dendrite Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hmm, I have not been posting much but now that you mention it, Where is he? Last login was Fri morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: Last login was Fri morning. Not like him, Hope things are ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 32 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice rain storm on the GFS Thursday, over an inch in a lot of spots Oh how we pray. Still pretty dry here and my golf course could use a good dousing before we get the high heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Looking at the 12Z GFS 850's look about a 1C higher than 6Z in general. 2OC south of Boston to to 23C up towards Powderfreak. Also maybe a nice fropa squall line Monday PM up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 15 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Looking at the 12Z GFS 850's look about a 1C higher than 6Z in general. 2OC south of Boston to to 23C up towards Powderfreak. Also maybe a nice fropa squall line Monday PM up here? 'Nother cycle 'nother rendition. 12z GGEM came in overall more robust with eastern conus heights by some. .. I mean it pulses that towering 595 DM height core and denies the quicker flattening as the previous run. "GGEM" One thing between all models that is sticking out for me is the handling of western Atlantic "weakness" in the heights.. They keep trying to periodically generate a retrograding U/A TUTT or some other remnant of a pinched off westerlies thing... It's indirectly blowing the lid off the hot thing actually... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Upton not overly concerned about the heat. low 90s for WCT away from the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 55 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Upton not overly concerned about the heat. low 90s for WCT away from the coast. Congrats........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 ASOUT Odds of extreme heat dramatically lower in the NYC-BOS-PWM coastal plain with southerly wind trajectory like this. Look north for the record breakers on Sunday https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/status/1011678293052059648 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Yeah recent runs have been more southerly than westerly. Enjoy the doldrums down there. Tippy's upper level gyre is a fly in the ointment too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Why those records stand so long. Everything has to be just right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Kiss Kevins damaging heatwave good bye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah recent runs have been more southerly than westerly. Enjoy the doldrums down there. Tippy's upper level gyre is a fly in the ointment too. You mean enjoy the natural air conditioned sea breezes, will do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Oh shucks, I guess 1911 is not walking in the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 it's masking the potential for a serious problem with heat... NCEP isn't taking it seriously, or is missing what's going on frankly - But that Atlantic west invasion is bullying into the model presentations in the mid range now and it's creating a shear axis/block that stopping this heat and I find it dubious.. We'll see if it hold for two cycles and sucks people in before it all comes back or some dopey thing - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: hmm Yeah...euro still gets a 24C plume up through NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: it's masking the potential for a serious problem with heat... NCEP isn't taking it seriously, or is missing what's going on frankly - But that Atlantic west invasion is bullying into the model presentations in the mid range now and it's creating a shear axis/block that stopping this heat and I find it dubious.. We'll see if it hold for two cycles and sucks people in before it all comes back or some dopey thing - the euro is a step away from not having that feature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah...euro still gets a 24C plume up through NNE. look at the trend offshore. it's close to losing that ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: the euro is a step away from not having that feature still carries it enough... look what it evolves that into on D10... a stationary close surface aloft at the 582 dm level - like, ...really.. and sticks it up our butts for two days or some unrealistic thing for this latitude. heh, i guess in an anomalous over all pattern, other weird sh can happen too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Kiss Kevins damaging heatwave good bye No longer a thrilla like living in Manilla. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Just now, forkyfork said: look at the trend offshore. it's close to losing that ULL Yeah I knew what you were getting at with the loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Oh look its getting hot in July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 3 hours ago, dryslot said: lol, They last couple times we cracked 90's here it was in may................... Only time in the last 13 years here it was in May - last year. My woodsy location heats best before the trees get into full humidification mode. 12z GFS keeps Augusta under 90 (by 1°.) Two days ago it was bringing 102 for the capital. (Outside. Things are pretty heated under the dome.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: Yeah I knew what you were getting at with the loop. I'm almost ready to be bold and say that's not even real to begin with. D8-9-10 range is being contaminated by a "faux" feature that is creating a block at 582 dm heights as the nadir - real real gamble there... But, I guess to be fair, there's a lot of things that have to go right to bring the type of numbers to our neck of the woods that previous runs didn't have any issues doing for multiple cycles, so having one or two flies in the ointment now ... guess is to be expected. It would have been a shimmering act of shocking correctness if the runs pulled off a 12 day lead, 104 F outlook and held it unadulterated for every run to go time... huh - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Just now, tamarack said: Only time in the last 13 years here it was in May - last year. My woodsy location heats best before the trees get into full humidification mode. 12z GFS keeps Augusta under 90 (by 1°.) Two days ago it was bringing 102 for the capital. (Outside. Things are pretty heated under the dome.) Always a battle here with the sea breeze front to achieve 90's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Oh look its getting hot in July Won't lie, last few nights sleeping here in Eastern Ct down right chilly; great golfing weather though. Back to the heat and humidity of SFL tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Oh look its getting hot in July I bet we're in for a hot August too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 oh look it's going to snow in winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: oh look it's going to snow in winter I was actually mimicking this exact same post you have made about 15 times. Now 16, enjoy the smog its the only smog you got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 12 minutes ago, Modfan said: Won't lie, last few nights sleeping here in Eastern Ct down right chilly; great golfing weather though. Back to the heat and humidity of SFL tomorrow. How awesome is today, man why anyone would take HHH over today baffles me. It's perfect for anything outdoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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