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Baroclinic Zone

July Doldrums - Summer in full effect Pattern and Model Discussion

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8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How many did BOX NWS have you forecast for?

These last 3.  They missed yesterday by a few degrees but otherwise they've been spot on.

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Keene again with one of the highest heat index in the entire region.

And no Excessive Heat Warning.

Also the point forecasts are down, and only zones showing up right now.

Is all of the Gray NWS drinking margaritas at the pool?

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1 minute ago, OKpowdah said:

Keene again with one of the highest heat index in the entire region.

And no Excessive Heat Warning.

Also the point forecasts are down, and only zones showing up right now.

Is all of the Gray NWS drinking margaritas at the pool?

They must be in the same place scooter is.

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Maybe NWS just holds off on the heat warnings if the coverage area is  isolated.   Vast majority of the CWA is at advisory levels including much of the counties that Keene ,Orange, and Westfield are located in.  

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2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I'm guessing they didn't expect today to be so humid? Criteria is 2 consecutive days with at least 3 hours of 105F+ IIRC.

2 hours >=105F

Heat advisory requires 2 days, and the southern CWAs require 2 days for EHW.

My thing is after observing yesterday, and then seeing the same dew points by noon today, pull the trigger. I mean they put up the warning at 2:37pm yesterday, after already 2 hours of EH criteria met. So late it's basically worthless. Waiting to see how high dew points got today is understandable. See it, then act.

Screen Shot 2018-07-02 at 4.27.52 PM.png

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40 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Nothing at all shows that,  where do you see that. I looked

yesterdays goofus but it has backed off quite a bit.

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2 minutes ago, OKpowdah said:

2 hours >=105F

Heat advisory requires 2 days, and the southern CWAs require 2 days for EHW

Screen Shot 2018-07-02 at 4.27.52 PM.png

I was looking at BGM. Is that for GYX? Link? I've been looking for their criteria page.

https://www.weather.gov/bgm/heat

I think some criteria changed earlier this year, but I can find the info on it. BTW...last hour yielded a 104F HX so technically GYX could say that hour didn't verify.

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1 minute ago, dendrite said:

I was looking at BGM. Is that for GYX? Link? I've been looking for their criteria page.

https://www.weather.gov/bgm/heat

I think some criteria changed earlier this year, but I can find the info on it. BTW...last hour yielded a 104F HX so technically GYX could say that hour didn't verify.

Jesus I'm a dummy. I need to read more. Nevermind about the EHW criteria Sam. I was looking at "heat warning". I guess the 104F HX stands though.

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56 minutes ago, dendrite said:

?

Not sure what he’s referring to. Models plus some Climo knowledge in how you don’t just go torch to normal ..are hhh next week again. Though admittedly not as hot as yesterday 

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1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Everything ok

Yeah-routine maintenance on this old body.  3 more appointments next week.  Up to 89 here and rising.  Late push at Logan coming but probably short of 90.

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26 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I was looking at BGM. Is that for GYX? Link? I've been looking for their criteria page.

https://www.weather.gov/bgm/heat

I think some criteria changed earlier this year, but I can find the info on it. BTW...last hour yielded a 104F HX so technically GYX could say that hour didn't verify.

That's for BOX. Not sure if GYX has a page.
Sorry here's the link I used https://www.weather.gov/box/criteria

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106 Heat index at keene @ 5pm.

for those that didn't prepare, get down to Your undies and run a hose to back  back of neck , turn hose on.

Saw some more dew points in mid 60's  to the west. Lower dews on way??

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39 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Yeah-routine maintenance on this old body.  3 more appointments next week.  Up to 89 here and rising.  Late push at Logan coming but probably short of 90.

Congrats on the 75 currently 

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2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Congrats on the 75 currently 

I bet they bounce to 85-88 before dark based on where I’m at.  Decidedly hotter vs 2 hours ago.

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Anyone have the link for that page with the temperature mesonet map in southern New England? It's been a while ;) 

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