BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 10 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Latest Canadian actually shows that period being quite chilly, if not cold, as a pretty good block stays in place up near AK. Let's see what Euro looks like, but I wouldn't bank on a warm period next week quite yet. The GFS doesnt have cold enough air for lake effect entire duration of the run exception this week. Pretty sad for mid January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 How are you Western NYers doing? Looks like some snow coming down now there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Hey ROCdave, can you post that interesting graph you found of the days with at least 1inch of snow on the ground from like the past 100 years. I have looked back but cannot find where or when you posted that. Very interesting information in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 22 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: How are you Western NYers doing? Looks like some snow coming down now there. Lots of ice here. Roads are terrible. Had to make an errand on lunch break and sliding all over. Worse then I thought they would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 https://www.google.com/search?q=bar+graph+6"+or+more+snow+annual+days+new+york&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-us&client=safari#imgrc=zMhl2UMdQB2rEM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 https://www.weather.gov/buf/ROCsnowdepth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 77-78 had nearly 50 days of a foot or more in Rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 55 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The GFS doesnt have cold enough air for lake effect entire duration of the run exception this week. Pretty sad for mid January. Euro looks more like Canadian to me for next week, if not even more impressive with building heights into AK. Next week might be sneaky good... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 42 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Euro looks more like Canadian to me for next week, if not even more impressive with building heights into AK. Next week might be sneaky good... Oddly I thought that forecast of warmer temps next week was off a bit. The SSWE is starting to spawn The 3rd vorticie and it is forecast to be off the north atlantic/Canadian maritime then retrograde west to Hudson Bay all the while forcing the jet to buckle under a +PNA next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Euro is cold throughout after the cold front passage.. Has some powder keg snow in the long range.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 27 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Euro is cold throughout after the cold front passage.. Has some powder keg snow in the long range.. All on a NW flow. Way to waste lake eries moisture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Latest Nam has 2.5" of total precipitation.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Fun begins early wed morning as we start to change over..All snow accumulation happens after this point.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Latest Nam has 2.5" of total precipitation.. Hi Rez has 4” for BUF with 6-10” in the hills south. I’d take in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 2 hours ago, rochesterdave said: https://www.weather.gov/buf/ROCsnowdepth Thanks Dave! There is a lot of info one could extrapolate from those graphs. I wish they would update the last few season already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Yea the 3k nam is nice, probably would of been a little better then the 12k.. Looks like about 12"-15" from me to matt with about 12 hrs of snow to go.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 226 PM EST Mon Jan 07 2019 Several lows will move from the Great Lakes into the northeast over the next few days, delivering precipitation region-wide. The first low will move from Wisconsin into western Quebec overnight, spreading precipitation eastward into the Northeast. A secondary low will arrive in the Great Lakes Tuesday morning, quickly move east, and then strengthen along the Northeast coast Tuesday Night and Wednesday. The passage of the two lows should cause temperatures to fluctuate from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, which may cause multiple changes in precipitation types in some areas. Much colder air should arrive behind the second low on Tuesday Night and Wednesday, leading to a final changeover to snow across much of the interior Northeast and lake effect snow in the Great Lakes. Significant snow accumulation is expected from Upstate New York into Vermont, New Hampshire and inland Maine, with over 8 inches of snow likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Amounts just keep going in the right direction for once, up, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Virga FTW!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Pouring Sleet @22F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Rgem with a 1/2 foot tue night into wed with that potent SW, wrap around/enhancement just getting started.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Soundings for Wed into Thursday look quite impressive with deep deep snow growth level that intersects the omega values and the highest RH values. The winds start off at around 290-300 for a time then veer more NWery 310-320 with time, all the while remaining cyclonic. Can't really ask for a better set-up than the one depicted for Wed-Thurs if your in places to the ESE-SE of the Lake. This set-up, in past events, has given us our greatest totals with SW's pinwheeling around a large ULL situated up over VT and NH, which then heads off the coast of Maine and sometimes stalls and really clobbers us but that's not happening this time as its more progressive but things can get interesting come Wed evening into Thursday morning so we'll see what happens. This is actually one of my favorite set-ups but their all different in one way or another. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Rgem pops the 2ndry over interior SNE.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Car was in driveway, so brought it in the garage at 2 today. This is what it looks like 8 HOURS later. This is what you call northern living... lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Car was in driveway, so brought it in the garage at 2 today. This is what it looks like 8 HOURS later. This is what you call northern living... lol Awesome! I think that's more snow then I've seen on the ground here since Christmas Eve. Haha! Just to bring a little more discussion to the board while we await our first potential snow event in quite some time, what kind of vehicles does everyone on this thread drive? Just curious how all of us upstaters get around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 25° with freezing rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Awesome! I think that's more snow then I've seen on the ground here since Christmas Eve. Haha! Just to bring a little more discussion to the board while we await our first potential snow event in quite some time, what kind of vehicles does everyone on this thread drive? Just curious how all of us upstaters get around. My snow lasted longer in the garage than yours does for a day.... lol I drive a Hyundai Santa Fe. Love it. It does amazing in winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Rgem with double digit snowfall by wed night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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