whiteout conditions likely in falling and blowing snow. Strong
  winds may cause extensive damage to trees and power lines. Power
  outages are likely. Conditions will be life threatening to those
  caught unprepared.

 

Wyoming certainly looks like it will end up as ground zero. Some places already at 20" with a good 12-18 hours to go 

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14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Wyoming certainly looks like it will end up as ground zero. Some places already at 20" with a good 12-18 hours to go 

My brother-in-law lives west of Denver in Golden at 6000 feet.  I'll let you know what he reports to me later today or this evening.

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17 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Wyoming certainly looks like it will end up as ground zero. Some places already at 20" with a good 12-18 hours to go 

They even bumped up the numbers from yesterday.  Absolutely unbelievable. 

 

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Very heavy snow and blowing snow. Total snow
  accumulations of 20 to 30 inches with local amounts up to 50
  inches above 8000 feet elevation. Wind gusts up to 60 MPH.

 

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9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

 

Was sort of shocked yesterday afternoon on our walk...it was almost dead calm. It's anything but calm out today. Holy cow it's windy. 

I know they do not do wind chill for a temp of 50 but it's downright cold to me with these winds.  Wind chills around 0 tonight based on the zone forecast

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Crazy wind gusts here today. One gust did something that never happened before. I have a Rubbermaid trash can that I use to store garden items...fertilizer, weed killer, small tools, etc, and the wind literally ripped the snap tight lid right off it.

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32 minutes ago, canderson said:

Just had repeated 41 mph wind gusts. It’s been windy for 3 solid months wtf

The lack of a wind advisory yet again another misstep by the NWS (IMO) when it comes to forecasting winds.   Too frequently focusing on non events and not focusing on the real blowers. 

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45 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The lack of a wind advisory yet again another misstep by the NWS (IMO) when it comes to forecasting winds.   Too frequently focusing on non events and not focusing on the real blowers. 

It’s ridiculous how windy it’s been. Might as well live on a freaking mountaintop. 

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1 hour ago, canderson said:

Just had repeated 41 mph wind gusts. It’s been windy for 3 solid months wtf

The strong winds this winter have destroyed many lake effect snow chances up here. Everything has been sheared or it's blown waaaay over the normal snow belts to the Adirondacks. Catskills, and....Binghamton.

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2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

The lack of a wind advisory yet again another misstep by the NWS (IMO) when it comes to forecasting winds.   Too frequently focusing on non events and not focusing on the real blowers. 

I meant to put that in my original post. It's seems like the non-advisory events are often much more impressive the the ones that do get an advisory.

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2 hours ago, canderson said:

Just had repeated 41 mph wind gusts. It’s been windy for 3 solid months wtf

At my former apartment residence about 0.25 mi. away from where I now live, I got them to let me keep my Tempest weather station set up in a nearby field with almost no obstructions in all directions.  This afternoon I've recorded multiple gusts into the 40's with a peak gust of 53.8 mph back around 2:45.  Sustained 1-minute averages have frequently been in the 22 to 25mph range.  We love our new townhome that we moved into back in August, but, it has the worst location for a station I've ever had.  My prior location was the best I ever had.  The only direction that is remotely accurate for wind speed is WNW to WSW.  All other directions have either homes or trees blocking. I have an integrated sensor suite so I have to keep it down at 2 meters because temperature is much more important than wind for accurate readings (IMO).

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13 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Meaning??? :yikes:

Meaning...

Hopefully rain changing to several inches of snow on Friday with a strong enough low se of us . Get in on the CCB as it hits the coast :weenie:

I'm rooting for as strong as a bowling ball of energy as it nears the coast vs  elongating at h5 and we get light to moderate rain at 38 degrees. 

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