UMB WX Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: GEFS are trash 1 out of 20 members aint bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Just now, Chicago Storm said: They are what this storm system is probably going to end up being... WWA criteria event. Going Big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 call gonna go down in flames like the ISC 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 12z GFS trended a little bit south with SLP but 850 temps crept north a bit (slightly stronger?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Pretty sure Alek calls every guidance trash lately. Guy needs a big dog and a blunt badly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: call gonna go down in flames like the ISC 3-6 WAA criteria event is pretty easy to attain...guaranteed lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Just now, Chicago Storm said: WAA criteria event is pretty easy to attain...guaranteed lock. Warm air advection crisis storm is easy to attain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Currently leaning toward 2-3" on the front end here. If it comes in under that, then this winter truly does suck. Even the above total would pretty much make it my biggest snow of the season... pretty sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 euro is dry and warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: euro is dry and warm Ride it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Also took a step towards the GFS with the surface trough extending into MN. All but assures a fairly swift transition to rain for many. I think this is the most likely solution. MN/WI continue to look golden though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Euro is looking more like the GFS now. Is the GFS really going to win again? It already did best for the last two bigger events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Just now, hawkeye_wx said: Euro is looking more like the GFS now. Is the GFS really going to win again? It already did best for the last two bigger events. I'll throw in the towel when the CMC caves tonight at 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 spring can’t come soon enough at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 31 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Currently leaning toward 2-3" on the front end here. If it comes in under that, then this winter truly does suck. Even the above total would pretty much make it my biggest snow of the season... pretty sad. 2-3" is what I'm expecting here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 minute ago, CoalCityWxMan said: spring can’t come soon enough at this point It isn't here yet? Honestly one of the more mild winters I've seen temperature wise. Would not be shocked at all to see this be a backloaded winter though, it has all the hallmarks of that happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Ride it Euro freezing rain map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 14, 2020 Author Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 minute ago, nwohweather said: It isn't here yet? Honestly one of the more mild winters I've seen temperature wise. Would not be shocked at all to see this be a backloaded winter though, it has all the hallmarks of that happening 2011-12, 2012-13 and 2015-16 were worse up until now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Just now, Hoosier said: Euro freezing rain map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Lol euro isn't even advisory criteria here. Garbage storm not worth wasting time on. Hope it just rains instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 What is this weird looking tongue of dry air in between the 2 more moist ones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: What is this weird looking tongue of dry air in between the 2 more moist ones? http://www.econdolence.com/learn/articles/third-stage-of-grief-bargaining/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: http://www.econdolence.com/learn/articles/third-stage-of-grief-bargaining/ Serious though. No other model that I checked has something of that magnitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 at least last weekend's storm had 50's the day before and 30's and 40's the days after. below normal temps right before and after for this one. cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Good spread on the SREF as you'd expect. There are some solid advisory snows in there for N IL though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 11 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Good spread on the SREF as you'd expect. There are some solid advisory snows in there for N IL though. Yeah looked at DKB earlier. 3" mean with nice 4-6" cluster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: Currently leaning toward 2-3" on the front end here. If it comes in under that, then this winter truly does suck. Even the above total would pretty much make it my biggest snow of the season... pretty sad. It sucks anyway just due to banking on a barely grass-covering snow that's just gonna get washed away by a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 10 minutes ago, IWXwx said: It sucks anyway just due to banking on a barely grass-covering snow that's just gonna get washed away by a cold rain. If we can lay down a few inches with a period of sleet, there may be a chance to glacier it over pretty well especially if the low trends farther south to keep the warm-up a bit in check. That's what happened on 12/28/15... that sleet was followed by a lot of plain rain which really hardened it up instead of melting it all. I'm not as big on retaining snowpack as some here but it has gotten a little ridiculous. Would be nice to actually look like winter for more than a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: What is this weird looking tongue of dry air in between the 2 more moist ones? The 06z GFS was showing something similar, but I don't have a clue. EDIT: My bad, that's the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 18z NAM is hitting the ice. But again, gotta take the freezing rain maps with a grain of salt especially when rates are higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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