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Upstate Tiger

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

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19 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said:

More precip this time?

Pretty sure it was dryer actually. But still both OP's showing snow in the southeast on the same date with ensemble support. I'll take that this far out.

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30 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

Pretty sure it was dryer actually. But still both OP's showing snow in the southeast on the same date with ensemble support. I'll take that this far out.

Dryer but a tick colder

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3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

GFSv3 6z = Carolinas crush job! 

Get the keys to the bus!

Post a clown map!!!

 

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6 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

It won’t let me. It looked really good, but old GFS, not so much!

After the dec storm we kinda just hug the new gfs.. old one was late to the party.

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7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

It won’t let me. It looked really good, but old GFS, not so much!

They switched to a point of the FV3 is now showing a nice storm and the GFS not. But the FV3 still had the storm signal at 0z. This would be nice for the folks down east in SC and NC. 

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6 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

If the models hold serve through 18z, I'm starting the thread

There’s one model showing this?

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18 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

There’s one model showing this?

 

18 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:

Don’t you mean model..... as in singular?  I hope it’s right. 

several 0Z Euro ensembles, and the 0z CMC both support it for NC, as well as the 6z GEFS having 1+ from Charlotte westward...

 

Edit: there were some really nice hits on the Euro...

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12 minutes ago, WarmNose said:

7 day threats are par for the course. Lets pump the breaks before we dig this winter back out of the trashcan

Nailed the last FV3 7 day event... Just saying 

8 minutes ago, gearhead302 said:

Why wait?  Start it now:rolleyes:

Rather have back to back Euro and EPS (12z support) before making my final choice

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44 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

If the models hold serve through 18z, I'm starting the thread

Please No!  Every thread you start = zilch for me! LOL.   Not sure who the guy was last year that started an early thread that paid off but you Sir are not him!

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For Atlanta, the Euro ensembles are still mostly saying no but the GEFS is on board with the majority of members showing at least 1 inch

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14 minutes ago, griteater said:

Yeah Orangeburgwx, I wouldn’t get trigger happy with this one. Give it a couple more days to see if there is more of a concensus. 5 days with multiple model support is a solid rule that we have. Just my opinion 

this

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31 minutes ago, RT1980 said:

Please No!  Every thread you start = zilch for me! LOL.   Not sure who the guy was last year that started an early thread that paid off but you Sir are not him!

Actually it was me if you are talking about the Dec. 9th event... Go look at who started it under the thread heading:lol::lol::lol:

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1 minute ago, Orangeburgwx said:

Actually it was me if you are talking about the Dec. 9th event... Go look at who started it under the thread heading:lol::lol::lol:

No Sir I meant the Jan 2018 thread! No disrespect intended!

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