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Windspeed

Tropical Storm Eta

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1 minute ago, the ghost of leroy said:

call me a traditionalist but gilbert and allen kinda slay what comes after...just based on looks...

Just edited my post to add Gilbert right before you posted. 

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Just now, the ghost of leroy said:

call me a traditionalist but gilbert and allen kinda slay what comes after...just based on looks...

Gilbert at peak.
Gilbert_1988-09-13_2100Z.png

 

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1 minute ago, cptcatz said:

Well Euro has this getting to 933 mb in ten days from now in the middle of the Caribbean, so maybe what we're seeing tonight wont be the peak of Eta... (cue weenie likes)

well we're going to have to see what emerges if/when it gets back over water.  it's not a huge storm and its core is going to be dragging its nuts over some pretty mountainous areas in Honduras for a good chunk of time.

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It feels like the entire site is on this thread. 116 members are currently viewing this. How many guests? 1000? I sure am glad to have something else to focus on right now to, ya know, what's going on right now. Theteam reported a  north eyewall minimum pressure of 929mb. This likely means the central pressure is 923-925mb.

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Just now, Moderately Unstable said:

It feels like the entire site is on this thread. 116 members are currently viewing this. How many guests? 1000? I sure am glad to have something else to focus on right now to, ya know, what's going on right now. The north eyewall reported a minimum pressure of 929mb. This likely means the central pressure is 923-925mb.

That north eyewall didn't have a surface report though.  We only know the last report was at 929mb before it cut out.  

 

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Correction. 928mb. Vortex Data Message:

 

691 
URNT12 KNHC 030242
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE   AL292020
A. 03/02:16:00Z
B. 14.10 deg N 082.55 deg W
C. 700 mb 2469 m
D. 928 mb
E. 090 deg 17 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C6
H. 124 kt
I. 346 deg 3 nm 02:15:00Z
J. 076 deg 123 kt
K. 352 deg 5 nm 02:14:30Z
L. 130 kt
M. 190 deg 4 nm 02:17:30Z
N. 280 deg 137 kt
O. 193 deg 5 nm 02:18:00Z
P. 10 C / 3051 m
Q. 21 C / 2995 m
R. -4 C / NA
S. 12345 / 07
T. 0.02 / 0.5 nm
U. AF304 0429A ETA OB 07
MAX FL WIND 137 KT 193 / 5 NM 02:18:00Z
;

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Just now, JasonOH said:

That north eyewall didn't have a surface report though.  We only know the last report was at 929mb before it cut out.  

 

Ahhh, got it.

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Just now, Moderately Unstable said:

It feels like the entire site is on this thread. 116 members are currently viewing this. How many guests? 1000? I sure am glad to have something else to focus on right now to, ya know, what's going on right now. The north eyewall reported a minimum pressure of 929mb. This likely means the central pressure is 923-925mb.

Quote

I sure am glad to have something else to focus on right now to, ya know, what's going on right now.

Yes this! I need to go to bed but I want to watch this thing...who would have thought in November...

 

Hello! to all the guests! I stick with 914 and 150 peak(yet to come).

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2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

I’m gonna bet NHC goes 155 or maybe 160 anyway this advisory. She’s gonna go a little lower and respond wind wise in the next few hrs I’d expect. 

Same here man! Dead on!

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Eta thinking of the wild expectations y'all put out

 

(Not a criticism of y'all who know much more than me, I also thought it'd be sub 910 and still won't throw in the towel on Cat 5)

4434d5_6336733.jpg

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1 minute ago, hlcater said:

She's not gonna get much lower and faster when the core looks like this lol. I'm not sure whether or not this peaked a few hours ago though.

recon_AF304-0429A-ETA_timeseries.png

Wouldn't shock me but I think it's still strengthening but maybe slower than earlier

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Raw T up to 8.4 per UW CIMSS. This may look perfect but it takes time to deepen.  If there's a large drop between passes I think we make a run at 900mb overnight. If there is not a large drop then I think this will max out at 915-920mb

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Just now, StormChaser4Life said:

Wouldn't shock me but I think it's still strengthening but maybe slower than earlier

It might be, waiting on the next pass for sure. Though I think the truly rapid intensification is probably over with a well defined concentric band taking shape.

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Don't ask me why but the HWRF is actually showing the strongest winds in the southwest quad

 

BPqG4Cx.png

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