Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    23Yankee
    Newest Member
    23Yankee
    Joined

Winter Storm!? Jan 12-13th, 2019


cyclone77

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 655
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Just now, Hoosier said:

I'd definitely be concerned about low level dry air on the northern fringe in a setup like this.  Models are supposed to account for that (by not generating qpf when it's too dry) but it doesn't mean they will handle it well.

 

Pwats are ridiculously high 

I think the Northern edge might be underdone

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, The_Global_Warmer said:

 

Pwats are ridiculously high 

I think the Northern edge might be underdone

 

I am looking at that 1040 mb high just north of the Lakes and thinking it's going to make its presence felt.  LOT had some good points in the overnight afd about this kind of storm track not typically bringing much snow to the area, but they also pointed out the impressive jet dynamics.  Southern WI/northern IL and eastward into MI is the main potential bust area in terms of dry air.  STL is looking to be in a great spot.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I am looking at that 1040 mb high just north of the Lakes and thinking it's going to make its presence felt.  LOT had some good points in the overnight afd about this kind of storm track not typically bringing much snow to the area, but they also pointed out the impressive jet dynamics.  Southern WI/northern IL and eastward into MI is the main potential bust area in terms of dry air.  STL is looking to be in a great spot.

 

Unfortunately for MBY, I agree. Dewpoint at ORD is only 7F...probably the driest air so far in this joke of a "season".  Will take awhile to moisten up, especially with relatively dry NE winds ahead of the storm's arrival.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

44 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I am looking at that 1040 mb high just north of the Lakes and thinking it's going to make its presence felt.  LOT had some good points in the overnight afd about this kind of storm track not typically bringing much snow to the area, but they also pointed out the impressive jet dynamics.  Southern WI/northern IL and eastward into MI is the main potential bust area in terms of dry air.  STL is looking to be in a great spot.

 

WPC has the high positioned pretty north on their forecast maps. But if that high ends up further south I agree it will make its presence felt with major dry air and hold that precip shield south. Whoever is on the northern fringe of that shield is going to see a sharp cut off

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, buckeye said:

still thinking a solid 2-4 looks good.    Finally going to look like winter.

...and the best part is it's actually January....not fcking March or April!!!!  What a concept!

 

it ain't down yet. And after you took a shot at my boy Alek in the other thread you may reap his vengeance..."bank clock reads 33":lol:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...