canderson Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 Harrisburg ended July with an average temperature of 82.2 - .4 degrees higher than ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 So, it looks like the Canadian even puts out ridiculous runs in the summer! The last bit of my snow just melted from all of the failed Canadian model runs from last Winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 The bullseye on that Canadian run looks to be very close to the new rain capital of PA at the home of @Voyager ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 I'd be willing to bet Isaias will not be a hurricane at the 5pm advisory as it certainly doesn't look like one currently. Satellite presentation is a mess this afternoon with warming convective tops pretty much routed off the center of circulation, which can be clearly seen emerging North Andros Island on the visible. It's very hard to make heads or tails of anything on the infrared imagery. This is definitely not a hurricane right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The bullseye on that Canadian run looks to be very close to the new rain capital of PA at the home of @Voyager ! I like that Canadian run. If only.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 7 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This might be a first for me.... I am posting weather model maps that do not involve snow! Here is the 6z Euro for the tropical storm this week. The Euro tracks the low well inland into southern VA. Here is also the total precip through the end of this run at 90 hours. Blizz if I am posting on August 1st you have to! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 8 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This might be a first for me.... I am posting weather model maps that do not involve snow! Here is the 6z Euro for the tropical storm this week. The Euro tracks the low well inland into southern VA. Here is also the total precip through the end of this run at 90 hours. I am happy not being in the bullseye 48 hours out. The Euro is out of its wheel house time frame. Its now-casting time. I will be happy if it covers the mulch. If it gets too close it will turn to all rain. I have had mine its time for others to enjoy. Why hasn't the NWS issued a WSW? It could all change at 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 18Z GFS Op wails on most of the LSV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 Good. The dirt is like sand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: I am happy not being in the bullseye 48 hours out. The Euro is out of its wheel house time frame. Its now-casting time. I will be happy if it covers the mulch. If it gets too close it will turn to all rain. I have had mine its time for others to enjoy. Why hasn't the NWS issued a WSW? It could all change at 0Z. Lol! Awesome....only 30 days until Met Fall begins! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z GFS Op wails on most of the LSV Happy hour delivered for @Itstrainingtime and @pasnownut You, me, @CarlislePaWx & @sauss06 are fringed this run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 It’s ... raining?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2, 2020 Author Share Posted August 2, 2020 2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Happy hour delivered for @Itstrainingtime and @pasnownut You, me, @CarlislePaWx & @sauss06 are fringed this run! I might end up with more rain tonight than from the tropical system. It's been a soggy evening and there's an even heavier cell heading towards me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2, 2020 Author Share Posted August 2, 2020 Storm after storm after storm...might say that it's been training time for me tonight. Gauge is at 2.16" and it is raining harder than at any point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 5 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Storm after storm after storm...might say that it's been training time for me tonight. Gauge is at 2.16" and it is raining harder than at any point. You are probably on a pace to have 100$ percent more qpf this summer vs. parched. I would guess you are what 20-30" since early May? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Flooding rains per Euro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 7 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Storm after storm after storm...might say that it's been training time for me tonight. Gauge is at 2.16" and it is raining harder than at any point. Wow. I had .7”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 18 minutes ago, canderson said: Wow. I had .7”. I had .3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 58 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Flooding rains per Euro. . I do think the Training Time, Daxx's and Voyagers of the forum could be in for some flood warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I do think the Training Time, Daxx's and Voyagers of the forum could be in for some flood warnings. Yes, perhaps. Each model has it's heaviest axis of qpf in slightly different locations, but all are in the same general ballpark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2, 2020 Author Share Posted August 2, 2020 3 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: You are probably on a pace to have 100$ percent more qpf this summer vs. parched. I would guess you are what 20-30" since early May? 1 hour ago, canderson said: Wow. I had .7”. 1 hour ago, Voyager said: I had .3". Final tally in the bucket was 2.48". Saw a report of 3"+ between Elizabethtown and Palmyra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Man if this coming winter presents even half the missed precip opportunities this summer has had around here I might end up in the Panic Room before February lol. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2, 2020 Author Share Posted August 2, 2020 According to CTP there was nearly 4" west of Lebanon to my NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Final tally in the bucket was 2.48". Saw a report of 3"+ between Elizabethtown and Palmyra. 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: According to CTP there was nearly 4" west of Lebanon to my NE. And if Isaias dumps another 2-4 those areas are in real trouble... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Starting to look more and more like a Susq and East event as to serious rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 It is unbelievable disgusting outside. This feels like on of the hottest days of the year and it’s only 91. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 And let’s check on the lawn status ... (Sorry it’s sideways, not sure why it uploads that way) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 4 hours ago, MAG5035 said: Man if this coming winter presents even half the missed precip opportunities this summer has had around here I might end up in the Panic Room before February lol. You, myself and @Cashtown_Coop have the potential to completely miss out. Being on the outside of a Tropical Storm means drier than normal. I believe KHGR is currently at their larger ever deficit for this late in the year coming in close to 13" below "normal" for 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You, myself and @Cashtown_Coop have the potential to completely miss out. Being on the outside of a Tropical Storm means drier than normal. I believe KHGR is currently at their larger ever deficit for this late in the year coming in close to 13" below "normal" for 2020. I’m rooting for .5 to 1”. That’s all I need at a time for golf course. Received .40” last night which was a perfect amount. 2-4” causes trouble for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I’m rooting for .5 to 1”. That’s all I need at a time for golf course. Received .40” last night which was a perfect amount. 2-4” causes trouble for me At some point we need either constant 2-4" weeks or a soaking 5-10" long term rain. Its too late for me to worry about grass anymore. The summer destroyed all my work and I am going to have to pay to start over. I am worried about all my friends wells though. Water levels are back down to their late July lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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