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Dr. Dews

SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

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1 minute ago, correnjim1 said:

i feel cheated lol....i want a TS Watch

We all do

It's so close but thanks to the trough , its going to be kicked  out.

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20 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Its a straight drug for him at this point.  I get it, and reading some of his stuff, he almost seems ok with it if one of these does claim his life at some point.  There's nothing else he'd rather be doing.  Sitting at home while a Cat 5 hits some island is just not a possibility for him.  I have a deep respect for people like that, who realize this is what they want to do with their life and they are going to do it.

I also get some of the other comments... I mean, if anyone needs to come rescue him or provide emergency care.... it's the same as someone going up MWN and needing to be rescued (when a lot of the public wonders why you put the rescuers at risk).  Some people hike Everest, some chase the eyewalls of Cat 5 hurricanes, others chase tornadoes, some dive to the deepest depths of the ocean possible.    They didn't need to be there but they wanted to and they don't need anyone's permission to do so.  Josh obviously plans well for it, but one can see both sides of the argument. 

Yeah, that seems about right...a drug.  I don't really have an issue with the storm chasing overall except for as you mention, when you put your self in danger, or anyone else.  

I do get a bit turned off when I see him say that he "hitched a ride with a military chopper". There must have been more to this than the nonchalant way it sounds.  Military helicopters don't just let people jump on board.  Also, why not get trained in some type of medical care and do more after these storms rip through?  My guess is that Josh wants zero to do with the aftermath and the possibility of being stuck somewhere for days, and weeks without modern amenities, with filthy, hungry people all around him. ... A few days, maybe, but he really want out as quick as possible. I guess I would get trained to do more and try to help if I could.  

But, this is his thing, and he does it the way he wants, and does not care if he pisses people off along the way as is his right as long as he does not get in the way of rescue efforts.

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3 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Hazey should take a nice trip to the Richmond County shoreline. Some of these pressure on the HWRF and the ECMWF at landfall are pretty ridiculous, I'm pretty sure they'd set the NS record. 

I'm sure someone will be there to capture the event. I'll have enough to contend with, flooding the big concern with some tree/ tree limb damage. The severe stuff should stay offshore but I expect tropical storm conditions of 60mph gusts even at my location. Im using Hurricane Hortense 1996 as my analog.

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7 minutes ago, Hazey said:

I'm sure someone will be there to capture the event. I'll have enough to contend with, flooding the big concern with some tree/ tree limb damage. The severe stuff should stay offshore but I expect tropical storm conditions of 60mph gusts even at my location. Im using Hurricane Hortense 1996 as my analog.

Your previous post talked about being scared and Juan...now you're thinking just some tropical storm conditions??  Juan was way more than tropical storm conditions no???

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1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Your previous post talked about being scared and Juan...now you're thinking just some tropical storm conditions??  Juan was way more than tropical storm conditions no???

Juan went up on the west side of Halifax, that makes a huge difference. Still possible, but guidance seems locked in for a track just southeast of Halifax. 

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10 minutes ago, Hazey said:

I'm sure someone will be there to capture the event. I'll have enough to contend with, flooding the big concern with some tree/ tree limb damage. The severe stuff should stay offshore but I expect tropical storm conditions of 60mph gusts even at my location. Im using Hurricane Hortense 1996 as my analog.

There are times I wonder if you actually like the weather, dude. 

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1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Your previous post talked about being scared and Juan...now you're thinking just some tropical storm conditions??  Juan was way more than tropical storm conditions no???

Shift east last night. keeps me on the rainier side and not the high wind side. Could still cross over or move to my west but I don't think that will happen

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Just now, OSUmetstud said:

Juan went up on the west side of Halifax, that makes a huge difference. Still possible, but guidance seems locked in for a track just southeast of Halifax. 

Ok gotcha.  Ya going up the west side would put that area in the right front quadrant where the winds are the strongest right.   I was just commenting on Hazey getting concerned earlier...but now see why this should be much easier on his area than Juan.

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1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said:

There are times I wonder if you actually like the weather, dude. 

Being a homeowner and being responsable for the damages changes your perspective some. Still like weather but I have skin in the game i'd rather not loose now. 

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1 minute ago, Hazey said:

Shift east last night. keeps me on the rainier side and not the high wind side. Could still cross over or move to my west but I don't think that will happen

Got it.  Makes sense now.  You should be fine if the guidance holds.  

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Just now, Hazey said:

Being a homeowner and being responsable for the damages changes your perspective some. Still like weather but I have skin in the game i'd rather not loose now. 

Yeah, but you can't really do anything about the damage, its going to happen either way. 

 

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Just now, Hazey said:

Being a homeowner and being responsable for the damages changes your perspective some. Still like weather but I have skin in the game i'd rather not loose now. 

Amazing how our perspective as homeowners changes our desire for extreme weather.  I have had enough of limbs and trees falling over the last 3 years to last a lifetime.  All of the dead oaks around here mean there is more to come. I removed 7 but have 4 more I need to have dropped. 

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1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said:

Yeah, but you can't really do anything about the damage, its going to happen either way. 

 

Liking the weather and being worried about damage to your hard earned property is a conundrum.  

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1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Amazing how our perspective as homeowners changes our desire for extreme weather.  I have had enough of limbs and trees falling over the last 3 years to last a lifetime.  All of the dead oaks around here mean there is more to come. I removed 7 but have 4 more I need to have dropped. 

Yup. I hate damage imby and feel sympathetic to those who have to suffer through it. Sure it’s part of our weenie nostalgia but that doesn’t mean I hope for it. I have like 5/6 trees I want to cut down....just need to find time and get some friends to help. 

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4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Amazing how our perspective as homeowners changes our desire for extreme weather.  I have had enough of limbs and trees falling over the last 3 years to last a lifetime.  All of the dead oaks around here mean there is more to come. I removed 7 but have 4 more I need to have dropped. 

If it's coming, you would seem like someone who was at least interested in going experience the majesty of weather, Steve. I don't really think that's out there thinking on this forum. 

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Amazing how our perspective as homeowners changes our desire for extreme weather.  I have had enough of limbs and trees falling over the last 3 years to last a lifetime.  All of the dead oaks around here mean there is more to come. I removed 7 but have 4 more I need to have dropped. 

Exactly. When I was younger I was over the moon at getting a hurricane. Juan was awesome but now I look back at the damage and think if I had to pay for it or clean it up, not so fun. Plus my place is heavily wooded.

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Just now, OSUmetstud said:

Like I get the dread of dealing with the property damage, but I can't relate with this idea of not wanting to go be in it if it was available so close by. I guess that makes me weird or something. 

If I could experience it without my place being trashed, I'd be ok with that but then that would make me a selfish weather weenie. I suspect I'll see enough to get my fill of tropical activity.

That adjustment east might bring the good stuff to your doorstep.

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7 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Like I get the dread of dealing with the property damage, but I can't relate with this idea of not wanting to go be in it if it was available so close by. I guess that makes me weird or something. 

You and Ditty, both weird. I spent months cleaning up after May 18 EF1, never again no thanks. 

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Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You and Ditty, both weird. I spent months cleaning up after May 18 EF1, never again no thanks. 

You don't have the choice whether its coming. Do you want to see the tornado or not? Do you want to experience the hurricane first hand or not? We're not talking about having the choice here. 

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5 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Like I get the dread of dealing with the property damage, but I can't relate with this idea of not wanting to go be in it if it was available so close by. I guess that makes me weird or something. 

No, I get completely what you're saying.  And I can also see the property owner side of it too.   I look at it...wishing for it doesn't make it happen, anymore than NOT wishing for it doesn't make it happen.   Sometimes the law of averages catches up with a location, and it'll come no matter what.  In that case I hear and agree with what you mean.   But the Conundrum statement is real....we love the extreme weather, but don't want our homes and property to be destroyed either.   But we have to keep in mind the weather doesn't take any of what we want, or don't want into consideration lol...so that makes me feel ok when I kind of Pine for some exciting weather at times.

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Some here hope they are right inline of some catastrophic event, That's the difference between actually getting it over your head or hoping you do, Most on here feel the same way, They don't want it, But if it happens, You can't prevent it.

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46 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You and Ditty, both weird. I spent months cleaning up after May 18 EF1, never again no thanks. 

Yeah. I don't think Kev is really wishing for the damage on top of his head, but in fantasy the idea of a huge, historic even nearby is pretty exciting.  But when it finally happens, you wish it didn't. 

Your place was right in the path of that storm.  It must have been pretty shi*ty.

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56 minutes ago, Hazey said:

Exactly. When I was younger I was over the moon at getting a hurricane. Juan was awesome but now I look back at the damage and think if I had to pay for it or clean it up, not so fun. Plus my place is heavily wooded.

Somewhat related, I've always found ice storms exciting and beautiful (the NNJ event in 1953 probably triggered my interest in both wx and trees), but that excitement is tempered by foreboding since I entered the forestry profession.

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3 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

NAM jumped east, hardly even gets rain to Boston.  Should still be fun for those out on Nantucket though. 

don't take away the little enjoyment i was gonna get from this lol

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