• Member Statistics

    16,544
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Malcolm M
    Newest Member
    Malcolm M
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
Tar Heel Snow

One More Shot: Feb 20-21 Event

Recommended Posts

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
315 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020
Changes: The later start to the snow across the north and northwest
and indications from high res guidance that the steadier
precipitation area has shifted southeast a bit, results in slightly
lower snow totals but still expect around an inch. Another change is
with a slight southward shift to the expected max snow accumulation
into the Coastal Plain. This still lines up well with WPC guidance
but is uncertain since much of this accumulating snow will occur
during a short window tonight when low level cold advection gets
going.

 

My reading of this is they lowered totals for N and NW Piedmont to 1'', while expecting more in the E part of their area towards the Coastal Plain. I don't think the Triangle was affected by that.

 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I do not see a logical reason why they would lower the "high" totals of 1-3" at this point. It's all snow, we have hours of snow ahead of us, rates should stay good through 9-10, and sunset is approaching. If anything I'd say 2-3 in sounds more correct for the immediate Raleigh area. I type this as it is snowing at a good clip at my window before 4, when they had the changeover this AM's forecast. I think it had to mean the NW. That's it for my rant. Snowing good atm. Temp is an issue for accumulations but it is dropping like a rock.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

I do not see a logical reason why they would lower the "high" totals of 1-3" at this point. It's all snow, we have hours of snow ahead of us, rates should stay good through 9-10, and sunset is approaching. If anything I'd say 2-3 in sounds more correct for the immediate Raleigh area. I type this as it is snowing at a good clip at my window before 4, when they had the changeover this AM's forecast. I think it had to mean the NW. That's it for my rant. Snowing good atm. Temp is an issue for accumulations but it is dropping like a rock.

It may snow 4-5 inches but I don't think we will see high accumulation.  Everything falling in my neck of the woods is immediately melting and its a solid moderate snow.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, mwp1023 said:

It may snow 4-5 inches but I don't think we will see high accumulation.  Everything falling in my neck of the woods is immediately melting and its a solid moderate snow.

I'll be that guy: wait till it gets closer to sunset. It does matter. it's like forbidden to say that on here but I will. I think we'll get enough flakes for 4-6 in but I'd expect half that accumulates. Pretty right now though!

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, YetAnotherRDUGuy said:

RAH reissued WWA just now. says 1-2 w/ isolated 3 in spots.

I'm pretty sure that's the same as it was. I can't wait for stuff to start whitening up. It's coming down atm. Only issue we have now are BL temps and, dare I say it, ground temps

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hard to believe this is a fairly minor (1-3") event considering how excited everyone is, but i guess thats because how crappy this winter has been.

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I'm pretty sure that's the same as it was. I can't wait for stuff to start whitening up. It's coming down atm. Only issue we have now are BL temps and, dare I say it, ground temps

That snow line ain't too far N of you. It's sinking down.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

THis is going to be a solid snow in Wake County. It's 33 here in NW Raleigh with moderate snow and it's laying already. This is supposed to keep up till 1am per the mesoscale models. Definitely think 3 to 6 is easily attainable.

  • Like 8

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, HKY_WX said:

THis is going to be a solid snow in Wake County. It's already 33 here in NW Raleigh with moderate snow and it's laying already. THis is supposed to keep up till 1am per the mesoscale models. Definitely think 3 to 6 is easily attainable.

You think RAH will go for the WSW?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Snownado said:

Hard to believe this is a fairly minor (1-3") event considering how excited everyone is, but i guess thats because how crappy this winter has been.

That will never change.  We'll be right back in here for the next one...and hoping it's more like Jan 1988

  • Like 6
  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, wake4est said:

You think RAH will go for the WSW?

No clue. Don't think I've checked a NWS forecast for 10 years. Don't need to lol.

  • Like 2
  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, Snownado said:

Hard to believe this is a fairly minor (1-3") event considering how excited everyone is, but i guess thats because how crappy this winter has been.

 

 

Just now, NCWeSU said:

mcd0126.gif

Is there a "Love" button?!?!

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Still sleeting here, not that it matters much at this point but I am wondering why the dew point went up since this morning?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.