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42 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said:

Are you serious with that condescending remark bro, seriously?  Some ppl do make that mistake and I meant no ill will with the post.  PPl in these ****in threads have some serious thin skin!  So you think just because NWS has a stripe of 6-8" for ur area thats its definitely gonna happen.

Do you have any idea at all how you come off at times?  And then make it seem like it's the other person's fault?  That's Masterclass work.  Frankly, responses to your insulting posts have been pretty restrained in this subforum.

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Interesting HWO...hoping to score a couple of fluffy inches today:

Lake effect snow will continue southeast of Lake Ontario today and
this evening. A few inches of fluffy accumulation is expected,
especially close to Lake Ontario. If a stronger band of snow is able
to consolidate, moderate accumulations are possible.
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There is a lot to unpack from the IR satellite this morning. I wish I could save a loop.  You can see the SE end of Ontario definitely had light snow almost all night with a decent cloud deck.  Also interesting to see that Irondeqouit bay is the exact cutoff, with snow East and none West.  Convergence is definitely maximized because of the shape of the shoreline.  You can also see a nice streamer coming off of Seneca lake.  High clouds are moving in so the view will be gone soon.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-LakeOntario-13-48-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data

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11 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

There is a lot to unpack from the IR satellite this morning. I wish I could save a loop.  You can see the SE end of Ontario definitely had light snow almost all night with a decent cloud deck.  Also interesting to see that Irondeqouit bay is the exact cutoff, with snow East and none West.  Convergence is definitely maximized because of the shape of the shoreline.  You can also see a nice streamer coming off of Seneca lake.  High clouds are moving in so the view will be gone soon.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-LakeOntario-13-48-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data

Is there more moisture flowing in?

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My mother often brings up a real warm Christmas when I was a very small child.  I started trying to find the year she was referencing and I turned up this ridiculous monthly data from Buffalo for December 1982.  Look at the first 6 days of the month!

A high of 64, 68, 74, 68, 67, and 57.  Thats freaking nuts.  It then went on to hit 64 on Christmas day and 67 on the 28th.  What an absolute scorcher or a month and yet we still managed to get almost 13 inches of snow and had 2 days with temps in the single digits.  Thats weird wild stuff, what a rollercoaster ride.  

982-12-01 64 47 55.5 20.5 9 0 0.00 0.0 0
1982-12-02 68 52 60.0 25.4 5 0 T 0.0 0
1982-12-03 74 60 67.0 32.8 0 2 0.00 0.0 0
1982-12-04 68 45 56.5 22.7 8 0 0.19 0.0 0
1982-12-05 67 45 56.0 22.5 9 0 0.23 0.0 0
1982-12-06 57 37 47.0 13.9 18 0 0.03 0.0 0
1982-12-07 44 32 38.0 5.3 27 0 0.00 0.0 0
1982-12-08 44 27 35.5 3.1 29 0 0.04 0.4 0
1982-12-09 31 7 19.0 -13.0 46 0 0.14 2.4 3
1982-12-10 35 7 21.0 -10.7 44 0 0.03 0.3 2
1982-12-11 34 19 26.5 -4.9 38 0 T T 2
1982-12-12 25 13 19.0 -12.0 46 0 0.01 0.2 1
1982-12-13 29 11 20.0 -10.7 45 0 T T 1
1982-12-14 42 27 34.5 4.1 30 0 0.00 0.0 1
1982-12-15 46 42 44.0 13.9 21 0 0.33 0.0 T
1982-12-16 49 21 35.0 5.2 30 0 0.49 0.1 0
1982-12-17 22 13 17.5 -12.0 47 0 T T T
1982-12-18 37 12 24.5 -4.7 40 0 0.00 0.0 T
1982-12-19 36 27 31.5 2.6 33 0 0.40 4.0 T
1982-12-20 32 28 30.0 1.3 35 0 0.45 4.8 5
1982-12-21 33 28 30.5 2.1 34 0 0.04 0.4 8
1982-12-22 33 28 30.5 2.3 34 0 0.01 0.1 7
1982-12-23 45 33 39.0 11.1 26 0 0.09 0.1 6
1982-12-24 56 45 50.5 22.8 14 0 0.02 0.0 T
1982-12-25 64 55 59.5 32.0 5 0 0.57 0.0 0
1982-12-26 55 29 42.0 14.7 23 0 T 0.0 0
1982-12-27 51 28 39.5 12.4 25 0 0.18 0.0 0
1982-12-28 67 36 51.5 24.6 13 0 0.06 0.0 0
1982-12-29 36 27 31.5 4.8 33 0 T T 0
1982-12-30 27 19 23.0 -3.5 42 0 T T 0
1982-12-31 33 18 25.5 -0.8 39 0 0.01 0.1 0
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While we are one this short jaunt down memory lane.  The following December in Buffalo was an absolute blockbuster for cold and snow.  Look at the temp departures.  Some days had highs in the single digits and 52 inches of snow for the month!!!  

Sum 882 520 - - 1304 0 7.30 52.0 -
1983-12-01 31 24 27.5 -7.5 37 0 T T 5
1983-12-02 32 27 29.5 -5.1 35 0 0.06 0.4 5
1983-12-03 34 25 29.5 -4.7 35 0 T T 4
1983-12-04 34 25 29.5 -4.3 35 0 0.41 1.9 3
1983-12-05 38 33 35.5 2.0 29 0 0.06 0.0 3
1983-12-06 45 32 38.5 5.4 26 0 0.59 0.8 T
1983-12-07 32 22 27.0 -5.7 38 0 0.24 2.4 2
1983-12-08 30 17 23.5 -8.9 41 0 0.12 2.4 2
1983-12-09 35 25 30.0 -2.0 35 0 0.17 2.7 4
1983-12-10 36 24 30.0 -1.7 35 0 0.03 T 4
1983-12-11 39 23 31.0 -0.4 34 0 0.13 T 3
1983-12-12 43 35 39.0 8.0 26 0 1.03 0.0 1
1983-12-13 39 31 35.0 4.3 30 0 T 0.0 T
1983-12-14 40 31 35.5 5.1 29 0 0.19 0.0 T
1983-12-15 47 30 38.5 8.4 26 0 0.12 0.9 0
1983-12-16 31 25 28.0 -1.8 37 0 0.95 12.0 4
1983-12-17 25 20 22.5 -7.0 42 0 0.08 1.1 12
1983-12-18 20 13 16.5 -12.7 48 0 0.17 2.9 10
1983-12-19 13 0 6.5 -22.4 58 0 T T 12
1983-12-20 11 -7 2.0 -26.7 63 0 T T 10
1983-12-21 29 -8 10.5 -17.9 54 0 0.14 1.2 9
1983-12-22 40 13 26.5 -1.7 38 0 0.70 0.6 5
1983-12-23 14 6 10.0 -17.9 55 0 0.96 9.9 5
1983-12-24 7 2 4.5 -23.2 60 0 0.19 3.8 14
1983-12-25 7 0 3.5 -24.0 61 0 0.05 0.8 13
1983-12-26 13 -3 5.0 -22.3 60 0 0.32 4.7 16
1983-12-27 22 13 17.5 -9.6 47 0 0.08 0.9 16
1983-12-28 32 21 26.5 -0.4 38 0 0.40 1.0 13
1983-12-29 25 7 16.0 -10.7 49 0 T T 12
1983-12-30 12 7 9.5 -17.0 55 0 0.11 1.6 12
1983-12-31 26 7 16.5 -9.8 48 0 0.00 0.0 12
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