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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change


donsutherland1
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 https://phys.org/news/2026-05-hot-years.html 

It addresses the 'surge' nature in which the ongoing GW recency has been observed.

It doesn't specifically attempt to nail down why-for that behavior; altho, it does attempt to implicate a contributing faster warming Arctic, citing less ice and snow and pan-dimensional Albedo as causal ... but that's not in depth enough. 

The global surging phenomenon is (or should be) of particular import. Namely, the uncertainty.  There are no predictive tools, man or machine, anticipating when and to what magnitude. This may seem almost Onion obvious, but ... not knowing an entire planetary system is about to move the equivalent energy of every atomic weapon, is bad.  And is strangely poetic, wouldn't you agree?  

Such was the mysterious lurch of late February thru early May, 2023.  Yes ... prior to either the onset of +ENSO, but even so... vastly too soon to be sufficiently lag correlated in the first place.  

I'm still not fully convinced that the switch from negative to positive mode of the ENSO that spring, was causal in the global temperature surge, because of those incongruencies in specific timing - yet I continue to encounter narratives that the El Nino was instrumental.  Wrong.

Be that whatever it may be ... we are in the similar window now. With the expected onset of +ENSO, "super" this and that, notwithstanding, so it is a testable moment in history. 

 

 

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On 5/28/2026 at 3:06 PM, donsutherland1 said:

Today was another day of blazing heat in France. 

image.thumb.png.d8c3faa794f40b59e7afc288f7165a58.png

Unfortunately, another even more extreme heatwave less than a month later.

Translated from French
The average thermal anomaly for the next 7 days could reach +9.0°C, which is greater than during the exceptional episode of May 2026, whose return period was estimated at more than 1,000 years. We're just two weeks after breaking that supposed millennial record... The June 2026 heatwave could thus become the most anomalous episode ever observed in France over a one-week period, across all seasons and all durations combined. Furthermore, Monday could enter the Top 3 of the hottest days ever recorded in France, alongside the historical benchmarks of July 25, 2019 (national average temperature of 29.40°C) and August 4, 2003 (29.35°C). If the forecasts hold true, this day would join the most significant dates in French climate history.
 

 

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