FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 SREF plumes have increased, HRRR is coming north from it's 12z position. I'm expecting a big nam run here shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Slowly....this is becoming a big event for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Will GSP issue any WSW or just WWA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Will GSP issue any WSW or just WWA? I think they will go with a wsw but the models just seem to be latching onto things do late that they are in no hurry to cause public panic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Well, Ward went somewhat gung-ho with his call. I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Lol Ashe your comment was fine. You may be right. They may forgo a watch altogether and just put up a warning for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Well, Ward went somewhat gung-ho with his call. I like it. He’s been on top of this from the start. He said last week that he loved this setup and it’s setting up. He said 3 days ago that these models would correct to a more northern solution with their precip and they did. He said 2 days ago that he liked the NAM and GFS over the Euro, and low and behold did the Euro cave. Hunter has been all over this thing and I’m riding his call map into the sunset. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Ashe I think you are right. The NWS just issued a warning for the mountain side of TN. I think our warning will be coming very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Lol Ashe your comment was fine. You may be right. They may forgo a watch altogether and just put up a warning for us. Yea, I took it back simply because I'm in the blacksburg district and they're trigger happy for those warnings compared to some lol. Figured I would let someone else answer it from the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: He’s been on top of this from the start. He said last week that he loved this setup and it’s setting up. He said 3 days ago that these models would correct to a more northern solution with their precip and they did. He said 2 days ago that he liked the NAM and GFS over the Euro, and low and behold did the Euro cave. Hunter has been all over this thing and I’m riding his call map into the sunset. Lol. Hunter is really one of the best here in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 GSP says WWA for area. Saying 1-3 in mtns with locally 4. 1-2 with locally 3 in foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 From about 12-3 pm Tomorrow the nam has very heavy snow over the southern mtns. Thinking 4-8 should be a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Lol well I was wrong on the warning but who cares. Its basically a nowcast type situation. Ill take my 2-3 plus 5 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 7 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: GSP says WWA for area. Saying 1-3 in mtns with locally 4. 1-2 with locally 3 in foothills GSP not impressed at all..The only warnings in the south are in East Tennessee..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, snowbird1230 said: GSP not impressed at all This is early for them. It’s usually after the first flake is flying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: This is early for them. It’s usually after the first flake is flying. well thats GSP for you, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duncana Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 You guys think the Morganton/Valdese areas of Burke could see warning criteria of at least 4 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 5 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: GSP not impressed at all..The only warnings in the south are in East Tennessee..lol They’re gun shy on hyping winter weather after all their busts in the upstate. We really need a different representative for the 828. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 14 minutes ago, Duncana said: You guys think the Morganton/Valdese areas of Burke could see warning criteria of at least 4 inches? May be in a precip minimum and could get only an inch or 2 but if you buy the NAM 2 to 4 inches seem a good bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 GSP says WWA for area. Saying 1-3 in mtns with locally 4. 1-2 with locally 3 in foothills I think after getting snakebit when they issued the WSW's a couple months ago, they're thinking is they can always upgrade the wwa in the morning. Can't say that I blame them. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 the Hi Res Nam actually went down again on snow totals for leeside areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Nws saying 3-5 “ for me. I think we get switched to a Wsw sometime after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Hello Mnt & Foothill peeps! I see we’re in the pre storm boom or bust excitement phase. I really like the look of this system. In GSP’s afternoon disco they speak of the system currently in Texas being better organized than modeled. Certainly won’t be surprised to see some places upgraded overnight. As usual there will be over & under performers. Enjoy the now though because it’s a big part of the fun! Good luck to all of you. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 16 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: Nws saying 3-5 “ for me. I think we get switched to a Wsw sometime after midnight. I think you may be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 16 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: Nws saying 3-5 “ for me. I think we get switched to a Wsw sometime after midnight. 4am while everyone is asleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, NavarreDon said: Hello Mnt & Foothill peeps! I see we’re in the pre storm boom or bust excitement phase. I really like the look of this system. In GSP’s afternoon disco they speak of the system being in Texas being better organized than modeled. Certainly won’t be surprised to see some places upgraded overnight. As usual there will be over & under performers. Enjoy the now though because it’s a big part of the fun! Good luck to all of you. . Thanks Don for stopping by! We sure do miss you around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 GFS coming in at hour 18 with the heavy precip north of the 12z location (of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Welp it’s about time to see what Boyer has to say about things. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Less than 1 inch for Franklin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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