rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Wasn’t there a storm last year that the icon nailed when all the other models lost it? If anyone remembers this it’s Dave or Wolfie... I vaguely recall something like that. Tim? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Yes there was. More than 1 time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: That's quite the difference! Showing their uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 These models have me giddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6z gfs had almost the same track as the navy, hopefully navy rule is in effect lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 12z GFs is NW of 6z already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yup Looks like the models are struggling with strong convection along the coast. Those two runs are more or less the same except where it decides to place the actual surface low symbol. The primary over Ohio also looks a tad stronger. I'm a little skeptical or how far North it throws moisture, but perhaps a weak system (pressure wise) isn't quite as wrapped up and can spread the wealth? Hard to say but I'm wary of getting my hopes up way up here on the Northern Cusp. That said, things are at least trending in our favor... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Gfs still with that whole over us lol it's trying though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Big jump 12 z on top6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 14 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: That’s a huge range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I would expect a jump north with the global Canadian given what the rgem did.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Add the hires Canadian to the mix... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: I would expect a jump north with the global Canadian given what the rgem did.. Yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 GFS with 6" at my place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GFS with 6" at my place. Bit of a strange look... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Gfs has the same look as the icon but farther south, at least with the snow maps lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, vortmax said: Bit of a strange look... BUF gets more than Syracuse with a coastal. Lol. Like Wolfie stated, it has the same look as Icon, only a few ticks south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: BUF gets more than Syracuse with a coastal. Lol. Like Wolfie stated, it has the same look as Icon, only a few ticks south. I like the look of this. I believe a WWA will be issued area wide this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 Inverted trough looks legit. 6z vs 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 I just want to use my new snowblower I spent $1k on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: I just want to use my new snowblower I spent $1k on. What ya get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: What ya get? Sorry with tax it was like $900 https://www.lowes.com/pd/Ariens-Classic-24-24-in-208-cc-Two-Stage-Self-Propelled-Gas-Snow-Blower-with-Push-Button-Electric-Start/1000228265 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GFS with 6" at my place. GFS keeps Matt and I high and dry! Liking the look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Better view. This is a realistic looking outcome. I’d like to see more lake enhancement. With the LP placed a little higher on latitude, we should stand a better chance of a NE wind as opposed to E or ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Sorry with tax it was like $900 https://www.lowes.com/pd/Ariens-Classic-24-24-in-208-cc-Two-Stage-Self-Propelled-Gas-Snow-Blower-with-Push-Button-Electric-Start/1000228265 I got that one last year. It works pretty well despite having no idea what I'm doing with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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