Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change

[Typhoon Tip]

 https://phys.org/news/2026-05-hot-years.html 

It addresses the 'surge' nature in which the ongoing GW recency has been observed.

It doesn't specifically attempt to nail down why-for that behavior; altho, it does attempt to implicate a contributing faster warming Arctic, citing less ice and snow and pan-dimensional Albedo as causal ... but that's not in depth enough. 

The global surging phenomenon is (or should be) of particular import. Namely, the uncertainty.  There are no predictive tools, man or machine, anticipating when and to what magnitude. This may seem almost Onion obvious, but ... not knowing an entire planetary system is about to move the equivalent energy of every atomic weapon, is bad.  And is strangely poetic, wouldn't you agree?  

Such was the mysterious lurch of late February thru early May, 2023.  Yes ... prior to either the onset of +ENSO, but even so... vastly too soon to be sufficiently lag correlated in the first place.  

I'm still not fully convinced that the switch from negative to positive mode of the ENSO that spring, was causal in the global temperature surge, because of those incongruencies in specific timing - yet I continue to encounter narratives that the El Nino was instrumental.  Wrong.

Be that whatever it may be ... we are in the similar window now. With the expected onset of +ENSO, "super" this and that, notwithstanding, so it is a testable moment in history. 

 

 

. 

[donsutherland1]

Today was another day of blazing heat in France. 

[TheClimateChanger]

 

[TheClimateChanger]

 

[ChescoWx]

How climate catastrophism — not climate change — is harming our mental health

https://www.thefreemind.co.uk/p/how-climate-catastrophism-not-climate

 

[Typhoon Tip]

https://phys.org/news/2026-06-global-137c-earth-accumulating.html

[Typhoon Tip]

https://phys.org/news/2026-06-earth-energy-imbalance.html

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

How climate catastrophism — not climate change — is harming our mental health
https://www.thefreemind.co.uk/p/how-climate-catastrophism-not-climate
 

Exactly what predictions are failing, other then nonsense from Al Gore?


.

[jbenedet]

UNH buoy east of NH already up to 63 degrees…. That’s a month ahead of schedule…

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44098

[WolfStock1]

On 6/11/2026 at 3:00 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Exactly what predictions are failing, other then nonsense from Al Gore?


.

Google is your friend.

https://www.agweb.com/opinion/doomsday-addiction-celebrating-50-years-failed-climate-predictions

https://bradleyhook.com/why-extreme-climate-change-predictions-failed-what-we-can-do-now/

https://reason.com/2025/04/16/3-apocalyptic-climate-change-predictions-that-failed-to-come-true/

https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelshellenberger/2019/11/25/why-everything-they-say-about-climate-change-is-wrong/

(does include some Al Gore stuff)

etc. etc.   Just search on "climate change failed predictions"

 

 

[Brewbeer]

it's easy to distract from the correct predictions by highlighting the incorrect ones

[forkyfork]

what will these people tell themselves next summer

[Brewbeer]

same thing google is telling them this summer

[bluewave]

On 5/28/2026 at 3:06 PM, donsutherland1 said:

Today was another day of blazing heat in France. 

Unfortunately, another even more extreme heatwave less than a month later.

Translated from French

The average thermal anomaly for the next 7 days could reach +9.0°C, which is greater than during the exceptional episode of May 2026, whose return period was estimated at more than 1,000 years. We're just two weeks after breaking that supposed millennial record... The June 2026 heatwave could thus become the most anomalous episode ever observed in France over a one-week period, across all seasons and all durations combined. Furthermore, Monday could enter the Top 3 of the hottest days ever recorded in France, alongside the historical benchmarks of July 25, 2019 (national average temperature of 29.40°C) and August 4, 2003 (29.35°C). If the forecasts hold true, this day would join the most significant dates in French climate history.

 

 

[donsutherland1]

9 hours ago, bluewave said:

Unfortunately, another even more extreme heatwave less than a month later.

Translated from French

The average thermal anomaly for the next 7 days could reach +9.0°C, which is greater than during the exceptional episode of May 2026, whose return period was estimated at more than 1,000 years. We're just two weeks after breaking that supposed millennial record... The June 2026 heatwave could thus become the most anomalous episode ever observed in France over a one-week period, across all seasons and all durations combined. Furthermore, Monday could enter the Top 3 of the hottest days ever recorded in France, alongside the historical benchmarks of July 25, 2019 (national average temperature of 29.40°C) and August 4, 2003 (29.35°C). If the forecasts hold true, this day would join the most significant dates in French climate history.

 

 

Unfortunately, that's the case. Paris-Jardin du Luxembourg hit 101° today, surpassing the monthly mark of 100° set just yesterday. Even higher temperatures are likely during the weekend.

[SnoSki14]

4 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Unfortunately, that's the case. Paris-Jardin du Luxembourg hit 101° today, surpassing the monthly mark of 100° set just yesterday. Even higher temperatures are likely during the weekend.

As warm as its been here we've been fortunate enough to avoid these extreme bursts as similar conditions here could yield 110+ highs. 

[donsutherland1]

So far, 16 locations in France have reached 40°C (104°F) or above today in an ongoing climate change-enhanced extreme heatwave. Pissos has hit 41.5°C (107°F).

While one waits for the final numbers from today and coming days that will rank this heatwave as among the worst in French and western European climate history, I created a digital artwork "It's A Crazy World" to symbolize humanity's unwillingness to confront the cause of ongoing climate change.

A burning globe stands before a background of climate stripes, transforming scientific evidence into a stark visual record of the world’s ongoing warming. Europe glows with dangerous heat, while a thermometer planted over France reads 40°C. In the lower left, fossil fuel infrastructure appears almost toy-like against the scale of planetary disruption: small in form, but immense in consequence. At the right, a pale sculptural figure (detail from Jean-Baptiste Carpeaux’s  "Ugolino and His Sons" that I photographed at the Metropolitan Museum of Art) evokes humanity’s mounting suffering under the pressure of a hotter world.

This work confronts one of the central absurdities of the modern age. The evidence is overwhelming and unequivocal. The burning of fossil fuels is driving anthropogenic greenhouse gas warming, and that warming is increasing the frequency and severity of extreme heatwaves. Yet humanity continues to extract, burn, subsidize, and consume the very fuels accelerating the crisis with seeming indifference to the harm it is inflicting on the world and its ecosystems.

The contrast between beauty and terror is deliberate. The climate stripes are visually elegant, but they record a destabilizing planet. The glowing continents are dramatic, but they signify real risk. The sculptural body, drawn from an image of suffering, gives human form to what can otherwise seem abstract. The quote from a young French climate activist anchors the work in moral urgency, insisting that the crisis is not distant, theoretical, or merely environmental. It is already a question of life and death.

"It’s A Crazy World" is about knowing and continuing destructive business as usual anyway. It asks viewers to consider the madness of a civilization capable of measuring its own danger with precision while still choosing to feed the fire.

[donsutherland1]

The heat intensified in France today. All-time temperature records began melting from the relentless heat. Eleven locations set new all-time marks and 112 reached 40°C (104.0°F) or above. Paris-Jardin du Luxembourg reached 38.3°C (100.9°F), narrowly missing its June monthly record that was set on June 19th (38.4°C/101.1°F). 

[donsutherland1]

All-time temperature records are again falling in France. As of early this afternoon (local time), 2026 had produced the tenth most all-time records for any calendar year (and second most in June).

 

By the close of today, 2026 will very likely rank 6th highest. Seven of the ten years with the most all-time records have occurred since 2015.

[donsutherland1]

France sizzled under a heat dome that felt more like a fire dome today. More than 300 locations reached 40C (104F) or above, 123 all-time records were set, and an additional 453 monthly records were set.

[Retrobuc]

Just saw an interesting statistic relative to the number of 90+ degree days in Orlando.  There have been 45 so far this year and the average is 110.  The record is 152 days in 1919! Do you think climate change was talked about in 1919?  What did people think 107 years ago when the temps soared and then led into the dust bowl?

[TheClimateChanger]

1 hour ago, Retrobuc said:

Just saw an interesting statistic relative to the number of 90+ degree days in Orlando.  There have been 45 so far this year and the average is 110.  The record is 152 days in 1919! Do you think climate change was talked about in 1919?  What did people think 107 years ago when the temps soared and then led into the dust bowl?

Ah yes, the famous 1919 heat wave where Orlando had 2 weeks more 90F days than anywhere else. The same year where Pensacola registered 4 days at or above 90F, Miami recorded 6 - yes 6, and Key West a paltry 21. These numbers are unthinkable today. Did you ever stop to think that perhaps century-old local observations, with questionable exposure, rooftop siting, nonstandard instruments, observer changes, missing data, and who knows what else, should not be treated as sacred, apples-to-apples climate records? Or do you just repeat the one raw number that flatters your narrative while ignoring the rest of the statewide data screaming that something may be off?

[WolfStock1]

1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Ah yes, the famous 1919 heat wave where Orlando had 2 weeks more 90F days than anywhere else. The same year where Pensacola registered 4 days at or above 90F, Miami recorded 6 - yes 6, and Key West a paltry 21. These numbers are unthinkable today. Did you ever stop to think that perhaps century-old local observations, with questionable exposure, rooftop siting, nonstandard instruments, observer changes, missing data, and who knows what else, should not be treated as sacred, apples-to-apples climate records? Or do you just repeat the one raw number that flatters your narrative while ignoring the rest of the statewide data screaming that something may be off?

Orlando is the only one of those cities that's inland, and thus is by its nature hotter than almost every other Florida city.  Florida had almost no inland population then; so best comparison would be to some cities in Georgia.   (there wasn't a single city in FL off the coast - including Orlando - that was over 10k population)

(I used to live in FL, and noticed how the coast of FL rarely got into the 90's compared with inland; they got less 90+ degree days in fact than central NC where I had come from)