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George BM

May Discobs 2020

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It does seem like for now that the southern mid Atlantic and south will continue to get hit with the heavy rainfall events. It also appears that severe threats will be rather non existent.

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Looks like upper 70s to low 80s return starting Friday and thru Memorial Day here. Looks like isolated showers friday and saturday. 

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15 hours ago, yoda said:

00z NAM declines to give any real appreciable rain (as in around 0.25" or less) through 12z THUR :lol:  This is from around EZF to Warrenton to OKV and those to the NE of that curved kinda line

 

ETA:  Temps don't make it above 60 for most on Wednesday per the 00z NAM either... i81 corridor and down towards CHO really suffer tempwise on the 00z NAM... upper 30s on the ridges and 40s to near 50 for those that get rained on

 

What do you mean by suffering? I am THRILLED!! :D

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Actually got a couple peeks of sun here, 66 degrees.  Here's a blurb from Charlotte's disco on the big rains down there -- uses the words "not good" :o

short term guidance develops an intense E/SE flow within the CAD regime Tue night...and holds onto it for about 36 hours...not good. Strong upslope flow will likely result in
storm total rainfall of 7-10", with locally higher amounts along the eastern Blue Ridge escarpment, including the headwaters of the Catawba River basin.

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1 hour ago, nj2va said:

I'd be okay with the sun returning.

This! Sitting out on the deck in cloudy breezy 60 degree days = sucks. Sunny and 70s for the win. Now if we could just get some hockey back too. B)

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46 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Tomorrow looks like the nicest day of the week. Partly sunny and mid 60s. No complaints here if that materializes.

Today was great imo. Tomorrow and Wednesday look to pop some sun and yea 60s is good with me. .

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The issue with continued overcast days in the low/mid 60s is that its another week that goes by where we aren't getting normal temps in the mid 70s for this time of year.  We'll just flip the switch right to 90 instead of enjoying a few weeks of 75 degree temps.  

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3 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Tomorrow looks like the nicest day of the week. Partly sunny and mid 60s. No complaints here if that materializes.

Hard to imagine if we get sun temps stay in mid 60s this time of year anywhere inland.  Just my 2 cents.  Unless it’s East wind an then it s hard to imagine sun.  

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2 hours ago, BristowWx said:

Hard to imagine if we get sun temps stay in mid 60s this time of year anywhere inland.  Just my 2 cents.  Unless it’s East wind an then it s hard to imagine sun.  

Totally agree.  If we get a prolonged period of sun in the back half of May it’s hard to imagine not hitting the 70s.

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9 hours ago, BristowWx said:

Hard to imagine if we get sun temps stay in mid 60s this time of year anywhere inland.  Just my 2 cents.  Unless it’s East wind an then it s hard to imagine sun.  

That was my point/click forecast. Its been adjusted to mostly cloudy for today now. Either way with that strong high to the NE and a stiff ENE wind, it can absolutely keep temps in the 60s here even with some sun. In the urbanized areas further inland, probably not.

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13 hours ago, nj2va said:

The issue with continued overcast days in the low/mid 60s is that its another week that goes by where we aren't getting normal temps in the mid 70s for this time of year.  We'll just flip the switch right to 90 instead of enjoying a few weeks of 75 degree temps.  

Ahhhhh, our climate.  May looks great on paper with avg highs rising through the 70s, then there's reality.  Through the 18th, Dulles has had only FIVE (!) days in the 70s; all the rest 50s, 60s and 80s.

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As that high builds southward today and with Arthur offshore, the winds are going to really pick up here. Gusts to 30 in the forecast. Also looks like any clouds that build throughout the day should be mostly cirrus, so probably will see a decent amount of sun.

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Well, off to a roaring start on the rain front for the week. Broke a daily rainfall record with 1.22 inches in the 'ol CoCoRaHS gauge, old record was 1.15 inches from 2003. Got to love that orographic lift. It is raining with an E wind at 9 mph and currently 50.1/48.8. That may be the high for the day as forecast is for it to be steady or drop a degree or two thru the day.

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Lol, the time we finally do get a ridge in the east, it's all the way up in canada and we have easterly flow until the 27th. Memorial day looks to be in the low 70s here. I need it to actually be warm like its supposed to be for late May.

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Yaaay wind. Over performed again. Must be gusts to 40. Tree debris everywhere again. Living in the woods is fun. Can also see how dry its become- lots of blowing dust and dirt from the fields driving home.

At least there was some sun much of the day. High was 66. Down to 63 now with clouds moving in.

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More twigs and stuff down than normal because we don’t see a lot of these moderate sustained winds from the East.  Nice gradient between the high and the departing storm.

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Certainly a bit breezier than desired for today but I thought it was pleasantly nice otherwise. Was a great day to just sit out and hang out at the park and make sure no buttheads broke park protocols. A somewhat surprising amount of sun and almost made it to 70. 

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54 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

More twigs and stuff down than normal because we don’t see a lot of these moderate sustained winds from the East.  Nice gradient between the high and the departing storm.

Definitely my first storm “damage” at my house since I moved 4 years ago.  That’s an 8” maple branch.  I’m just happy me and the kids were not out playing!

 

5F859FEF-8AE4-4990-A3D3-313A80FFDCE0.jpeg

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1 hour ago, MN Transplant said:

More twigs and stuff down than normal because we don’t see a lot of these moderate sustained winds from the East.  Nice gradient between the high and the departing storm.

Yeah I mentioned this this morning. Its been impressive. A bit more so than I expected (and was forecast). No big branches down here, but lots of small ones, and a bunch of twigs and general tree debris everywhere.

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My sycamore always drops so many twigs and small branches on a windy day that it’s a wonder it’s not bare.

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